A New Doctrine for New Wars

      By James Webb. Mr. Webb was a combat marine in Vietnam and later 

secretary of the Navy.

 

      For more than a decade, our military has been conducting its 

world-wide activities without a clearly articulated doctrine that would 

dictate the size and makeup of its forces and the acceptable uses to which 

they would be put. So long as the Soviet Union remained a threat, this 

glaring omission could be overlooked, since the military was sized and 

positioned in a way that could allow it to adapt to lesser contingencies. 

The buildup in the Gulf War was a direct product of this Cold War 

positioning, as many of the units deployed to Saudi Arabia were shifted from


Europe.

 

      Post-Cold War policies dramatically reduced the size of the military, 

even as debates continued regarding its missions. Lacking a traditional 

"threat" around which to build military forces, defense officials had great 

difficulty justifying the size and functions of the military to Congress and


the media.

 

      The recent focus on international terrorism raises the prospect that 

traditional deterrence, both nuclear and conventional, could be minimized in


the public's eye. In order to ensure that this does not happen, our 

leadership needs to articulate a clear national strategy that addresses all 

our responsibilities.

 

      As a starting point, it should be remembered that an operational 

paradigm is not a strategic doctrine. The most egregious misuse of this term


in recent years has been its application to the so-called Powell Doctrine, 

which called for the use of massive, overwhelming force whenever the U.S. 

military was put into play. The Powell Doctrine was little more than a 

"best-case scenario" for situations where the U.S. could respond at its own 

discretion, using a schedule of its choosing, against an enemy whose 

military makeup allowed such a response. But sometimes a nation must fight 

even when it cannot muster up an overwhelming advantage, as in the early 

days of World War II. And sometimes massive force is irrelevant, as in the 

anti-terrorist campaigns we are waging today.

 

      The most useful strategic doctrine in recent decades was that 

announced by Richard Nixon in 1969. The Nixon Doctrine was based on three 

broad principles -- that we would provide a nuclear deterrent to hostile 

powers, that we would actively defend allies under external attack, and that


we would provide military equipment and other assistance to friendly nations


battling insurgents within their borders. The great strength of the 

doctrine, which has not been fully superseded, was that it allowed 

discretion regarding whether to enter direct combat, while assuring friendly


nations that we would not abandon them. Its principle weakness today is that


it did not take into account the evolution of asymmetrical warfare, or the 

ability of terrorist movements to avoid direct affiliation with any specific


state sponsor.

 

      As we look at shaping a comprehensive new doctrine, two historic 

models come to mind. Both instruct us as to how we can meet the 

responsibilities of maintaining global stability while addressing the 

long-term need to directly combat asymmetrical movements such as al Qaeda. 

And just as importantly, both also offer a clear warning regarding the 

dangers of over-stretch if we ask too much of a military with only 1.4 

million active-duty members.

 

      Americans tend to recoil from the word "empire," but the grand 

strategy of the British in the decades leading up to World War I is a 

relevant precedent. Britain's diplomacy and strategy were based on a desire 

to maintain world-wide stability and to protect its commercial interests. 

Similarly, Britain was a dominant maritime power that made minimum use of 

its own ground forces. In Asia, it counterbalanced the maritime interests of


other nations in part by developing an alliance with Japan. Despite an 

empire that required a military presence in hot spots that spanned the 

globe, at the start of World War I the British Army had only six active 

divisions. The U.S. has 13 today, including the Marine Corps, with a far 

wider spectrum of responsibilities than had the British a century ago.

 

      In terms of how our military should operate with nations and movements


that share our ideology, we should remember the successes of the Soviet 

Union throughout the Cold War period. Until their invasion of Afghanistan, 

the Soviets relied on a strategy of "cooperative forces," assisting 

insurgent armies around the world in their bid to destabilize and demoralize


the West. This involved supply and training, but the Soviets themselves 

never found it necessary to field an army against the Western powers. This 

surrogate approach was highly effective. It was a major reason that the U.S.


found itself involved in lengthy wars in Korea and Vietnam, at a cost of 

more than 100,000 combat deaths, while the Soviets themselves enjoyed a 

period of relative calm.

 

      Both of these strategies met their demise in wars that required 

sizable commitments of ground forces. The British commitment in World War I 

eventually bled a generation dry, with a loss of nearly a million soldiers, 

and empire died with them. The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan sucked up a 

large percentage of its army, and in the end demoralized the nation. Indeed,


the war in Afghanistan may have contributed to the demise of the USSR every 

bit as much as the U.S. approach of outspending the Soviets on defense until


they could no longer afford to compete.

 

      The key elements of a new doctrine seem obvious. We must retain our 

position as the dominant guarantor of world-wide stability through strategic


and conventional forces that deter potentially aggressive nations. We must 

be willing to retaliate fiercely against nations that participate in or 

condone aggressive acts, as well as non-national purveyors of asymmetric 

warfare. But we should take great care when it comes to committing large 

numbers of ground forces to open-ended combat, and we should especially 

avoid using them as long-term occupation troops.

 

      The approach to our commitment in Afghanistan fits the above criteria,


and should serve as a clear warning to other states that have condoned or 

supported terrorism. The Taliban were warned, and were offered the chance to


rid their country of Osama bin Laden's forces. Our military campaign has 

been conducted with lethality, relying on mobile naval and air assets and 

special forces units. The ground campaign has been carried out principally 

through local forces. Marine Corps infantry units were inserted at a time 

when the campaign's objectives had been clearly focused, in order to perform


specific tasks. And around the world, the U.S. military is still carrying 

out its functions of maintaining global stability.

 

      This formula works, and as the campaign stretches, we should not be 

tempted by its very successes to change it. If we remain focused on the twin


goals of deterring cross-border aggression and eliminating international 

terrorism we will prevail. If we move beyond these clear objectives, we risk


running out of people, equipment, and the kind of clarity that maintains the


national spirit.

 

      Basil Liddell Hart, who was gassed as a British infantry captain in 

the trenches of World War I and became perhaps the greatest strategist of 

the 20th century, put it best. "A conservative state may defeat its own 

purpose by exhausting itself so much that it is unable to resist other 

enemies, or the internal effects of overstrain. . . . Economy of force and 

deterrent effect are best combined in the defensive-offensive method, based 

on high mobility that carries the power of quick riposte."

 

 

http://interactive.wsj.com/fr/emailthis/retrieve.cgi?id=SB100708664375324712
0.djm

 



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