BALKANS: Ethnic Divisions Plunge Bosnia Into Chaos
By Vesna Peric Zimonjic

BELGRADE, Nov 5 (IPS) - The resignation of Bosnia-Herzegovina Prime Minister 
Nikola Spiric shows yet again that 12 years after the war ended, the unified 
state is still unable to function.

The resignation of Nikola Spiric, a Serb, Thursday last week plunged the 
country of an estimated four million into its worst political crisis since 
peace came to prevail among Bosniak Muslims, Bosnian Croats and Serbs who make 
up the country. 

The Dayton Peace agreement that ended the wars in the 1990s led to the creation 
of two semi-autonomous mini states in Bosnia-Herzegovina, the Republic of 
Srpska for Serbs, and the Muslim-Croat Federation for those two ethnic groups. 
Above their local bodies are the central government and central parliament, 
plus a three-member rotating presidency. 

The agreement that ended the 1992-95 war in Bosnia established a complicated 
structure of representation for all three ethnic groups. Consensus was needed 
in central government and parliament, but the international community's high 
representative to Bosnia Miroslav Lajcak has now introduced the principle of 
simple majority. 

Spiric's resignation came after Lajcak introduced the new measures aimed at 
improving efficiency in the central government and parliament as a precondition 
for speeding up integration with the European Union (EU). 

The work of both the government and the parliament has often been stalled 
simply due to absence of members. 

Spiric protested against what he saw as intrusion. "For 12 years, foreigners 
have run this country, and this is not good. I resign, and this is the only 
right decision," said Spiric. "Twelve years after Dayton, Bosnia-Herzegovina is 
unfortunately not a sovereign state." 

Bosnian Serbs were enraged by Lajcak's move fearing they would be outvoted in 
central institutions by Bosniaks, the local Muslims who are the majority in the 
country. 

Lajcak described Spiric's resignation as "irrational, emotional and 
irresponsible." 

Russia's position has complicated Lajcak's move. The Peace Implementation 
Council (PIC), the 40-nation body that oversees post-war Bosnia, backed Lajcak, 
but Russia abstained. 

Russian PIC representative Alexander Bocan Harchenko said that the body had 
opted to bring "further irritation and worsening" of the situation. "Lajcak's 
measures go against the spirit of Dayton," Harchenko said in a statement issued 
by the Russian embassy in Sarajevo. 

Harchenko is also the Russian representative in the three-member international 
group that negotiates the status of Kosovo, together with the German diplomat 
Wolfgang Ischinger and U.S. envoy Frank Wisner. 

The resignation of Spiric cannot be solved with new elections. Under the 
internationally introduced constitution of Bosnia-Herzegovina, the current 
government will continue, though without any practical possibility it can work. 

Most Bosnians seem to fear that administration in Bosnia will remain blocked 
now, despite Lajcak's explanation to local media that "functioning of the state 
is not in danger" and that "there will remain a caretaker government, which 
should do the job properly." 

"This is the worst crisis the country has seen since 1995," Belgrade analyst 
Jovo Bakic told IPS. "And the neighbours are not helping." He was referring to 
the policies in Belgrade in Serbia, which closely backs Bosnian Serbs. 

Serbia's Prime Minister Vojislav Kostunica accused Lajcak of being part of a 
wider conspiracy against Serbs to "bring about the unilateral independence of 
(southern Serbian province of) Kosovo and wipe out the Republic of Srpska." 

Belgrade's position led to an unusually sharp diplomatic demarche from Britain, 
the U.S., Germany, Italy and France. The contents were not disclosed, but a 
diplomat from one of these nations told IPS that "there was a sharp reminder to 
Belgrade that Kosovo and the Republic of Srpska cannot be treated in the same 
manner. 

"The Dayton peace agreement is an international document of substance for 
Bosnia, while Kosovo lives under the United Nations (UN) resolution," he said. 
"The two issues do not function as connected vessels." 

But the diplomat would neither confirm nor deny whether the warning dealt with 
the possibility of Serbs in Bosnia calling a referendum on independence once 
Kosovo proclaims independence. The status of Kosovo is being negotiated through 
international mediation for months now. The province has been run by the U.N. 
since 1999. Ethnically Albanian Kosovo leaders say they will proclaim 
independence in December. 

The U.N. administration took charge of Kosovo after 11 weeks of North Atlantic 
Treaty Organisation (NATO) bombing of Serbia due to the repression launched by 
Belgrade against two million ethnic Albanians. 

The prominent Sarajevo daily Oslobodjenje said in a comment that "the 
responsibility for the worsening situation lies with the political leaders who 
are blocking progress with their aggressive behaviour." The paper said that 
even religious leaders such as the head of the Islamic Community of Bosnia, 
Grand Mufti Mustafa Ceric, are now trying to exploit the situation. 

During his recent visit to the United States, Ceric lobbied for abolition of 
the Republic of Srpska. Lajcak's office harshly reprimanded him for that 
demand. (END/2007)

 

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