Dear Ethan

I concur with Mats's comments below.

As a note, from a design perspective adding additional data to an experiment 
cannot result in less precise parameter estimates under the assumption that the 
individuals from the two data sets are exchangeable.  Under this assumption 
therefore the Sparse data should merely add information to the Rich data.  That 
the Sparse data is affecting the parameter estimates from the Rich data 
suggests that the two data sets are not exchangeable (different centre, 
different assay, different covariates ...).

Another possible way to investigate the differences between the two data sets 
would be to analyse them sequentially, perhaps with consideration for using the 
analysis from the Rich data as an informative prior for the analysis of the 
Sparse data and see where this leads you.

Kind regards

Steve
--
Professor Stephen Duffull
Chair of Clinical Pharmacy
School of Pharmacy
University of Otago
PO Box 913 Dunedin
New Zealand
E: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>
P: +64 3 479 5044
F: +64 3 479 7034

Design software: www.winpopt.com<http://www.winpopt.com>






From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On 
Behalf Of Mats Karlsson
Sent: Thursday, 18 June 2009 9:17 a.m.
To: 'Ribbing, Jakob'; 'Ethan Wu'; 'Jurgen Bulitta'; [email protected]
Cc: 'Roger Jelliffe'; 'Neely, Michael'
Subject: RE: [NMusers] estimating Ka from dataset combining rich sample study 
and sparse sampling study

Dear Ethan,

Variances estimated to be zero may result from fixing off-diagonal variances to 
zero (i.e. not using BLOCKs in IIV). Here, however, it may be that there are 
systematic differences between the sparse and the rich data experiments. Maybe 
fasting/fed status or something else is different. If the fit to the rich data 
is markedly worse when including the rich data, at least one parameter is 
different between the two situations. I would explore what parameter(s) that 
would be. In addition to Jakob's suggestions below, the two data sets together 
may indicate a more complex structural model that a single profile indicated. 
Maybe you need to go to a two-compartment for example.

Best regards,
 Mats

Mats Karlsson, PhD
Professor of Pharmacometrics
Dept of Pharmaceutical Biosciences
Uppsala University
Box 591
751 24 Uppsala Sweden
phone: +46 18 4714105
fax: +46 18 471 4003

From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On 
Behalf Of Ribbing, Jakob
Sent: Wednesday, June 17, 2009 10:43 PM
To: Ethan Wu; Jurgen Bulitta; [email protected]
Cc: Roger Jelliffe; Neely, Michael
Subject: RE: [NMusers] estimating Ka from dataset combining rich sample study 
and sparse sampling study

Hi Ethan,

If OMEGA(?) for KA is drastically reduced when including the sparse data, then 
something is wrong with your model and in this case it is not the estimation 
method or assumption on distribution of individual parameter). Eta-shrinkage 
would not drastically reduce the estimate of OMEGA, since this estimate is 
driven by the subjects/studies which contain information on the parameter.

If the sparse data is multiple dosing it may be that KA is variable between 
occasions, rather than between subjects (assuming the sparse data contain some 
information on KA). Or if the sparse data is from a less well-controlled study 
or a different population, it may be that increased IIV in other parts of the 
model (e.g. OMEGA on V) is making IIV in KA appear low for the rich study, when 
fitting the two studies together. If you get the covariate model in place this 
problem will be solved. For the simple model you have it should be quick to 
start out assuming that most parameters (THETAs and OMEGAs) are different 
between the two studies and then reduce down to a model which is stable and 
parsimonious. Obviously, if you eventually can explain the differences using 
more mechanistic covariates than study number that is of more use.

Cheers

Jakob


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