http://www.janes.com/security/international_security/news/jtsm/jtsm041123_1_n.shtml

23 November 2004


Islamic militancy in southern Africa

By D. Fleming 

While the breadth of jihadist activity attracts the world's media to
the Middle East, the Caucasus, and Central and Southeast Asia,
relatively little coverage is given to the development of the
militancy in sub-Saharan Africa. 

Yet the presence of organised, militant Islamic formations across
southern Africa has increased since the 11 September 2001 attacks in
the US, despite an active effort by US intelligence agencies to
reverse the situation. Partly, this results from the increased
regional movement of foreign jihadists following the defeat of the
Afghani Taliban in 2002 and, partly, from an increased local Islamic
consciousness following Washington's occupation of Iraq in the
following year. 

Muslim sentiment became more receptive to the jihadi in Mozambique,
Tanzania and South Africa with increased safe haven. Mozambique's
Islamic believers are estimated to vary between 19 per cent and 38 per
cent of the total population and, until 1991, were not often
approached by Wahhabi theological interpreters of the Koran - a strict
form of Sunni Islam practiced in Saudi Arabia. Since 1975, the
Soviet-aligned Frelimo has been the ruling party, which displays
little tolerance of faith-based social formations, both Christian and
Muslim. Since this time, the country has become a 'corridor state' for
international jihadis going to the Western Cape and Gauteng provinces
in South Africa. 

The late head of Al-Qaeda's operational arm, Muhammad Atef, was
responsible for dividing Mozambique into two zones for this purpose:
north of the coastal city of Beira and the Zambezi river is included
with Tanzania, Kenya and Somalia; south of it, including Swaziland and
Zimbabwe, is the Southern Africa zone, with a looser command element
found in Maputo, Chimoio and Mbabane. Their tasking is said to be one
of co-ordination and communication and not operational. An Al-Qaeda
operation here, were it to occur, is assessed as most likely to take
the form of simultaneous, multiple attacks against in-flight aviation,
fuel depot infrastructure or detonation of a vessel loaded with
ammonium nitrate-diesel fuel mix alongside target shipping, bridges or
weirs.



Note:the above is not the full item








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