http://www.nysun.com/article/69850
 

Baghdad, 2009


New York Sun Staff Editorial
January 21, 2008
URL: http://www.nysun.com/article/69850

The next talking point for Democrats has emerged in respect of the Battle of
Iraq. The three leading contenders are agreed - this emerged at Las Vegas -
that President Bush should refrain from negotiating a deal with Iraq's
government on the long-term presence of American soldiers in the country.
Senator Clinton asked Senator Obama to co-sponsor her legislation "to try to
rein in President Bush so that he doesn't commit this country to his policy
in Iraq." Mr. Obama opined, "The notion that President Bush could somehow
tie the hands of the next president, I think, is contrary to how our
democracy's supposed to work." Senator Edwards promptly contradicted his own
earlier policy papers and pledged to remove all combat troops from Iraq in
his first year in office. Not to be outdone, the New York Times Thursday
issued an editorial calling on Congress to demand a vote on any new
agreement regarding the long term American presence.

Well, it's nice to see the liberals come around to the idea that Congress
ought to endorse the international arrangements of prior presidents. Perhaps
the Democrats and the Times will apply the same principle to their cherished
Kyoto Accord or the International Criminal Court. The truth is that the
Washington-Baghdad negotiations are not likely to conclude before the next
president takes office. The reason is that the current federal government in
Baghdad is far too divided to reach an accord on Coalition troops. That is
almost certainly an issue that is going to have to await the election of a
new Parliament in Baghdad. In other words, it's going to have to await
elections scheduled for 2009. So the real question is whether the Democratic
Party's nominee will commit at least to keeping enough troops in Iraq to
protect that democratic process from attack by anti-democratic elements.

And just to put the Democratic Party aspirates further on the spot, who is
the logical person to decide what kind of American force levels are going to
be required to help protect voters - remember those brave souls with the
purple-stained fingers at whom all of us thrilled - from the assassins and
saboteurs who are lurking? Why, the logical person is General Petraeus. Talk
about your willing suspension of disbelief. Is Mrs. Clinton or Mr. Obama
going to gainsay the general's judgment on a matter like this? Particularly
because the 2009 elections are so key to the long term stability of Iraq. If
Iraqis elect new leaders, or their example in throwing out some confessional
terror parties persuades others to reform, then the country can emerge from
the ashes of the war its neighbors waged against it.

The fact is that although a year ago the prospect for 2009 was dim, today
there is reason for hope. One lasting success of the surge was the movement
among tribes in Anbar and other Sunni majority provinces to form parties
independent from those that claimed to represent them. The leaders of these
awakening councils have signed agreements to cooperate against Al Qaeda with
the federal government populated by parties representing those who cleansed
their co-religionists in Baghdad. A similar phenomenon is marinating now in
the Shiite south. These local rebellions are the seed to newer parties
committed at least to a social peace and defense of communities against the
scourge of Sunni and Shiite Islamic supremacism. In March we will find out
soon enough whether the awakening councils can unseat the Baghdad based
parties in provincial elections. We would not bet against them. The question
is whether the Democrats will.

 



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