Pasti ada effeknya:
1. Penyelundupan akan mulai lagi, karena selisih harga menggiurkan.
2. Kalau gak, harga di Indo dinaikkan lagi untuk menyamai harga malaysia.
Jangan-jangan ini memang disengaja, supaya Malaysia bisa dapat barang murah
untuk negaranya.
Salam
JACK
James Arifin <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Kira2 ada efeknya nggak yah ke Indonesia.
Dari detik.com
(http://www.detikfinance.com/index.php/detik.read/tahun/2008/bulan/06/tgl/04/time/105935/idnews/950192/idkanal/4)
& Forbes.com (http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2008/06/03/ap5073497.html)
Jadi pengen tau, bagaimana reaksi rakyat malesa (dan juga rakyat
indonesia yang 'macul' di negara jiran) berkaitan dengan issu ini? Apa
demo-demo juga? Bakar-bakaran juga? Rusuh???
Kuala Lumpur - Lonjakan harga minyak mentah dunia memaksa negara-negara
Asia menaikkan harga BBM. Setelah Indonesia, kini giliran Malaysia yang
akan menaikkan harga BBM-nya. Negeri Jiran itu bahkan mengambil langkah
yang lebih dramatis dengan menghapus seluruh subsidi BBM-nya, dan
menyerahkan harga sesuai mekanisme pasar mulai Agustus. Rencana tersebut
akan diumumkan oleh pemerintah Malaysia pada Rabu (3/6/2008). Malaysia
akan menghapuskan subsidi BBM yang mengambil porsi sepertiga dari
belanja APBN Malaysia. Padahal Malaysia kini merupakan net oil exporter
dengan pendapatan sekitar US$ 77,6 miliar per tahun untuk setiap 1 dolar
AS kenaikan harga minyak dunia.
Harga BBM Malaysia termasuk yang termurah di Asia. Harga BBM di Malaysia
hanya sedikit lebih tinggi ketimbang Myanmar. Dengan harga yang kurang
dari separuh harga BBM di Singapura, maka setiap akhir pekan penduduk
dari Singapura biasanya pergi ke Malaysia untuk sekedar membeli BBM dan
belanja sembako. Pemerintah Malaysia sudah mengeluarkan larangan bagi
warga asing untuk membeli BBM bersubsidinya. Namun lonjakan subsidi
akibat kenaikan harga minyak dunia tak mampu lagi dipikul oleh negara
eksportir minyak terbesar Asia itu. Kenaikan harga minyak mentah dunia
memang telah memaksa negara-negara Asia mulai dari Indonesia hingga
India untuk terus mengurangi subsidi guna mengurangi tekanan dalam
APBN-nya. Menurut Menteri Perdagangan Dalam Negeri Malaysia mengatakan,
harga BBM sesuai mekanisme pasar akan mulai diberlakukan mulai Agustus.
Berdasarkan harga BBM mengambang sesuai mekanisme pasar di Singapura,
makaharga premium berartinaik hingga 69% menjadi 86 sen atau sekitar Rp
8.000. Sementara harga solar akan naik hingga 157% menjadi sekitar Rp
10.050 per liter. Angka ini lebih tinggi dari kenaikan harga BBM yang
diumumkan oleh pemerintah Indonesia 23 Mei lalu. Premium naik menjadi Rp
6.000, sementara solar naik menjadi Rp 5.500 per liter. "Jika Malaysia
memakai harga BBM sesuai pasar dunia --menggunakan harga Singapura
sebagai perbandingan, maka itu berarti seluruh harga bensin akan naik
lebih dari 100%," kata Alvin Liew, ekonom dari Standard Chartered
seperti dikutip dari Reuters.
Malaysia to lift controls on motor fuels
(http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2008/06/03/ap5073497.html)
Malaysia will remove price controls on gasoline and diesel, allowing
retailers to sell fuel at market rates in an attempt to reduce the
government's ballooning subsidy bill, a Cabinet minister said Tuesday.
The new price structure will start in August, and the retail cost of the
fuel "will depend on global market prices," Domestic Trade and Consumer
Affairs Minister Shahrir Abdul Samad said. Economists warned the
unexpected move to abandon fuel subsidies may spark protests, push
inflation sharply higher and weaken consumer spending - a bane to an
already slowing economy.
Lower-income groups, however, will be given subsidies in other forms -
including cash handouts and fuel quotas - as part of reforms in
Malaysia's fuel subsidy scheme, Shahrir was quoted as saying by the
national news agency Bernama. The government is also considering
introducing a windfall profit tax on oil companies, he said, with
further details to be announced Wednesday. Gasoline, diesel and natural
gas in Malaysia are heavily subsidized and expected to cost the treasury
more than 45 billion ringgit (US$14 billion; euro9 billion) this year.
The government says the increasing subsidy bill is becoming untenable
and that Malaysians who can afford to pay global prices should do so.
Economists were surprised by Malaysia's plan to end the price controls
rather than gradually raising pump prices to curb its subsidy bill, as
countries such as Indonesia and Taiwan have done. Retail fuel prices in
Malaysia - among the lowest in Asia - could more than double under the
new scheme, and the increase could spark protests from a population used
to heavy subsidies, the economists warned.
"People are expecting a gradual lifting of fuel subsidies, not doing it
at one shot. It seems to be extreme," said Gundi Cahyadi, economist with
Singapore-based economic think-tank IDEAglobal.
"The impact is going to be negative. For sure, you're going to see
inflation shoot higher from August onwards because it will affect prices
across the board. Consumer spending and business investment will slow
down if this happens," he said. Inflation hit a 15-month high of 3
percent in April, and is forecast at 2.5 percent to 3 percent for the
full year. The central bank has cut its 2008 economic growth forecast to
5 percent to 6 percent, from 6 percent to 6.5 percent previously.
Manoharan Mottain, economist with AmInvestment Bank, said the removal of
price controls would lead to "a lot of unhappiness" because the
country's poor transportation system makes many people reliant on their
cars.
"A total withdrawal (of fuel subsidy) could lead to chaos. There will be
protests. It will choke consumer spending and could lead to dangerous
levels of inflation," he warned.
Cahyadi said the new fuel plan is a "great risk" to Prime Minister
Abdullah Ahmad Badawi, who is fighting for his political survival after
his ruling coalition suffered election losses in March partly due to the
rising cost of living. Fuel prices in Malaysia have been unchanged since
February 2006, with regular gasoline costing 1.92 ringgit (US$0.61;
euro0.40) a liter, or 7.27 ringgit (US$2.34; euro1.52) a gallon. That is
less than half the price in neighboring Singapore.
On Monday, Malaysia banned gasoline sales to foreign-registered vehicles
near the Thai border. Thailand sells regular gasoline at 31.59 baht
($1.01; euro0.73) a liter, or 120 baht (US$3.87; euro2.51) per gallon.
