Hi Fergal,

I’m a bit confused by your answer. Is there no way using NuPIC to estimate 
multi-step predictions?

Regards,
Dave
--
http://about.me/david_wood



> On Mar 5, 2015, at 15:49, Fergal Byrne <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Hi Michael,
> 
> The region itself always just predicts one step ahead. You can connect a 
> region with code (most of it in OPF) which will remember what happens N steps 
> ahead of a timestep, but this is just a histogram record (associating a 
> cell's activation with an input field value) of what is likely to come up 
> after N steps. This is what is used if you specify multi-step predictions.
> 
> Ignore the multi-step stuff in the White Paper. It's wrong, and has been 
> abandoned. CLA on its own just does a single timestep prediction, and this is 
> what also happens in neocortex.
> 
> Regards,
> 
> Fergal Byrne
> 
> 
> On Thu, Mar 5, 2015 at 12:38 AM, cogmission <[email protected] 
> <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
> Oh the Prediction code is in CLAClassifier and the Anomaly code does the 
> running total of the meta qualities...
> 
> On Wed, Mar 4, 2015 at 6:36 PM, cogmission <[email protected] 
> <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
> Hi Michael,
> 
> Afaik, the "Anomaly" class is what you are looking for, just that it tracks 
> the moving average of accuracy or maybe the inverse (anomaly). You could in 
> any case have a look at that code to see if it either does what you are 
> looking for or can be "adapted" to do more of what you're looking for.
> 
> Also afaik, the steps will "overwrite" when that point in the cycle is 
> reached again (so every 500 steps a new prediction quality is estimated - if 
> 500-steps is one of the step configurations).
> 
> Correct me if I'm wrong someone?
> 
> David
> 
> On Wed, Mar 4, 2015 at 6:21 PM, Michael Roy Ames via nupic 
> <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
> 
> 
> ---------- Forwarded message ----------
> From: Michael Roy Ames <[email protected] 
> <mailto:[email protected]>>
> To: NuPIC Mailing List <[email protected] 
> <mailto:[email protected]>>
> Cc: 
> Date: Wed, 04 Mar 2015 16:08:38 -0800
> Subject: Prediction. Several steps. Future or past.
> NuPIC list:
> 
> "Predictions in an HTM region can be for several time steps into the future" 
> - according to the HTM White paper.
> 
> Question 1: Is there a NuPIC code that does prediction for the next n time 
> steps?
> 
> Question 2: Is there NuPIC code that keeps activation history such that one 
> could access the last 15 or 20 sets of active cells?
> 
> I'm interested in making NuPIC learn and recognize temporal sequences of 
> data, and want to limit the amount of additional code I have to write to get 
> this done. So, I'd rather use existing NuPIC functionality that works instead 
> of writing algorithm that might duplicate something already in place. The 
> sequences may be long (500 steps) or short (20 steps). The one-step 
> predictions I've found in NuPIC examples need extra code to be written to 
> 'remember' the predictions and how many predictions in-a-row have been 
> correct, each additional successful prediction lending greater confidence to 
> the data recognition. 
> 
> Question 3: Is there code that does this already (successful prediction 
> tracking), or will I have to write it?
> 
> MRA
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> -- 
> We find it hard to hear what another is saying because of how loudly "who one 
> is", speaks...
> 
> 
> 
> -- 
> We find it hard to hear what another is saying because of how loudly "who one 
> is", speaks...
> 
> 
> 
> -- 
> 
> Fergal Byrne, Brenter IT
> 
> http://inbits.com <http://inbits.com/> - Better Living through Thoughtful 
> Technology
> http://ie.linkedin.com/in/fergbyrne/ <http://ie.linkedin.com/in/fergbyrne/> - 
> https://github.com/fergalbyrne <https://github.com/fergalbyrne>
> 
> Founder of Clortex: HTM in Clojure - 
> https://github.com/nupic-community/clortex 
> <https://github.com/nupic-community/clortex>
> 
> Author, Real Machine Intelligence with Clortex and NuPIC 
> Read for free or buy the book at https://leanpub.com/realsmartmachines 
> <https://leanpub.com/realsmartmachines>
> 
> Speaking on Clortex and HTM/CLA at euroClojure Krakow, June 2014: 
> http://euroclojure.com/2014/ <http://euroclojure.com/2014/>
> and at LambdaJam Chicago, July 2014: http://www.lambdajam.com 
> <http://www.lambdajam.com/>
> 
> e:[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> t:+353 83 
> 4214179
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