Joe: I think it depends what your community wants.  Here's the BIDA survey
Don referred to:
https://blog.bidadance.org/2022/11/covid-survey-results.html  Note that
almost all of the respondents filled it out online before the dance, so
it's not that we were only sampling people who had decided to come to a
masked dance.  (I was pretty surprised: I expected to see a majority
against masking with a minority saying it was critical for their health,
which would have been a hard call for us as a board.)

Mac: I don't think the spread of covid in China is relevant here: they have
a much less effective vaccine, super low acquired immunity due to
previously successful zero-covid efforts, and with the unexpected and
unmanaged collapse of their previous policy are heading for a sharp peak
that's beyond the capacity of the healthcare system.

Jeff

On Tue, Jan 3, 2023 at 8:55 PM lsturgen--- via Organizers <
[email protected]> wrote:

> The organizers of the ten different dance series in Greenfield, MA have
> received overwhelmingly positive support for our continuation of strict
> protocols. Most of our dancers are grateful that they are able to safely
> resume dancing even when so many other activities still seem too risky.
> More people than you may think still need to protect themselves and their
> families from Covid, and would not be able to safely dance if the rules
> were relaxed. There are other dances in our region where masks are
> optional, and they have their supporters, but I am grateful that our
> protocols are in place, and most importantly, that they are working. There
> so far has been no known Covid spread traced to any of our dances.
> Liz Sturgen
>
> Sent from the all new AOL app for Android
> <https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.aol.mobile.aolapp>
>
> On Tue, Jan 3, 2023 at 6:21 PM, Joe Harrington via Organizers
> <[email protected]> wrote:
> While I'm happy to comply with any COVID policy in order to dance, and I
> choose to wear a mask at bigger events, I question whether the contra
> communities' strict policies are doing us much good, either in protecting
> us medically or in getting dances going again. Consider:
>
> 1. Even in the most restricted states (New England, etc.), nearly everyone
> is maskless nearly all the time in normal life, including most dancers.
> People eat in very crowded restaurants, ride public transportation, fly on
> airplanes, sit in airports, go shopping, work, attend school, do sports, go
> to the gym, sing, interact with friends and family members who have been
> out in the community maskless, etc., mostly without masks.
>
> 2. As a result of #1, covid is spreading quite effectively in our
> communities, even if a few groups are still masking.
>
> 3. As a result of #2, protocols at a dance cannot much alter community
> spread rates, even if the dance spread rate were zero.
>
> But, this isn't concerning most people because:
>
> 4. Vaccines do keep nearly every infected person out of the hospital and
> reduce long covid.
>
> 5. For those going to the hospital or suspected to be at risk, monoclonal
> and other treatments are quite effective.
>
> 6. As a result, the mortality of covid-19 is now down to three times that
> of a bad flu season, which is way down from the mass carnage of 2020.
>
> It is questionable what anything but masking is doing for us:
>
> 7. Unmasked contra dancing, even with a vaccine and negative test, does
> lead to rapid covid spread. Several camps in summer 2022 had 50+ infected
> dancers, even though they were all vaccinated and all had tested negative
> on arrival. The incubation period and false-negative rate are enough to
> allow one or two cases through, and the vaccine no longer keeps you from
> getting it, it just dramatically reduces severity.
>
> Since:
>
> 8. Even in the most conservative, vaccine-averse Southern communities,
> 90+% of contra dancers at big events say they are vaccinated (per survey at
> Summer Contradancers Delight Holiday in Tennessee).
>
> 9. Choosing to wear a mask remains an option for everyone, and is quite
> effective at keeping the wearer healthy, though it is not foolproof (but
> neither is life).
>
> And:
>
> 10. People have options for recreational and social activities, and many
> are choosing those with fewer or no restrictions, especially young people
> who don't have much personal risk from covid.
>
> 11. Essentially all other organized dance communities besides
> contra/English/etc. are dancing without restrictions on a national level,
> and have been since early 2022: Square, swing, blues, ballroom, salsa,
> tango, etc.
>
> It may therefore be time for communities to reconsider absolute
> restrictions, and instead encourage vaccination and mask-wearing as
> effective ways to stop the spread of diseases like covid, but also the flu,
> RSV, and other pathogens.
>
> People can still (and I do) choose to wear masks if they are concerned
> about getting covid. The idea of reducing spread at dances would be a good
> one if the rest of society were playing along. But, it isn't.  When I was a
> teen, I boycotted China. China didn't change.
>
> Communities with a large component of at-risk dancers who mask in general
> life and who are vaccinated may wish to continue requiring vax+mask.  In
> areas with many dancers, two dances, one requiring masks and one
> mask-optional, may make the most sense.
>
> I am especially concerned at the reduced percentage of younger dancers I
> have seen at recent events. While it seemed, prepandemic, that there was a
> nascent resurgence in the popularity of contra among the current
> twentysomethings, few of the young dancers I used to see are showing up to
> dances post-covid. When I go to swing and blues, there are lots of younger
> dancers.  I am certain that if we required masks at my college contra
> dance, students would just go to ballroom, salsa, or swing.
>
> If we want to get contra going again, and especially if we want to attract
> many new younger dancers, who are not worried that getting covid represents
> a big risk to them and who have plenty of unrestricted options in
> recreational activities, perhaps it's time not to ask, "does this policy
> stop covid from transmitting at our dance," but rather, "does this policy
> significantly lower the total covid risk our dancers face?"
>
> I argue that strict policies no longer do that, given our behavior in
> society.  Nonetheless, those of us who are concerned can still choose to
> reduce our own risk substantially by being vaccinated and wearing a
> well-fitting KN95 or better mask whenever we are in a crowd, including at
> dances, without requiring it of others.  I do.
>
> Thanks,
>
> --jh--
> Joe Harrington
> Organizer, Greater Orlando Contra Dance
> Faculty Advisor, Contra Knights, the UCF contra dancing club
> contraknights.org
> FB, Ig: Contra Knights
> [email protected]
>
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