Dear all,
 
I am working on modelling prednisone and prednisolone PPK in humans given a PO 
dose of prednisone. Note that prednisone is converted to prednisolone during 
the first-pass and prednisolone is converted back to prednisone (reversible 
metabolism). I used a simple 2-cmt PK model (see the code below) that seems to 
work.  However, the model does not appear to be stable and sensitive to initial 
estimates . Is there an issue of "identifiability" in this model? does anyone 
has already worked on PPK of this drug? Furthermore, I would like to model the 
inhibition of conversion of prednisone to prednisolone as function of time and 
test drug concentration. Any leads much appreciated.
 
Regards,
- Chandra
 
 
 
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$INPUT C ID TIME DV AMT CMT EVID MDV
$DATA pred2.CSV IGNORE=C
$SUBROUTINES ADVAN8 TRANS1 TOL=5
$MODEL NPAR=7 NCOMP=3
   COMP=(DEPOT,DEFDOSE)
   COMP=(PARENT)
   COMP=(METAB)
 
$PK
 
 KA=THETA(1)*EXP(ETA(1)) 
 VP=THETA(2)*EXP(ETA(2))    
 CLP=THETA(3)*EXP(ETA(3))
 VMT=THETA(4)*EXP(ETA(4))
 KF=THETA(5)*EXP(ETA(5))
 KB=THETA(6)*EXP(ETA(6))
 CLM=THETA(7)*EXP(ETA(7))
 
 S2=VP
 S3=VMT
 
$DES
 
 DADT(1)=-KA*A(1)
 DADT(2)=KA*A(1)-KF*A(2)+KB*A(3)-CLP*A(2)/VP
 DADT(3)=KF*A(2)-KB*A(3)-CLM*A(3)/VMT
 
$ERROR
  FLAG=0
  IF(AMT.NE.0) FLAG=1
  IPRED=LOG(F+FLAG)
  R1=0
  IF (CMT.EQ.2) R1=1
  R2=0
  IF (CMT.EQ.3) R2=1
  Y2=IPRED+ERR(1)
  Y3=IPRED+ERR(2)
  Y=R1*Y2+R2*Y3
  IRES=EXP(DV)-EXP(IPRED)
 
$THETA .......

$OMEGA .......

$SIGMA .......

$EST SIG=5 METHOD=1 PRINT=1 MAX=9999 POSTHOC NOABORT

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