Uang banyak masuk RI tp di gak di saham, hanya instrumen lain kayak yg dibilang 
Elaine?


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-----Original Message-----
From: "Peter Alimin " <milis...@live.com>
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 13:13:56 
To: OB<obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
Subject: Re: [ob] Dow 10,000...

Justru itu sy td ga pantau market..
Ngerasa aneh bgt..oil udh di landasan koq malah turun ihsg..
Stock lain tadi mungkin keseret bumi ya? Besok yg kenceng aja naiknya..
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-----Original Message-----
From: katrin <kusu...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 13:09:47 
To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
Subject: Re: [ob] Dow 10,000...

Ada analisa nya gak pak ? Ini BD lagi contra rian, atau keseret Bumi, atau 
akumulasi, atau fund out flow ya ?
 Oil segitu ihsg malah nyilem.. :(
 
 -----Original Message-----
 From: "Peter Alimin " <milis...@live.com>
 Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 13:04:18 
 To: OB<obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
 Subject: Re: [ob] Dow 10,000...
 
 Oil udah sempet 73,5 break 74 atau dkt2 75 should be easylah..
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 -----Original Message-----
 From: Thomas Frederick <thomaszone_2...@yahoo.com>
 Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 13:03:18 
 To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
 Subject: Re: [ob] Dow 10,000...
 
   
  
  
  
  Sebelumnya Colin Twiggs memprediksi bahwa Dow akan jebol karena Head N 
shoulder pattern (sekitar bbrp bln lalu)
 
 Akankah kali ini kontra lagi analisanya?
 ----------------
 
 From:  "Aria Bela Nusa" <ariab...@centrin.net.id> 
 Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 19:58:44 +0700
 To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
 Subject: [ob] Dow 10,000...
 
    
  
  
  
 Dow 10,000
  
 By Colin Twiggs
  October 12, 3:00 a.m. ET (6:00 p.m. AET) 
 These extracts from my trading diary are for educational purposes and should 
not be interpreted as investment or trading advice. Full terms and conditions 
can be found at Terms of
 Use <http://www.incrediblecharts.com/legal_vizhon/terms_of_use.htm 
<http://www.incrediblecharts.com/legal_vizhon/terms_of_use.htm> > . 
 We remain in the high-risk period following the end of the third quarter. The 
Dow is also testing its key resistance level of 10000, while the FTSE 100 and 
ASX 200 are testing their key level of 5000. Upward breakout would confirm a 
bull market, while respect of these levels would warn of a secondary 
correction. 
 In the long term, we are not out of the woods. John Mauldin in Thoughts From
 The Frontline <http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/article.asp?id=mwo100909 
<http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/article.asp?id=mwo100909> >  highlights 
recent research by Peter Bernholz (Professor of Economics at the University of 
Basel, Switzerland) into the causes of hyper-inflation. In his book Monetary
 Regimes and Inflation: History, Economic and Political Relationships 
<http://astore.amazon.com/incrediblecha-20/detail/1845427785 
<http://astore.amazon.com/incrediblecha-20/detail/1845427785> > , Bernholz 
analyzes 12 of the largest episodes of hyper-inflation in the last 20 years. 
All were caused by financing huge public budget deficits through money creation 
and he concludes that the tipping point for hyper-inflation occurs when 
government deficits exceed 40% of expenditures. 
 US budget deficits of 40 per cent or more are projected for 2009 and 2010, a 
clear warning despite the current credit contraction. If hyper-inflation 
occurs, traders would want to be short on bonds and long on real assets such as 
stocks, precious metals and real estate. The recent surge in gold indicates 
that inflationary fears are growing. 
 Commodities 
  
 Baltic Dry Index reversal above 2500 indicates that demand for bulk commodity 
shipping is recovering - a positive sign for commodity prices and resources 
stocks. Retracement that respects the September low would signal the start of a 
primary advance. 
  Baltic Dry Index 
 The RJ/CRB Commodities Index found support at 250 and is now rallying to test 
270; breakout would confirm a primary advance to 300*. Reversal below 247 is 
now unlikely, but would warn of reversal to a primary down-trend. 
  CRB Commodities Index 
 * Target calculation: 266 + ( 266 - 232 ) = 300 
 USA 
  
 Dow Jones Industrial Average 
  
 The Dow found support at 9500 before rallying to test 10000. Reversal below 
9500 would indicate a secondary correction, while breakout above 10000 would 
signal another primary advance. Twiggs Money Flow (21-day), however, still 
shows a bearish divergence and reversal below zero would indicate a correction. 
In the long term, breakout above 10000 would offer a target of 12000*; failure 
of support at 8000 is unlikely, but would signal reversal to a primary 
down-trend. 
  Dow Jones Industrial Average 
 * Target calculation: 10000 + ( 10000 - 8000 ) = 12000         
 
 
 
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