David Brooks / Syndicated columnist

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/opinion/2012405498_brooks21.html


The new progressive era: 
technocrats and bureaucrats take control


By David
<http://search.nwsource.com/search?searchtype=cq&sort=date&from=ST&byline=Da
vid%20Brooks>  Brooks

Syndicated columnist

Related

When historians look back on the period between 2001 and 2011, 
they will be amazed that a nation that professed to hate bureaucracy
produced so much of it.

During the first part of this period, the Republicans were in control.
They expanded a vast national-security bureaucracy. In their series in The
Washington Post, 
Dana Priest and William M. Arkin detail the size of this apparatus. 
More than 1,200 government agencies and 1,900 private companies work on
counterterrorism, 
homeland security and intelligence programs at around 10,000 sites across
the country. 
An estimated 854,000 people have top-secret security clearance. These
analysts produce 
50,000 reports a year - a flow of paper so great that many are completely
ignored.

In the second part of the period, Democrats were in control. 
They augmented the national-security bureaucracy but spent the bulk of their

energies expanding bureaucracies in domestic spheres.

First, they passed a health-care law. This law created 183 new agencies, 
commissions, panels and other bodies, according to an analysis by 
Robert E. Moffit of the Heritage Foundation.

The purpose of the new apparatus was simple: to give government experts the 
power to analyze and rationalize the nation's health-care system. A team of
experts 
on the newly created Independent Medicare Advisory Council was ordered to
review 
and streamline Medicare. A team of experts within the Office of Personnel 
Management was directed to help set standards for insurance companies in the

health-care exchanges. Teams of experts were told to survey data and
determine 
which medical treatments work best and most efficiently.

Democrats also passed a financial-reform law. The law that originally
created the 
Federal Reserve was a mere 31 pages. The Sarbanes-Oxley banking reform act, 
passed in 2002, was only 66 pages. But the 2010 financial reform law was
2,319 pages, 
an intricately engineered technocratic apparatus.

Once again, government experts were told to take a complex, decentralized
system - 
in this case the financial markets - and impose rules, rationality and
order. The law 
creates one uber-panel, the Financial Stability Oversight Council. It
directs government 
experts to write rules in 243 separate areas.

The law also calls upon government experts to make some heroic judgments. 
For example, it calls upon regulators to break up banks that might be about
to 
pose a risk to the country's economy. Investors may believe a bank is
stable. 
The executives of the bank may believe it is stable. But the regulators are
called 
upon to exercise their superior vision and determine which banks are stable
and 
which are not.

When historians look back on this period, they will see it as another
progressive era. 
It is not a liberal era - when government intervenes to seize wealth and
power and 
distribute it to the have-nots. It's not a conservative era, when the
governing class 
concedes that the world is too complicated to be managed from the center. 
It's a progressive era, based on the faith in government experts and their
ability to 
use social science analysis to manage complex systems.

This progressive era is being promulgated without much popular support. 
It's being led by a large class of educated professionals, who have been
trained 
to do technocratic analysis, who believe that more analysis and rule-writing
is the 
solution to social breakdowns, and who have constructed ever-expanding
networks 
of offices, schools and contracts.

Already this effort is generating a fierce, almost culture-war-style
backlash. 
It is generating a backlash among people who do not have faith in
Washington, 
who do not have faith that trained experts have superior abilities to
organize society, 
who do not believe national rules can successfully contend with the
intricacies of local 
contexts and cultures.

This progressive era amounts to a high-stakes test. If the country remains
safe 
and the health care and financial reforms work, then we will have witnessed
a 
life-altering event. We'll have received powerful evidence that central
regulations 
can successfully organize fast-moving information-age societies.

If the reforms fail - if they kick off devastating unintended consequences
or saddle 
the country with a maze of sclerotic regulations - then the popular backlash
will 
be ferocious. Large sectors of the population will feel as if they were
subjected to a 
doomed experiment they did not consent to. They will feel as if their
country has been 
hijacked by a self-serving professional class mostly interested in providing
for themselves.

If that backlash gains strength, well, what's the 21st-century version of
the guillotine?



[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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