hehehe jumlah penduduk nya yang segambreng pak ( populasi nya ) :D,mungkin gak dimiliki negara tetangga yang seregional sama kita,peduduk yang besar kan korelasi nya sama konsumen yang besar dan target pasar yang besar,target pasar yang besar biasa nya sejalan dengan income yang besar bagi industri...income dari industri yang besar biasanya berkorelasi dengan gdp yang besar ...gdp yang besar dan tumbuh ters berarti bagus...( ini baru dari 1 sisi aja sih ini kita liat nya ) ..hehehe
sayang nya cuman 1 konsumen nya masih tergantung dengan produk2 impor,slogan2 selama ini sih banyak yang bilang pakelah produk dalam negri...eh sial nya itu produsan bahan baku nya impor semua lagi...hehehe...klo nilai tukar nya gak stabil trs...inflasi nya nanti bisa jadi bergeser dari karna naik nya harga komodity jadi tinggi nya biaya modal akibat overhead yang impor tadi...inflasi tinggi--->daya beli turun--->income/earning emiten di revisi lagi--->gdp turun ( alias pertumbuhan ekonomi nya yang jeblok.. hehehe saya udah mule ngelantur nih, maklum otak nya baru nge-restart dan mo kembali di stanby kan pak hihihihi moga2 bisa stabil cepet ya pak Rp nya,dan pemerintah bisa cepet bereaksinya :-) ----- Original Message ----- From: abdulrahim abdulrahim To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com Sent: Tuesday, November 18, 2008 3:22 AM Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Indonesia's rupiah approached a seven-year low after the government reported the slowest economic growth in six quarters. Bonds declined. Nanya dunk Kenapa si Indonesia suka disebut sebagai SouthEast Largest Economy? Apakah karena kekayaan alamnya atau komoditinya ? Bukannya ekonomi Singapura, Malaysia dan Thailand lebih besar daripada ekonomi Indonesia? On Mon, Nov 17, 2008 at 9:18 PM, meizal <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Indonesia's GDP Expands at Slowest Pace in 6 Quarters (Update2) > > http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601013&sid=aozNnivhfxbQ&refer=emergingmarkets > > By Aloysius Unditu and Arijit Ghosh > > Nov. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia's economy grew at the slowest pace in six > quarters as declining commodity prices reduced the value of exports and > agricultural output slowed. > > Southeast Asia's largest economy expanded 6.1 percent in the third quarter > from a year earlier, after growing 6.4 percent in the preceding three > months, the Central Statistics Bureau said in Jakarta today. That's more > than the median 5.9 percent forecast of 22 economists in a Bloomberg News > survey. > > Exporters in Indonesia, the world's biggest producer of palm oil and the > second-largest maker of rubber, are reeling from a slump in commodity prices > amid recessions in the U.S. and Europe. Japan fell into its first recession > since 2001, according to a Cabinet Office report today in Tokyo, after the > world's second-largest economy unexpectedly shrank in the third quarter. > > ``Going forward it's going to be a tough year in 2009,'' said Destry > Damayanti, an economist at PT Mandiri Sekuritas in Jakarta. ``We will be > affected as exports and imports are expected to slow significantly.'' > > The rupiah fell 2.2 percent to 11,825 against the dollar at 5 p.m. in > Jakarta. > > The government last month cut next year's target for Indonesia's > overseas-sales growth to below 11.9 percent. Frozen credit markets are > making it difficult for companies to obtain the letters of credit needed to > secure payment for their shipments. > > `Financial Turmoil' > > ``A few months ago I had five out of six containers already on their way to > the port returned because the client suddenly called and said he couldn't > secure the payment,'' said Umar Chotob, owner of CV Java Marindra Jaya, > which exports wooden furniture. ``The impact of the financial turmoil is > remarkable. It's overwhelming.'' > > Exports growth slowed to 14.3 percent in the quarter from a year earlier. > Farm output grew 2.4 percent in the three months ended September, the > slowest pace in six quarters. Construction increased 7.5 percent, the least > since the quarter ended December 2005. > > Rising prices of coal, palm oil, coffee and rubber earlier this year > increased the income of farmers and miners. That helped boost sales of > motorcycles to a record 612,032 in August, after Indonesians purchased an > unprecedented 60,830 cars in July. > > Since then, commodity prices have tumbled. Power station coal prices at > Australia's Newcastle port, a benchmark for Asia, fell 6.2 percent in the > week to Nov. 14 amid declines in global energy prices. > > ``All export prices are down and you can't compensate that with extra volume > because demand is not there,'' said Tony D. Costa, the president of PT Bank > Rabobank International Indonesia, a unit of the world's biggest agricultural > lender. Consumer spending is slowing and ``motorcycle sales will be much > lower. That means the economy will slow.'' > > Global Slump > > Indonesia's economic growth may ease to as low as 5 percent next year as the > world tilts toward a recession, Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati said > on Nov. 9. > > ``It will be very, very challenging for us to maintain growth under the > current circumstances,'' Sri Mulyani said. ``Just like other developing > countries, we have to be prepared for a longer period of weakening in the > economy.'' > > Government spending rose 16.9 percent in the third quarter, the fastest pace > since the three months ended June 2006, while consumer demand grew 5.3 > percent. > > ``Private consumption may still be able to sustain Indonesia's growth > trajectory amidst a deteriorating external trade position,'' said Enrico > Tanuwidjaja, an economist in Singapore at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. > > The statistics agency forecasts 2008 economic growth to be a ``minimum'' 6 > percent and less than 6 percent next year. > > To contact the reporter on this story: Arijit Ghosh in Jakarta at > [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Aloysius Unditu in Jakarta at [EMAIL PROTECTED]; > > Last Updated: November 17, 2008 05:30 EST > > Indonesia's Rupiah Approaches Seven-Year Low; Bonds Decline > > By Lilian Karunungan > > ________________________________ > > Nov. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia's rupiah approached a seven-year low after > the government reported the slowest economic growth in six quarters. Bonds > declined. > > http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601083&sid=aJxWD3ZlC6Cw&refer=currency > > > > The currency was Asia's worst performer today versus the dollar, sliding in > tandem with regional shares, as reports confirming recessions in Hong Kong > and Japan prompted investors to seek safer bets than emerging-market assets. > Southeast Asia's largest economy expanded 6.1 percent in the third quarter > from a year earlier, beating the 5.9 percent growth predicted by economists > in a Bloomberg survey. > > ``Even though the figure came in better than expected, it doesn't have much > impact on the rupiah itself,'' said Gundy Cahyadi, an economist at > IDEAglobal in Singapore. ``Global growth is giving skepticism to the market. > Risk appetite is not going to change much.'' > > The rupiah slumped 1.5 percent to 11,750 per dollar as of 4:29 p.m. in > Jakarta, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The currency touched > 11,988 on Nov. 13, the lowest level since April 2001. > > The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index of shares fell 0.5 percent, extending last > week's 4.7 percent slide. Overseas investors sold more Indonesian shares > than they bought on all but three of this month's trading days, according to > stock exchange data. > > Ten-year government bonds dropped for a fourth day on concern a weakening > rupiah is keeping overseas investors away from the securities. > > ``The negative sentiment is coming from the rupiah,'' said Handy Yunianto, a > Jakarta-based bond analyst at Mandiri Sekuritas, part of Indonesia's largest > lender. ``When the rupiah is volatile, the risk increases for foreign > investors.'' > > The yield on the 9 percent note due September 2018 rose 18 basis points, or > 0.18 percentage point, to 16.1 percent, according to closing prices at the > Inter Dealer Market Association. The price fell 0.6317, or 6,317 rupiah per > 1 million rupiah face amount, to 65.5100. A basis point is 0.01 percentage > point. > > To contact the reporter on this story: Lilian Karunungan in Jakarta at > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > Last Updated: November 17, 2008 04:40 EST
