http://billroggio.com/archives/2006/12/the_fall_of_the_isla.php

 


The Fall of the Islamic Courts


 <http://billroggio.com/maps/Somalia-battle-12272006.php> 


The Somalia Battlefield on 12/27/2006. 
Light blue - Ethiopian & TFG advances. 
Green - ICU territory. 
Orange - recent clashes. 
Click image to view.

Aweys, Sharif, resign; the TFG and Ethiopian forces are on the outskirts of
Mogadishu

Nine days after the onset of open warfare between the al-Qaeda backed
Islamic Courts and the Ethiopian backed Transitional Federal Government, the
Islamic Courts have <http://somalinet.com/news/world/Somalia/6223>
surrendered. "After having crucial and urgent meeting tonight in the
capital, the leaders of executive and Shura councils of Islamic Courts Union
and deputy leader of executive council of ICU, Sheik Hassan Dahir Aweys,
Sheik Sharif Sheik Ahmed and Sheik Abdirahman Janaqow resigned and issued a
joint press statement over the current situation in Somalia particular in
Mogadishu," reports SomaliNet 

Prior to resignation of Aweys and Sharif, the Islamic Courts were in full
retreat. The TFG and Ethiopian forces have
<http://www.jg-tc.com/articles/2006/12/27/ap/international/d8m96glg0.txt>
taken the cities of Jowhar and Balad. Balad is just 20 miles north of
Mogadishu. The fighting around Jowhar was described
<http://www.garoweonline.com/stories/publish/article_6716.shtml>  as
"heavy," and fighting is said to be ongoing in the town of Lego, where the
Islamic Courts had set up a military base.

Inside Mogadishu, elements
<http://www.garoweonline.com/stories/publish/article_6730.shtml>  of Islamic
Courts militia threw in the towel. In four Mogadishu neighborhood, the
Islamic Courts have transferred their weapons over to pro-Transitional
Federal Government clans. "Islamist officials told their militiamen to leave
the barracks and return to civilian life. Witnesses reported seeing young
Islamist fighters change to civilian attire and walk away with personal
weapons, such as the AK-47," reports Garowe.

Mohammed Dheere, the warlord formerly in charge of Jowhar, has stated the
final assault on <http://www.shabelle.net/news/ne1953.htm>  Mogadishu will
occur tomorrow. "We will attack Mogadishu tomorrow from Balad and Afgoye",
said Dheere. This has not been confirmed by either the TFG or Ethiopian
authorities. With the surrender of the ICU, an assault on Mogadishu is not
needed.

The Ethiopians are looking
<http://themedialine.org/news/news_detail.asp?NewsID=16193>  for a quick
exit from Somalia, and have indicated they will leave soon. "Once we
accomplish the mission - half is already over and the rest will not take
long - we will leave," said Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi. 

The Islamic Courts are signaling they will conduct an insurgency. The call
for its fighters to blend into the population with their AK-47s is one sign.
ICU leaders are giving all of the indications an insurgency is in the works.
"Our snakes of defense were let loose, now they are ready to bite the enemy
everywhere in Somalia," said Sheik Mohamoud Ibrahim Suley. "We will fight
Ethiopia for a very long time, and we expect the war to reach everywhere,"
according to an ICU statement. Even the resignation of the ICU leaders in
Mogadishu indicated the ICU still wants to enforce sharia and calls for its
fighters to "secure the stability and get ready in the police stations and
other security stations." 

The ICU may also be working to integrate its security forces and other
elements of the organization into the new, TFG led government to destroy it
from within.


Tags:


*       Somalia
<http://www.billroggio.com/cgi-bin/cms/mt-search.cgi?tag=Somalia&blog_id=1>


By Bill Roggio <http://billroggio.com>  on December 

 



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