I think it is too early to tell.

The joy of developing in Node.js is way different from developing and 
deploying for the JVM (even if you are using dynamic languages) IMHO.

Most JVM code/libraries have been written in the synchronous mindset, so 
the more you try to leverage those existing libraries, the more threads one 
will be end up using under the covers with Vert.x which could affect 
ultimate scalability as compared with a fully asynchronous Node.js world. 
But who knows, maybe the mix would work reasonably well for some cases.

What would be interesting is if they were to create a set of core API's 
that mirror Node.js such that we could deploy our code in either 
environment without changes. Then one could develop once and choose to 
deploy in the environment that worked best for any particular requirements.

I guess only time will tell whether vert.x has the staying power to compete.

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