Berikut berita2 gambaran situasi energi dunia:
Clips from recent Peak Oil News dailies are indicated by date and item #
A report by the US Department of Transportation showed the
largest monthly decline in miles driven in 66 years during August.
Americans have drastically altered driving habits, if they are driving
at all, amid a severe economic downturn. They have cut discretionary
trips, and are carpooling and using public transportation more—sure
proof of what economists call “demand destruction.” (10/26, #1; 10/25,
#1)
Global oil demand may decline for the first time in 15 years in
2008 and stagnate next year, the Centre for Global Energy Studies said
in a report on Oct. 20. (10/25, #2)
Russia, Iran and Qatar, holders of more than half of the world's
natural gas, agreed to form a ``gas troika'' for joint exploration and
production, Gazprom said. (10/21, #10)
Iran's president is under mounting political pressure as
plummeting oil prices damage the national economy and persistent
reports suggest that he may be in poor health. Whenever the oil price
falls by a dollar, Iran probably loses about $1 billion. The
International Monetary Fund estimates that Tehran needs an oil price of
$75 per barrel to avoid a large budget deficit. (10/25, #7)
Venezuelan President Chavez could survive a large oil
price drop in the short term due to abundant government funds, but
could face a larger-than-expected 2009 fiscal deficit amid the global
financial crisis. Oil prices are close to the 2009 government budget
price target of $60 per barrel, meaning a further slump could boost the
budget shortfall. (10/25, #11)
OPEC member Angola's deepwater oil projects need around $70-a-barrel oil prices
to justify continuing investments in new projects. (10/24, #4)
Oil recovery from the giant Tupi field in Brazil's Santos
Basin will be profitable even if crude prices drop substantially from
their current levels according to Manuel Ferreira de Oliveira, CEO of
Galp. (10/22, #13)
Saudi Arabia’s conservative fiscal policies have put the country
in good stead to weather lower oil, with analysts saying the current
year's budget is based on a price of around $45-50 a barrel, while
expansion next year will require around $55-62. (10/24, #5)
Cuba's announcement last week that its still untapped offshore
oil fields may hold more than 20 billion barrels of oil has raised
eyebrows among outside oil experts who say the big number is hard to
believe but not out of the realm of possibility. Jorge Pinon, an expert
on Cuban oil at the University of Miami, said there was room for doubt
because Cuba was basing its claims on comparisons with other geological
formations in the world, not on data from actual wells. (10/25, #9)
Exploration of new offshore oil fields in Brazil may be hindered for two years
because the government is having trouble writing rules to govern the finds.
(10/25, #10)
The US finished 2007 with dry natural gas reserves at a record peak after
additions more than doubled production. (10/25, #12)
While General Motors is talking about offering the Volt for sale two
years from now (late November 2010), China's BYD announced its own plug-in
hybrid will go on sale two years in advance of that, meaning next month.
(10/22, #15)
By 2003, GM’s full-size SUV production peaked at 680,000
vehicles. Today, its dealerships are crowded with lines of unsold
Tahoes and Suburbans, which increasingly look like dinosaurs in a
gas-conscious marketplace. (10/26, #11)
Heating oil inventories are about 25 percent lower on the East
Coast than they have been in recent years, increasing the likelihood of
regional shortages and sharply higher prices in a cold snap. (10/25,
#15)
The price of corn is down about 50 percent from its record
high in June, even as the amount of the grain used to produce the
renewable fuel in the United States remained the same. The price
difference is attributed to speculation…U.S. capacity to make ethanol
has risen about 60 percent since last year to about 730,000 b/day.
(10/25, #21)
Last Wednesday, Jeff Rubin, chief economist for CIBC’s
World Markets, said the world oil supply has not grown for the past
three years and predicted oil prices will rebound to triple digit
levels by next year and could go to even higher triple digits than
we've seen before. (10.24, #20)
World oil demand is expected to fall to as low as 83.5 million barrels a day in
the second quarter of 2009, a Morgan Stanley consultant said. Sadad al Husseini,
a former VP with Saudi Aramco, said global demand—85.7 million barrels
a day in the third quarter of this year—will fall to 85.1 million in
the fourth quarter and 84.7 million in the first quarter of 2009.
(10/23, #9)
Despite falling costs for steel and other materials, the oil and gas industry
again finds itself confronting a shortage of people
with the skills and experience to lead new developments. If efforts to
plug the skills gap don't succeed, senior industry executives say oil
companies' ability to tap new and challenging hydrocarbon resources
fast enough to meet demand may have already have reached its limit.
(10/23, #17)
The world's biggest publicly funded project to make transport fuels from algae
was launched Thursday by a UK government agency which develops low-carbon
technologies. (10/23, #20)
The United States is providing Angola with ships, radar
and intelligence to prevent it becoming a target for seaborne attacks
as it becomes Africa's biggest oil producer. (10/22, #12)
Saudi Arabia will bring on stream its 1.2 million barrel a day
Khurais oil field in mid-2009, the country's oil minister, Ali Naimi,
said Friday. Naimi said the 500,000-barrel a day Khursaniyah oil field,
which was originally due to start pumping crude at the end of 2007, was
now on stream. (10/26, #3)
PetroChina, Asia's biggest oil producer, may buy energy
companies made vulnerable by the global credit crisis to expand output
and meet rising fuel demand in China. China National Petroleum Corp.
signed an accord with Uzbekistan's state oil company to jointly develop
an oilfield in the central Asian country. (10/21, #16; 10/20, #7))
China's crude-oil processing in September fell to the lowest in
four months after refiners cut fuel output because of high stockpiles.
(10/20, #9, #11)
In Nigeria, with the imminent zero production of petroleum
products in the nation’s refineries, the Federal Government has decided
to embark on massive importation of fuel to prevent scarcity and queues
at filling stations. (10/20, #8)
South Korea, the world's second-biggest buyer of liquefied
natural gas, cut September imports of the fuel by 5.1 percent as demand
dropped in summer and high stockpiles limited storage. (10/20, #15)
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