http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/07/31/africa/ME-Iraq.php
 
Suicide car bomb kills three Iraqi policemen 

The Associated Press 
Thursday, July 31, 2008 

BAGHDAD: July 2008 was the least deadly month for Americans in Iraq since
the war began more than five years ago.

An Associated Press tally showed at least 10 U.S. troop deaths as the month
came to a close Thursday after the departure of the last surge brigade.

Iraqi civilians also are dying in lower numbers with the war in its sixth
year, even though a suicide bombing and rising ethnic tensions in northern
Iraq showed the fragility of security successes.

At least 510 Iraqi civilians and security force members were killed in July,
according to an AP count. That's a 75 percent drop from more than 2,000
deaths in the same period last year, when a U.S. troop buildup aimed at
quelling rampant Sunni-Shiite violence was nearing its peak.

The past year's drastic decline in violence has led to increasing optimism
among American commanders, who have been wary of declaring success after
past lulls proved short-lived. It also has become a key issue in the U.S.
presidential campaign.

"The progress is still reversible," U.S. President George W. Bush said
Thursday in Washington. But he added that a new "degree of durability in
gains" should permit him to announce further troop reductions later this
year.

The last of five combat brigades sent as part of the so-called surge
returned home earlier this month, leaving about 145,000 American troops in
Iraq. That's still higher than the roughly 130,000 to 135,000 who were here
before the troop increase.

U.S. soldiers appear to be taking on more of a peacekeeping role after many
Sunni and Shiite extremists agreed to stop fighting — helping to drive down
casualty figures.

The U.S. military says a Sunni revolt against al-Qaida in Iraq and a truce
by anti-American Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr have played large roles in
quelling violence, along with the troop buildup and improvements in training
Iraqi security forces.

"The key mission for the United States looking forward is to maintain the
cease-fires and prevent people from going back to the warpath," said Stephen
Biddle, an analyst at the Council on Foreign Relations who has advised the
U.S. military command in Iraq.

"Their purpose in Iraq is increasingly changing from fighting a war to
keeping a peace," he said in a telephone interview.

The level of U.S. troop deaths has seesawed in recent months, but monthly
figures are still well below the triple digit tallies seen before the
security successes.

The 10 American fatalities recorded in July — which included six non-combat
deaths — was roughly a third of the 29 who died the previous month,
according to AP figures. By contrast, 80 deaths occurred in July 2007.

The July figures could rise as the military sometimes announces deaths days
after they occur.

"There is a reason to hope that it's going to stay very low," Biddle said,
adding the current fighting focused on "dealing with holdouts rather than
trying to break the back of an ongoing insurgency."

Iraqi casualty figures also have declined despite continued bloodshed,
including a series of suicide bombings this week that killed at least 60
people.

July saw an average of at least 16 Iraqis killed each day compared to 65
each day in the same month last year. It was the third consecutive month
this year with relatively lower casualties among Iraqi civilians.

The change is most evident at the central morgue in Baghdad, a brick
building in a mainly Shiite neighborhood. At the height of the bloodshed,
the facility was overwhelmed by dozens of bodies received on a daily basis.
Relatives were afraid to collect them because of militiamen controlling the
area.

Only 10 to 15 bodies are now received by the morgue each day, down from a
past average of 125, the Health Ministry's general-inspector Adel Muhsin
said. He added that some of the deaths were from natural causes.

"The situation is better now in the morgue," he said. "We received far fewer
bodies due to the improved security situation. The current rate is close to
any normal country."

Violence has been slower to decline in northern Iraq, where a suicide car
bomber killed three policemen Thursday and a judge died of gunshot wounds a
day after he was attacked in Mosul.

Four bullet-riddled bodies, including three women, also were found in the
city that has been the site of a U.S.-Iraqi offensive, a day after an
al-Qaida front group warned it was launching a new campaign of violence
there.

Nineveh province, of which Mosul is the capital, had 25 percent of the
civilian deaths for July, which is significantly higher than it has been for
the past year.

The U.S.-backed Iraqi military, meanwhile, pressed forward with a new
operation meant to rout insurgents from rural safe havens to the south of
Mosul in Diyala province.

Insurgents clashed Thursday with U.S.-allied Sunni Arab fighters and killed
one of them near the village of al-Waib, south of the provincial capital of
Baqouba. The insurgents also wounded another fighter and a villager before
escaping in a convoy, police said.

But nearly 200 suspected militants have been captured since the operation
began on Tuesday, Defense Ministry spokesman Maj. Gen. Mohammed al-Askari
said.

AP Television News footage on Thursday showed Iraqi troops transferring a
handful of detainees in the back of a truck in Diyala. One of the soldiers
was seen feeding a slice of orange to a blindfolded captive as others gave
them water.

Many Iraqis also sounded more hopeful about the sustainability of the
improvements after enduring years of retaliatory sectarian violence that
turned Baghdad into a maze of concrete walls and checkpoints.

"The militiamen have been confined and now they cannot move freely," said
Qais Rahim, a 30-year-old Shiite merchant. "I am optimistic that the worst
has passed and we will not see much bodies in the city any more. Iraqi
people are no longer interested in continuing the cycle of violence."

But others echoed fears that the relative calm was because the militants had
decided to lay low and wait for a chance to regroup.

"It is true that the number of bodies has declined, but I think that this is
a temporary calmness because there are sleeping cells that are ready to
resume their killings anytime," said Mustafa Hussein, a 33-year-old engineer
from the mainly Sunni neighborhood of Azamiyah. "Also there are militiamen
who have fled the country and might return as soon as possible."

___



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