IMO, its a matter of recreational gambling vs. professional (done for a
living) gambling[1].  You know the odds, or you don't - doesn't matter.
 What matters is if you can continue to profit from the risk.  Will the
risk hurt the continuity of business operations in terms of revenue loss.
 The extreme example of this is Russian roulette.

The resulting exposed data in a MitM scenario is unique and has substantial
potential.  What is important to monetize here is the loss resulting from a
MitM attack at all levels of remote access for the organization.

The odds dont matter if the risk will result in catastrophic loss to the
business.  As someone that has discovered corporate espionage intrusions,
and systematically prevented the loss of future business deals worth
millions of dollars (whose loss would have otherwise collapsed the
business) - I have a specific view of this issue.  The only additional info
on this that I will provide is that the intrusion allowed a bidding
competitor access to corporate communications as well as business plans and
bidding documents.  My discoveries led to the prevention of a competitor
from staying one step ahead of us in business planning and bidding, and
eventual Federal prosecution of the intruder.


1. I'm not a gambler, but I have known professional gamblers.

--
Espi



On Wed, Jul 31, 2013 at 4:05 PM, Ken Schaefer <k...@kj.net.au> wrote:

>  > In any event, the odds are irrelevant - the issue is the business risk
> of intrusion/loss. ****
>
> ** **
>
> How can you say that “odds are irrelevant” if the issue is business risk?
> ****
>
> ** **
>
> Risk is “potential for loss”, and potential includes a weighting for
> likelihood (i.e. “the odds”)?****
>
> ** **
>
> Can you clarify what you mean?****
>
> ** **
>
> Cheers****
>
> Ken ****
>
> ** **
>
> *From:* listsad...@lists.myitforum.com [mailto:
> listsad...@lists.myitforum.com] *On Behalf Of *Micheal Espinola Jr
> *Sent:* Thursday, 1 August 2013 1:43 AM
>
> *To:* ntsysadm@lists.myitforum.com
> *Subject:* Re: [NTSysADM] man-in-the-middle attack****
>
> ** **
>
> Odds would be very difficult to extrapolate with any legitimate accuracy,
> as you need to know and control the possible environments and habits of
> your remote employees.  In any event, the odds are irrelevant - the issue
> is the business risk of intrusion/loss. ****
>
>
> ****
>
> --
> Espi****
>
>  ****
>
> ** **
>
> On Wed, Jul 31, 2013 at 8:07 AM, David Lum <david....@nwea.org> wrote:****
>
>  I need to present management with the odds of this actually getting
> exploited, as I’d want to force TLS 1.2 for ADFS but that takes Chrome and
> more importantly Safari (iOS devices) out of the mix, so I suspect
> management might say “we want compatibility instead of protection from some
> obscure attack that is unlikely to happen.****
>
>  ****
>
> In short, what are the odds of a MITM attack actually happening between my
> remote employee and our ADFS server?****
>
> *David Lum*
> Sr. Systems Engineer // NWEATM
> Office 503.548.5229 //* *Cell (voice/text) 503.267.9764****
>
>  ****
>
>  ** **
>

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