http://www.americanthinker.com/articles.php?article_id=4079

Why Europe Went Wrong on Israel
December 7th, 2004

[Editor's note: this article is a transcription of a talk delivered by Richard 
Baehr at Temple Beth Israel, Skokie, Illinois Dec. 5, 2004]

I will explain today why Israel is viewed differently in Europe than in the 
United States. Specifically, I will address:

  Europe's relations with the US;
  Europe and its Jews;
  Europe and its Arabs;
  Europe and Israel;
  Europe itself - the rapid changes in demographics, politics and economics 
that  have occurred  and are occurring on the  continent.

When I refer to Europe, I mean Western Europe and the EU (all of Western Europe 
except Norway  Switzerland,  and Iceland).

As an alum of the Bronx High School of Science and MIT I have an  attachment to 
numbers. So I will start with some important ones that emphasize my major point 
- modern Europe as a result of consolidation through the EU is experiencing a 
certain schizophrenia in terms of its role in the world. 

  1. Europe is a growing economic powerhouse due to the creation of a 
collective economy.

  2. But Europe is a declining military power with a diminished role versus the 
United States' power and role -  and this gap is more pronounced with Bush as 
President than before, given Bush's inclination to defend and promote what he 
believes are American interests despite some international resistance. 

  For the record,  while I am not here to either endorse American actions in  
Iraq, nor to attack them (that can be my next talk), one argument Europeans, 
and many anti-war people in America made against the war is ridiculous - namely 
that the war was wrong and a mistake because it was not first approved by the 
UN.  Since the UN was created in 1945, there have been over 200 international 
conflicts, of which 2 - the Korean campaign in 1950 and the Gulf War of 1991 - 
received UN Security Council approval. The current campaign in Iraq was unique 
in that it was preceeded by 17 UN resolutions that demanded behavior from Iraq 
that was not forthcoming. 

  3. And in case, you missed this in the papers, the French have been bombing 
the Ivory Coast the past few weeks. Needless to say, they did not get UN 
approval before they sent their forces in.

Let us look at some numbers:  The EU now has 25 countries with a GDP of about 
10 trillion dollars. The EU countries have almost 450 million people.  The 
United States with 295 million people, has a GDP of about 11 trillion dollars, 
so obviously per capita GDP is higher here.

Add Turkey, and other Eastern European nations, Romania, Bulgaria, Croatia,  
and the EU  could soon be well over 500 million people. Russia has another 150 
million, Ukraine 40 million, though these countries are not currently 
considered potential members.  

But there is little or no population growth within each country, and with the 
exception of some of the Eastern European economies,  slow economic growth 
overall. In the US the 1950 population of 150 million has almost doubled 50 
years later. In the US, we have replacement population growth from a sufficient 
birth rate, plus immigration into the US, mostly from Mexico and East Asia.  
Europe's population, which grew only 20% the past 50 years, is now stagnant, 
and headed down given sharply declining birth rates.

Europe has changed a great deal with the growth of the EU.  Border controls 
between members states have ended.  It is now like driving between US states. 
There is a common currency in many EU countries. The EU Parliament is moving 
towards a  common foreign policy,  and a common economic policy with control 
over individual country budgets (which would be similar to US federal control 
over state budgets).   The EU is growing as a rival to the United States 
economically, and there is sure to be more economic  friction in the coming 
years.
 
But defense budgets in Europe are dropping. The US defense budget is larger 
than the next 20 largest defense budgets in the world combined. The European 
solution is to resolve problems multilaterally, and not by military means. Why? 
 If a military solution is required, then Europe must follow the American lead, 
and be in America's shadow. This is a dignity issue. If international problems 
are addressed multilaterally, then Europe is 25 EU nations, and in 
international forums like the UN, Europe has more than 30 votes,  and the US 
just one. 

But there is also an attitude or life style issue at play between Europe and 
America. Western Europeans want to believe that  all international disputes can 
be resolved amicably, or as they call it, diplomatically, and multilaterally.  
Deal with diplomatic issues in Geneva or at the UN. Resolve economic problems 
in Davos. Address war crimes disputes in Brussels. The explanation for this 
somewhat na�ve view of addressing the world's problems is that Europe is 
militarily and spiritually weak and  willing to appease those who might 
threaten the European life style. The Europeans' new ethos is the New York 
Times' editorial page social philosophy writ large: tolerance for everything - 
euthanasia, gay rights, drugs, abortion, Islam.  The only intolerance that is 
allowed is towards Christianity and Israel.

Look at lifestyle issues.  In the US,  average hours worked per year is close 
to 1900. In Germany, it is now below 1400. Europeans work less, retire earlier, 
and are better secured cradle to grave through an extensive and expensive 
social net than we are here. But this social system is paid for with much 
higher taxes than I believe would be accepted in the United States.  And the 
high cost to business to pay its share for this rich safety net means few 
workers are hired - hence 10% unemployment is a near constant level on the 
Continent. The population in Europe is aging almost as quickly as Japan's.  
Europeans have the lowest birth rates in the world. All countries in Europe 
except Ireland, have below-replacement fertility rates.  Catholic countries 
such as Italy and Spain have an average of 1.1 or 1.2 births per female of 
child bearing age.  In Northern Italy, the fertility rate (number of ch! ildren 
per woman of child bearing age) has fallen below 1, a first in world history. 

The most up-to-date demographic forecasts project that every single European 
country will have a smaller population in the year 2050 than today with the 
possible exception of Ireland and France.  Ireland has a high birth rate by 
European standards. France still has sufficient immigration to counter 
declining fertility rates. Some of the former Soviet states already have 
declining populations.  In Russia the death rate is now 1/3 greater than the 
birth rate. Russia may be half its current size in 50 years, as might some of 
the Baltic states. Italy is projected to be 1/4 smaller. Every minute on 
average, there are 3 births and 4 deaths in Russia. 

So Europe's population is aging and declining, and workers want to work less.  
This creates huge social issues. Who will do the work that Europeans 
increasingly do not want to do themselves: maid service, child care, working 
with the elderly, dishwashers.  Who will pay the taxes to support the social 
services which are skewed, as in the US, toward the rapidly growing bloc of the 
elderly?

Europeans have had largely homogeneous populations for most of their  history.  
European diversity used to mean Hungarians living in Rumania. Basically the 
Continent was all white and largely Christian, except for Muslim areas of 
Bosnia, Albania, Kosovo,  and Turkey, and the Jews of Eastern Europe.  In the 
past 40 years, African and Asian immigrants (mainly Muslim in both cases) have 
come in to do the work Europeans do not want to do any more, and  which 
Europeans so far can afford to pay others to do.

But the immigrant groups have changed the social  dynamic. Crime is way up in 
center cities. European cities still have lower murder rates than American 
cities but higher overall crime rates in many cases. London's crime rate is 
twice as high as New York's. The new immigrants, especially the Muslim 
immigrants, have not mixed well with the native population,. Entire immigrant 
communities have taken over sections in major cities, particularly in France, 
Britain, Germany, the Netherlands, Denmark, Sweden and Belgium. Half the babies 
born in Brussels are Muslim. The city of Malmo, Sweden, has become so dangerous 
that the fire department will not come for an emergency call in certain 
neighborhoods without police protection.  And then came the bombings in Spain 
on March 11, and the murder of Theo Van Gogh in the Netherlands a few weeks 
back.  Europe has been forced to think about the crazy aunt in the bedroom.

New pressures are emerging to restrict immigration because of its threat to 
societal homogeneity, and public safety. But there is a need for high levels of 
immigration to provide the warm bodies to do the work that needs to be done, 
and to contribute to the tax system to support the social safety net.  This is, 
I think, an irreconcilable conflict.

Current estimates are that at least 20 million  Muslims now live in Western 
Europe. Last year I met with the French Consul General last year to complain 
about French anti-Semitism, which of course he denied. When I told him that the 
French were kowtowing to the Muslim minority because it was ten times the size 
of its Jewish community, he cut me off to say there were only 4 million Muslims 
in France, not 6 million as I was implying. A year later, 6 million is the 
official estimate the French accept.  There are also 3 million Muslims in 
Germany (mainly Turks),  2 million in Britain (mainly Pakistanis), a million 
each in Italy and  the Netherlands (both mostly from North Africa). A recent 
article I read says the real Muslim population in France may be between 8 and 9 
million, as illegal immigration, aided and abetted by Europe's new open 
borders, has brought more and more Arabs to the country in Europe whe! re they 
were most numerous already- France.

One forecast I read suggests that France may be half Muslim by 2050 given 
continued immigration,  and the much higher birth rate for Muslims than other 
French.  Texas, on the other hand may be half Hispanic by 2025. But I don't 
think that this demographic change will necessarily affect Texas for the worse, 
and Texas will still be America. Immigrants to America, with the possible 
exception of some Muslims and Arabs, become American over time, like immigrant 
groups have before them. Will France still be French if it is half Muslim?  
David Pryce-Jones writes in a very fine article in  Commentary this month that 
either Islam will be Europeanized or Europe will be Islamized. Middle East 
scholar Bernard Lewis put it more starkly: given the comparative birth rates 
(white Europeans very low, Muslims very high) and immigration levels, soon 
enough Europe will be Muslim, and  the question will be ans! wered. 

The numbers provide important background  to explain Europe's problems  with 
Israel,  and its seeming obtuseness and infinite patience in continuing to 
defend and financially support the Palestinian Authority with billions in 
contributions (while the money  is continually diverted for terrorism and to 
support the lifestyles of the PA's thugocracy), and its near 100% support for 
Israel-bashing efforts in the UN and international bodies.  One small sign of 
sanity was the petition by a French legislator demanding a full accounting of 
money sent to the PA.  The petition gathered over 100 EU Parliament signatures, 
enough to require a formal response by the EU administration. That response was 
to send it to committee for further study.  Remember that Europeans invented 
bureaucracy, and have perfected the art.  

So why are the Europeans so hostile to Israel, and so sympathetic to the 
Palestinians?

There are  a number of factors that I think explain  European behavior towards 
Israel. I have identified seven of them: 

  1. Europe's dependence on Middle East oil.
  2. Europe's rivalry with the US.
  3. The growing number of Muslims and their militancy.
  4. The small number of Jews, and their passivity. 
  5. The role of elites in Europe's politics.
  6. Europe's long term disease of anti-Semitism. 
  7. The decline of Christianity in Europe. 

  1. Oil: The US obtains half its oil from domestic sources, and much of the 
rest from Venezuela, Nigeria, and other non-Arab or Middle East countries. 
Europe is much more dependent on foreign oil, and especially  Middle East oil. 
If OPEC, and Middle  Eastern nations use the oil weapon to  punish the US  for 
its policies with Israel and the Palestinians, or for war against Iraq, Europe 
will suffer more than we will.

  2.  Rivalry with the US:  Taking a slap at Israel is a cheap and easy way to 
annoy the US and insert Europe in  a competing power role. The US is "too 
pro-Israel," so Europe will be more  balanced and nuanced,  more multilateral, 
more understanding of the Palestinian side. The old argument was that only the 
US could pressure Israel, so Arabs needed to work with US as well. Now the 
European argument is that only Europe can work with the  PA given America's 
isolation of Arafat and the PA. We have seen a similar logic in the French and 
German approach in the period leading up to the war with Iraq.  Part of the 
resistance to American efforts may have been honest disagreement about the 
results of continued inspections. But a far greater part, especially in the 
case of France, was designed to spite the US and interfere with America's 
projection of power abroad.  A final factor of course wa! s money- the spoils 
for France, and Russia and Germany from the oil for food scandal, the largest 
financial scandal in the world's history, even though you won't find it on the 
front page of the New York Times (no room, what with Halliburton and Enron to 
write about).

  3.Europe is afraid of its Muslims. There is fear that if Europe behaves 
towards the PA the way the US does, that the terrorism of 9/11 and the terror 
that Israel experiences  would explode over into Europe's streets.  This 
explains why Spain voted for appeasement of al Qaeda after the train attacks of 
3/11. This is why the violence against Europe's Jews is explained away as youth 
vandalism, not as racist hate crimes. Europe's police forces are also not made 
of the same stuff as New York's finest.  Not all European police are as 
pathetic as the British in terms of avoiding the use of firearms for police 
officers and security personnel, but that is the trend. The Muslim gang members 
who commit crimes against Europe's Jews have no fear of  the police in European 
cities as criminals might in major US  cities. Yes, Muslims in Europe are often 
treated as second class citizens, and they are resentful. But! most of this 
resentment comes from the hostility that is bred into those who attend the 
mosques of Europe, and learn from the  imams trained in Saudi style Wahhabism 
in the Saudi Kingdom or Pakistan.  The Muslims in Europe are by and large not 
integrated into the fabric of their societies, but much of this is not a result 
of discrimination, but a conscious decision to remain outside the new secular 
Europe.  Islam after all is at heart both a religion, and an aggressive 
political movement. There is no separation of church and state in Islam. 
Radical Islam intends to dominate and overwhelm Europe. 

  There is also little intermarriage by immigrants in Europe. In the US 10 % of 
blacks marry whites,  50% of Asians marry non-Asians, and as we know about half 
of Jews marry non Jews.

  4. There are few Jews left in Europe: Other than France and Britain there are 
not  many Jews around in Europe today.  The total Jewish population is a little 
over a  million in Western Europe, and merely a handful in Eastern Europe other 
than the former Soviet republics.  There has been a little Jewish revival in 
Germany caused by immigration from the Soviet Union. So we see declining 
numbers everywhere else - aging population, low birth rate, high intermarriage 
rate. Does this sound familiar? Unlike the US, the Jewish communities in Europe 
are in many cases remnants of once larger communities,  and are not politically 
assertive. There is no European equivalent of AIPAC, and Jews lack a meaningful 
political voice. Most European Jews before 1939 lived  in Eastern Europe, not 
Western Europe. France has twice as many Jews today as it did in 1939 as a 
result of getting a sizable  share of the! Sephardic Jews expelled from Arab 
countries after the creation of the state of Israel - particularly from 
Tunisia, Algeria, and Morocco. Western Europe may have lost a million Jews in 
the Holocaust, while Eastern Europe lost 5 million.

  Interestingly, in Eastern Europe (other than in the former Soviet bloc), 
being Jewish is now becoming a bit trendy, even hot in some cases.  In 
Slovenia, my wife's native country, with perhaps 500 Jews, a major magazine had 
a ten page story on the Jews of Slovenia (that's 50 Jews per page),  the 
President lit Chanukah  candles, and the first synagogue in almost 500 years 
has just been opened in the capital of Ljubljana. There is a sort of  
philo-Semitism  in some other Eastern European countries as well, including 
Bulgaria, the Czech Republic and amazingly enough, even in Poland. Jews or 
partial Jews are coming out of the woodwork. While this is better than the 
situation that existed in these countries for decades or centuries in some 
cases, the Jews who remain are in some respect museum pieces or curiosities, 
and the communities belong to history.

  In Western Europe, however, Jews are looking for cover. Wear a yamulka in a 
public places, and you could become a target. Eat at a Jewish cafeteria, go to 
synagogue, go to a Jewish day school, and you might become a target.  You are 
even a target after you are buried. The worst anti Semitism is in France, but 
it is also terrible in Belgium, and Germany and bad in other countries as well. 
The more critical the governments and media are of Israeli behavior in a 
particular country, the more the violence seems to spread - almost as if it 
were given a license. Were European government policy to become more supportive 
of Israel,  the fear is that the attacks would then be directed against 
European  institutions, rather than Europe's Jews.


  5. Role of the Elites: In Europe the elites have a far different role than 
they do in the United States. The elites of Europe are the coffee shop 
philosophers - the leftists who romanticize the violence of Che Guevara, Yassar 
Arafat, and the Sunni killers fighting our forces in Iraq: the revolutionaries 
fighting Western hegemony, colonialism, militarism, imperialism, etc. In the US 
we have such people too- they make up the humanities faculties of most colleges 
and universities, particularly at elite schools. As William F. Buckley once 
said, he would rather be governed by the first 200 names from the Boston phone 
directory than any 200 Harvard faculty picked at random. And  for the record, 
Harvard is far from the worst of the lot - ten times as many Harvard faculty 
signed the anti-divestment  petition concerning Israel as the pro divestment 
petition, and the current Harvard president, Larry Summers,  has succeed! ed in 
just two years in driving out academic poseur Cornell West, criticizing the 
academic left for  its anti Semitic behavior,  and encouraging a return of  
military recruiting and ROTC to campus.

  In America the leftist academics prepare petitions and write their drivel for 
academic conferences, but they really do not much affect public policy. Yes, 
there is a soft leftist mindset that wafts out of academia and courses through 
the media, and has a real influence over the messages that are communicated in 
our society. This is what Bernard Goldberg in Bias and Ann Coulter in Slander 
have written about.  But it is not the harsh anti-Western nihilistic nonsense 
that is so prevalent in academia.  It is easy to forget that in the 1960s, the 
Kennedy Administration seemed to take half of Cambridge, Massachusetts with it 
to Washington. That kind of academic influence on policy, whether in a 
Democratic or Republican administration, no longer exists.

  Europe is very different. The elites are public intellectuals and have a 
major role in making government policy. This is why the mindless 
anti-Americanism of the German minister with her Hitler analogy to George Bush 
can be voiced.  It is why major media in Britain and France and Italy ,and to a 
lesser extent Germany, are full of biting anti-American, and anti-Israel 
commentary. That "shitty little country" comment by the French Ambassador to 
Britain reflects the worldview of the European elites. Israel is the 
imperialist colonialist power. There is nothing noble about its struggle 
against terrorism. The Palestinians are the oppressed - the new South Africans 
fighting the Israeli  apartheid.

  This is not just a reflection of government policy caused by fear of domestic 
Muslim terrorism, but a romanticism for the presumed helpless victim, and 
admiration for the revolutionary gunmen fighting for their freedom.  In Europe 
the elites believe this garbage. The anger against Israel among the elites is 
very strong. The coverage of the conflict by the leftist European media, the 
bibles of the elites- the Guardian, Le Monde, the BBC, Reuters, feed this anger 
with their reporting.  And recently, in a clear violation of the most basic 
tenets of academic freedom, both British and French academics have attempted to 
eliminate scholarly contact with Israeli academics.

  In the US we are a very culturally diverse and politically divided nation. 
Abortion, gun rights, taxes, government spending, the proper  role of religion 
in the public sphere, are all  issues on which the population is sharply 
divided.  But there is also common ground that we can call an acceptance of 
basic American and democratic principles. It is a fairly conservative common 
ground- patriotic, respectful of religion (remember the public reaction to the 
9th Circuit judges ruling on the "under God" language in the Pledge of 
Allegiance), and  supportive of free enterprise.  
   
  The European elites align with Noam Chomsky's world view.  An example is the 
way the European  elites  ridicule religion (other than Islam). Because of the 
role that the elites have in European politics- often  moving into and out of 
government and non-governmental organization  roles - their views have a 
hearing in the circles of government decision-making.

  The Greens - a far left movement that started as an environmental movement - 
are now pro-Palestinian, anti-American, anti-capitalist and anti-war, and 
growing in strength throughout the Continent. Their inclusion in Germany's 
current government was a central reason for Gerhard Schroeder's hostility to 
America in the lead-up to war with Iraq. There is pitifully little common 
ground between the major American policy consensus and Europe's Greens.

  America's Greens (represented by Ralph Nader and Israel-hating  film director 
Michael Moore) have similar views as Europe's Greens, but here,  thankfully, 
the Greens are a 2% phenomenon at best (this year less than a 1% phenomenon). 
In Europe they are 10% of the voters in many countries, and part of many 
governing coalitions.  They influence all the other parties on the left and 
make them less sympathetic to America and by extension  to Israel.

  How bad has it gotten for Israel in Europe?

  Public opinion surveys show huge majorities favor the Palestinians over 
Israel, by 2 to 1 or 3 to 1 in the large countries, and by 10 to 1 in some 
smaller ones. In the US, surveys show 3 to1 to 4 to 1 support for Israel over 
the Palestinians. Italy's government is the most sympathetic to Israel, then 
Britain, then Germany, then France among the largest four.  The media is least 
hostile to Israel in Germany (with greater care taken to not cross the line to 
anti-Semitism, given the Germans' ignoble history).

  The public is also very hostile to Israel in Belgium, Spain, and in  
Scandinavia - which has no Jews to speak of. Norway took great pride in the 
Oslo agreement. Foreign Minister Terje Larsen facilitated this agreement.  
Norway awarded a Nobel Peace Prize to Yassar Arafat. They still think he is 
deserving, but some questioned  Peres's award because of his complicity in the 
"massacre" in Jenin, which of course never happened. Larsen is very hard on  
Israel and his attacks on Sharon have been slanderous. In Jenin he knowingly 
lied about war crimes. There is a total unwillingness to accept that Oslo was a 
disaster for Israel.  Sweden prides itself on its moral superiority and has 
condemned Israel in unusually strong language  even for Europe.  Let us not 
forget, however, that Sweden  was neutral in World War 2. Somehow they could 
not come around to choosing sides between the Allies and t! he Nazis.

  The International Criminal Court and the war crimes tribunals against Sharon 
in Belgium were another way for Europeans to annoy America,  badger Israel, and 
try to force a European role in American foreign policy and military decisions. 
But it also demonstrates the problem of moral equivalence (or in reality, the 
absence of any grounded morality) which is an endemic problem for Europeans. 
Sharon is equivalent to Milosevic. Sabra and Shattila are the same as  
Srebenica. The occupation and suicide bombings are viewed as equivalent. 
Without occupation, claim the Euro apologists for Palestinian violence, there 
would be no terror bombings or attacks.

  6.  Anti-Semitism lives on in Europe:  Europeans have a Jewish problem. In 
fact with the exception of a few decades after World War 2, they always have 
had a problem with their Jews. But charges of anti-Semitism are hurtful to 
Europeans. They want to put the past in the trunk and lock it for good. The 
centuries of discrimination, the pogroms, the ghettos, the Holocaust, are all 
ancient history, crimes of an older Europe.  Anti -Israel attitudes are 
everywhere in Europe - in many cases official government policy - and are all 
over the media from the BBC and Reuters, to the tabloid rags. But anti-Semitism 
is more problematic since it violates the Europeans' notion of human rights, 
and their more ordered  "higher quality" societies.  So the rejection of the 
charge is immediate and fierce.  There is no more guilt about past behavior but 
defensiveness about current charges of Jew hatred.  Even! Amnesty  
International has  been forced to condemn suicide  bombings  as crimes against 
humanity because of the charge that by ignoring these atrocities, and 
concentrating instead on Israel's counter measures, it was anti-Semitic. Murder 
of Jews did not concern them, only what happened to Arabs.  

  The attacks on the "neocons" and Paul Wolfowitz (in reality, the Jews and 
their puppeteer Ariel Sharon) as the primary force behind America's going to 
war with Iraq, also fit the classical pattern of conspiracy theories about 
Jewish world power. These theories, anti-Semitic at their core, have been 
propagated widely in Europe. 

  7. The decline of Christianity: Here one can see perhaps the biggest 
difference between Europe and America, and a difference that is very favorable 
to support for Israel in the US. Jews are now less than 2% of America's 
population , down from 4% in 1950,  and our numbers have declined from six to 
just over five million. Muslims and Arabs may together be 3 to 4 million, not 
the 6 to 7 million they claim, but their numbers are rapidly growing. 

  The decline in church membership in America is in the  liberal Protestant 
churches: the Episcopalians, Methodists, Presbyterians - the groups least 
sympathetic to Israel. Their members of course behave like most liberal Jews. 
They read the New York Times, listen to NPR and vote Democratic. 

  Evangelical Christians and practicing Catholics, on the other hand, are 
growing in numbers. And especially among evangelical Christians, support for 
Israel is very strong. This community, which has an above average number of 
births, is growing as a share of the population. That is good for political 
support for Israel here. 

  Some in the Jewish community seem fearful of this support from evangelicals, 
believing it is based on an "end of days" prophecy, which they do not accept. 
But if more Jews actually met with evangelicals, they would quickly learn that 
their support for Israel is broad based, and reflects an understanding that 
Israel is a strategic ally of America in the war on terror, that Israel works 
with us in the United Nations, and that Israel shares our Western values and 
attitudes. Evangelicals are also comfortable with both Biblical support and 
historical connections between the Jews and the land of Israel. If such support 
or connections did not exist, what basis would Herzl have had to recreate the 
Jewish state in Israel, and not say Uganda, as some early Zionist supporters 
suggested. 

  In Europe, the number of practicing Christians has fallen very far very fast. 
In Europe the  elites routinely  ridicule Christianity ( in fact they ridicule 
all religions, other than Islam), in the fashion of Bill Maher or Maureen Dowd. 
 Europeans now have the lowest church attendance in the  western  world.   In 
Britain, of those who attend Anglican church services,  more than half are  
African or Caribbean blacks. There are exceptions of course. Ireland and Poland 
are countries where many white Europeans still go to church. Current estimates 
are that 10% of Europe's population are practicing Christians, about double the 
number of Muslims on the continent. What is left -  the vast majority of 
Europeans - are  secular humanists,  or anti-religious right wingers, and 
Israel has no biblical or moral significance for either group.  

  In the case of the secular humanists,  Israel's "misbehavior" with the 
Palestinians is viewed as a thorn in the side of good relations with their 
Muslims.  Israel's strongest supporters in Europe, much as in America, are the 
religious Protestants. But they are few and far between, and they themselves 
are the subject of the same scorn and hostility from the left , as occurs here. 
 The liberal Christian  churches of Europe, the ones which do not believe in 
God, have been behaving for many years towards Israel like the Presbyterian 
Church is now behaving  in the US. 

Does Israel have any hope for better relations with Europe? Europe will react 
better to an Israel run by someone from the left, and an Israel that shrinks.  
A Barak or a Peres,  in fact most  anyone other than Sharon, would make Europe 
happier. But just as in our recent Presidential election, Europeans, 
thankfully, do not get to vote. Israelis will pick their leaders, just as we 
pick our own. 

Ariel Sharon had no hope of ever getting a fair hearing in Europe. From the 
beginning, the Europeans viewed him as a war criminal. If a more moderate 
Palestinian leadership emerged, and there were substantive peace talks and the 
appearance  of flexibility on the part of Israel, Israel's public image in 
Europe would improve. There are lots of hypotheticals in this last statement of 
course. So don't bet the ranch on it happening. I do not have much confidence 
that we are entering a new period of reconciliation between the Palestinians 
and Israel.

The current  intifada has been a disaster for both peoples, but particularly 
for the Palestinians. In Israel, in addition to the  dead, the injured, and the 
destruction, there has been  the killing of any  trust between the two sides, 
and  the disappearance of the once strong Israeli peace camp which made the 
Palestinian case within Israel.

The Europeans demand that Israel go back to where it was at Camp David or Taba 
and forget its 1000 plus dead, the terror attacks, the vicious hate rhetoric 
and delegitimization campaign that the Palestinians  and  their Arab allies 
have broadcast relentlessly  in all venues around the world. The Israelis know 
that the Islamic terror groups, as well as the secular terror groups, are still 
armed to the teeth and remain aggressive in their intentions. 

In my view, without disarmament and the arrest of terrorists and an end to 
incitement against Israel, there will be no peace. That is the reality in this 
conflict.  This conflict is not primarily  about settlements or the occupation, 
as the Europeans charge,  though these are important issues. More basically we 
have two peoples claiming the same land. And the conflict will not end so long 
as most Palestinians believe their land is not only  the West Bank and Gaza, 
but Israel too.

The American-led war with Iraq was revealing for the divisions that it exposed 
within Europe, though on Israel the negative sentiment remained close to 
universal. Britain, Spain (under Aznar), Italy, and a few other European 
countries  provided troops and material  support in the war effort. The French, 
 the Germans,  the Belgians, the Greeks,  and many other Europeans opposed the 
war for a variety of reasons, including:

  1.The instability it might cause among their own Arab populations  which 
would need to be controlled.
  2. The potential  loss of business investments and  opportunities since 
Europeans  willingly filled the gap left by America's boycott of business 
activity with Iraq.  
  3. Because the war demonstrated America's military power, and Europe's 
weakness. Military action meant the UN and diplomacy and multilateralism had 
not worked. Since these are the holy trinity of European international 
politics, the resistance to American action was deeply felt and resented.

The Americans have learned that a country that only responds rhetorically and 
diplomatically to attacks against it, will continue to be  attacked. Sometimes 
you have to take the battle to the enemy, as Israel did after the Passover 
massacre in Netanya, and the Americans did to al Qaeda and the Taliban after  
9/11, and as FDR did by going after Germany first after Pearl Harbor, though we 
had been attacked by Japan, and not Germany,  a piece of history that seems to 
have been largely forgotten.  

The best defense is often a good offense. As in football, keep the other side's 
offense off the field.

Other than for Tony Blair, this doctrine is foreign to the Europeans. After the 
train bombings in Madrid in 3/11, the newly elected peace government in Spain 
quickly removed their forces from Iraq. Appeasement did not work in Europe in 
1938, and Spain's pitiful behavior will only encourage the Islamic radicals to 
intensify their efforts to undermine the soft regimes they see all over the 
Continent.  Thankfully, from my perspective at least, we live in a world where 
we have an American president who does not believe that passivity in the face 
of attacks directed against his country is a successful long term strategy.  
That  attitude is the same as Ariel Sharon's and reflects the new reality that 
many Israelis woke up to with this latest intifada.  

And it is that shared attitude by both leaders- Bush and Sharon - that ensures, 
I think, a strong US-Israel relationship in the years ahead.  Certainly, the 
support of evangelicals, the bipartisan support in Congress (thanks in large 
part to AIPAC and Jews' political activism), and  the different sizesof the 
Jewish and Muslim communities here versus in Europe, all matter to the 
equation. But we should never underestimate leaders, and the messages they 
send.  George Bush seems to get it, that in the conflict in which we are now 
engaged, Israel is on the same page.



Richard Baehr 




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