Minoru,

I think I understand the point you are trying to make now, but I do not think 
it 
is right.

First of all, the development of nuclear weapons really has nothing to do with 
immigration. For example, Germany developed long-range rockets during WWII as a 
new weapon. Does that say anything about Germany as a country or society? I 
doubt it. The first thing the US and USSR did once these weapons were developed 
was to follow suit (and in fact the US used German scientists captured during 
the war to help in this, for example Werner von Braun). It seems to me that the 
real issue is that countries will try to acquire devastating weapons to have 
the 
upper hand in international competition. This is an old story, and is hardly 
limited to the US.

Now as far as Israel is concerned..... Well, it is true that Truman supported 
the creation of the state of Israel, and it is likely the UN resolution would 
have failed without US support (there was considerable US pressure on its 
client 
states over this vote; for example, the Philippine ambassador to the UN railed 
in open session in the UN 
against the creation of Israel, but then had both arms twisted into pretzels by 
Truman and Acheson and wound up voting ion favor of the partition resolution). 
Truman's motivation had little to do with the fact that the fledging state was 
a 
settler state, however; it appears to have been based on a mixture of motives, 
including the feeling that such a state was necessary as a refuge for the 
world's Jewry following the horrors of the Shoah.

And though it is often forgotten, relations between the US and Israel were 
actually very cold during Eishenhower's presidency. There were two major 
reasons 
for this. The first was that the founders of the state of Israel were mostly 
secular East European Jews who were dedicated to some form of socialism, and 
this offended conservatives like Eisenhower's Secretary of State John Foster 
Dulles, who had strong moral objections to any fence-sitting or pinkish hues 
when it came to the fight against Godless communism. The second is that Israel 
committed the blunder of teaming up 
with the British and French in the 1956 Suez War, and Eisenhower responded by 
forcing these three countries to withdraw their forces from conquered Egyptian 
territory. Relations between the US and Israel did not become genuinely close 
until the Kennedy administration. 

It is further true that for a couple of decades after Israel was established, 
American Jews were lukewarm at best to the Jewish state, and this only changed 
with the 1967 War, at which time there was a huge surge of support and sympathy 
for Israel that led to the creation of the "Israel Lobby" (the subject of a 
recent and quite vehement debate sparked by an article and then book by 
political scientists John Mearsheimer and Steven Walt). 

There is a larger backdrop to the US-Israeli relationship, namely the oil 
issue. 
This has always been the most important US interest in the region, since the 
famous meeting of FDR and King Ibn Saud more than 60 years ago, and was 
deepened by the US stake gained in Iran in 1953, when it overthrew the 
nationalist government of Massadegh and restored the deposed Shah to the 
Peacock 
Throne.

If you look at the map of the Middle East in say 1950, what do you see? The 
following:
1. Turkey (hated by the Arabs, because of the Ottoman legacy)
2. Iran (which hates the Arabs, for various reasons like its belief in its own 
cultural superiority, but also because it is the chief home of Shi'ism)
3. An unstable republic in Syria
4. A pro-Western Maronite regime in Lebanon
5. A series of kingdoms and emirates and the like, including of course Saudi 
Arabia, but also Libya, Egypt, Jordan and Iraq.
6. Israel

To protect its access to Middle East oil in the post-WWII world, the US looked 
around for local allies that would enable it to project influence and 
potentially military force in the region in order to ensure that there was no 
change in the pro-Western monarchies like Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, which sit on 
top of the majority of the oil. Things have gone fairly well for the US with 
Turkey and then Israel from the 
early 1960s, but otherwise the results have been suboptimal. The unstable 
republic in Syria collapsed despite the efforts of the CIA to keep a 
pro-Western 
government in power there (detailed in "Ropes of Sand" a memoir by former CIA 
agent William Eveland), and an anti-Western military dictatorship under the 
Ba'ath Party took power. The complex confessional system in Lebanon collapsed 
in 
a civil war in the mid-1970s, and despite years of trying the US has been 
unable 
to reinstall a reliable pro-US ally there. And four of the monarchies - Libya, 
Egypt, Iraq and Iran - fell to
 military coups or revolution between the 1950s and the late 1970s.

The first major challenge to US policy was Nasser's regime in Egypt. While 
rhetorically populist, it was basically a repressive military regime (and 
harshly put down Islamist forces, just as the Assad regime in Syria and the 
Hussein regime in Iraq did). Nasser's dream - and the dream of subsequent 
would-be Saladins like Qaddafi and Saddam Hussein - has been to unite the 
Middle East under the rule of one strongman, and particularly to wrest control 
of the supply of Gulf oil to the West from the so-called "moderate Arab states" 
(another verbal fiction for the reactionary monarchies in Saudi Arabia and 
other 
Gulf states, and the oil-less but still pro-US Hashemite monarchy in Jordan). 
The military ties forged between Egypt, Syria, etc. and the Soviet Union were 
further cause for lost sleep in Washington DC. And this was of course a 
nightmare scenario for Israel, which from the 1970s on was directly challenged 
by the secular, nationalist PLO.

Ultimately none of these challengers - Nasser, Assad, Qaddafi and Saddam 
Hussein 
- was successful in creating a pan-Arabist movement and state under his 
control. 
These regimes never developed a successful economic strategy, and despite all 
the populist and pan-Arabist rhetoric had too narrow a social base. Iraq was a 
partial exception; there was some genuine economic development there based on 
its oil revenues, but unfortunately most of 
the gains were lost due to several decades of warfare starting in the early 
1980s. And LIbya has always been too much of an outlier to be a real player. It 
has a small population, and does not have the geographic and cultural 
centrality 
of say Egypt or Iraq. A sign of the failure of such regimes was Sadat's 
separate 
peace with Israel and alliance with the US in the late 1970s.

The crisis of secular, nationalist, military regimes has led to a search for 
alternatives in Arab countries, and one model - the one that troubles the US 
the 
most - has been the Iranian revolution. This has obviously been important for 
the Shi'ite populations in Iraq and Lebanon, but it also excited the 
imaginations of Sunni religious radicals, including Osama bin Laden. The patron 
saint of al-Qaeda is in fact Sayyid al-Qutb, a Islamist intellectual jailed and 
eventually hung by Nasser. And the idea of an Islamic republic is also a source 
of inspiration for Hamas. 

And consequently, there has been a shift in the US from concern about pro-USSR, 
anti-Western, secular, pan-Arabist populist caudillos like Nasser, to worry 
about the prospect of Islamic revolutions along the lines of the Iranian model. 
And that is why the US is so closely allied with Israel on the Hamas problem, 
Minoru. It reflects a common interest in fighting the joint enemy of the day. 
But it is important to realize that the goal is different. For Israel, it is to 
destroy a militant, rejectionist segment of the Palestinian national movement. 
For the US, it is to prevent such Islamic regimes from taking power in Saudi 
Arabia and the like, and cutting off the flow of Arabian oil. And of course, 
these goals can be contradictory, and Israel's aggressive pursuit of its aims, 
in defiance of the Geneva Conventions and UN and the rest, often creates huge 
problems for the US elsewhere in the region, with its so-called "moderate" 
friends. 

It will be interesting to see what happens to the US-Israel relationship when 
the oil finally runs dry in a few more decades. Israel has not 
exactly been a loyal ally (it has repeatedly spied on the US, for example the 
Pollard case, it knowingly bombed and destroyed an American intelligence ship, 
the USS Liberty, in 1967 with considerable loss of American life, etc.) when it 
felt its own interests were paramount. It may find that the same will be true 
of 
the US when the oil magnet vanishes, and AIPAC and the rest of the Israel Lobby 
may not ultimately be powerful enough to maintain the American supply of 
dollars 
and weapons to it any longer.


John M.



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