Dear NM Users,
 
I ran into a problem with a NM 7.2 run with an OMEGA BLOCK (2), receiving an error message saying the parameter estimate is near its boundary (See also the discussion in [NMusers] How to solve it? ERROR: PARAMETER ESTIMATE IS NEAR ITS BOUNDARY ). After digging through the documentation I am still unsure where the problem is originating from. What I figured out is that the problem lies in the OMEGA - CORR MATRIX FOR RANDOM EFFECTS - ETAS  *******, a matrix I believe is only introduced since NM7.2. The estimate in this matrix that is giving problems is the one for the OMEGA BLOCK, which is estimated to be 1 (a boundary).
 
Now, as far as I know, the OMEGA - CORR MATRIX is related to the OMEGA - COV MATRIX as the sqrt of its estimate. However, it is unclear to me how the OMEGA BLOCK estimate (COV MATRIX), which gives the correlation between the two ETAs, is related to the OMEGA - CORR MATRIX value. What does this value actually mean, and what does it mean for my error message, as the correlation estimate itself seems to be fine? In the print below you can see the model and resulting estimates, the important ones being 5.26E-02 (OMEGA - COV MATRIX of ETA1-ETA2) and 1.00E+00 (OMEGA - CORR MATRIX of ETA1-ETA2). The model has two ETAs and an proportional error model,

Thanks in advance for any insights and help,

Best,

Jules Heuberger
 
 
 
$SUB ADVAN=6 TOL=5
$MODEL
  COMP=(CENTRAL)
  COMP=(PERI)
 
$PK
  ; structural model
  K10=IK10
  V1 =IV1
  K12=EXP(-1.29)
  K21=EXP(-0.63)
  V2=K12*V1/K21
  BSL=IBSL
  E0=THETA(1)*EXP(ETA(1))
  EMAX=THETA(2)*EXP(ETA(2))
  EC50=THETA(3)
 ;
$DES                           
  
  DADT(1) = -K10*A(1)-K12*A(1)+K21*A(2)
  DADT(2) = K12*A(1)-K21*A(2)
$ERROR
  CP=F
  EFF=E0-EMAX*F/(EC50+F)
  Y= EFF*(1+ERR(1))+ERR(2)
  IPRE=EFF
 
$THETA
 55
 20.9
 364
 
;
$OMEGA BLOCK(2)
0.2
0.01 0.2
 
$SIGMA
0.01
0 FIX
 
$EST PRINT=5 MAX=9999 METHOD=1 INTERACTION POSTHOC NOABORT MSFO=mfi

 
__________________________________________________________
 
 OMEGA - COV MATRIX FOR RANDOM EFFECTS - ETAS  ********

            ETA1      ETA2  
 
 ETA1
+        2.44E-02
 
 ETA2
+        5.26E-02  1.13E-01
 

 SIGMA - COV MATRIX FOR RANDOM EFFECTS - EPSILONS  ****

            EPS1      EPS2  
 
 EPS1
+        1.11E-02
 
 EPS2
+        0.00E+00  0.00E+00
 
1

 OMEGA - CORR MATRIX FOR RANDOM EFFECTS - ETAS  *******

            ETA1      ETA2  
 
 ETA1
+        1.56E-01
 
 ETA2
+        1.00E+00  3.37E-01
 
 
 SIGMA - CORR MATRIX FOR RANDOM EFFECTS - EPSILONS  ***

            EPS1      EPS2  
 
 EPS1
+        1.05E-01
 
 EPS2
+        0.00E+00  0.00E+00
 
 

Jules Heuberger
Clinical Scientist
Centre for Human Drug Research
Zernikedreef 8
2333 CL Leiden
The Netherlands
'+31 (0)71 5246400

(+31 (0)6 43937461
7+31 (0)71 5246499
+[email protected]
http://www.chdr.nl

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