http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/publications/id.7777/pub_detail.asp

 

October 29, 2010


Geostrategic Fairy Tales


 <http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/authors/id.138/author_detail.asp>
Peter Huessy


Print This <javascript:%20printVersion()>  E-mail This
<javascript:%20emailVersion()>  



 <javascript:void(0);> http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/images/share.png


ShareThis <javascript:void(0);> 

 

Comments
<http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/publications/comments.asp?id=7777>
(0)

http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/imgLib/20101028_RidingHood.jpg

 

What are the choices America faces in Iraq and Afghanistan? Do we pursue
victory or do we leave as soon as possible? Is Iraq in fact "a war of
choice" and a terrible mistake? Is Afghanistan, although linked to 9/11, a
war not worth pursuing? 

 

I am going to argue today that we are facing mortal enemies that seek our
destruction. Our enemies are states such as Iran, Syria, and Venezuela; they
are allies or subsidiaries of those states-- such as Hezbollah, FARC, Al
Qaeda, the Taliban, and Hamas; and their many accomplices, strategically
located in state entities in Russia, China, North Korea, Cuba, and Pakistan,
such as the ISI. 

 

Liberating Iraq and Afghanistan was critically necessary, as they were both
government sponsors of terrorism. While their liberation remains tenuous,
and has entailed great cost, it was both necessary and justified.

 

Of particular concern today is the ISI of Pakistan. They are giving support
to terror group sanctuaries in Pakistan who are working to develop chemical
and biological weapons according to Robert Woodward's new book "Obama's
War". In addition, they are working to recruit terrorists from countries not
needing visas to enter the US, a parallel effort that echoes the abuse of
the Visa Express program as a prelude to the attacks of 9/11.

 

Lastly, as Woodward explains, prior to the end of his administration,
President Bush expanded the use of drone attacks in Pakistan, which the
current administration has not only continued but also expanded, precisely
because elements of the Pakistani ISI were supporting terror attacks against
Americans in Afghanistan. 

 

In short, we still face a poisonous coalition of state terror masters,
intelligence services, terror groups, individual terrorists, wealthy
financiers, arms dealers and bomb makers. 

 

At best, today we clearly recognize only parts of this coalition landscape.
Why? Well, because we have, unfortunately, remained fixated on two false
narratives: (1) we again think terrorism is primarily a law enforcement
issue. We nab the perps, try 'em and fry 'em; and (2) We think much of the
terrorism we face has been brought about by our own failures in foreign
policy, and our supposed sinful behavior toward the Muslim world, especially
the Palestinians. 

 

http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/imgLib/20101028_KhobarTowers.jpg

 

 

 

Khobar Towers, June 25, 1996

 

To illustrate this point, let us go back to the 1990s. Here is the account
given in Richard Lowry's "
<http://www.amazon.com/Legacy-Paying-Price-Clinton-Years/dp/0895261294>
Legacy":

 

"In the administration's debate over how to respond to the booming of Khobar
Towers in which 19 American service members were killed, the Saudi
Ambassador to the US told our FBI Director Freeh that the White House wanted
to 'avoid confrontation at all costs'. Apparently the US just wanted to use
"the law enforcement approach to terrorism"-- in part out of fear that
identifying state sponsors would require us to face the daunting dilemma of
whether to actually go to war or pretend war was not necessary."

 

At the time, Dale Watson, executive assistant director of the FBI for
counter-terrorism, was asked about Khobar Towers, writes Lowry: "What would
you do if there was a state sponsor behind this?" In Watson's view, the
administration's outlook  "was an attitude of look the other way." 

 

Why? Well, because to admit a state sponsor was behind terror attacks
against the United States was an implicit understanding that states were at
war with us. However, we could not afford to be at war with these states,
especially if they were Middle Eastern powers. Why? Lowry explains:
Confronting Saudi Arabia or Syria which would be required by any policy that
looks seriously at state terror sponsors. But these countries were looked
upon as "peace partners" and to go after another Arab country such as Iraq
for the attack would "blow away one of the foundations of the peace
process--'evenhandedness'". 

 

And why was evenhandedness so important? One reason was the view, already
mentioned, that we ourselves were largely responsible for the terror being
waged against us. As former President Clinton is quoted as saying: "It may
be that the Iranian people hate the United States and it would be easy for
us to respond in kind. But Iran has been subject of quite a lot of abuse
from various Western nations. And I think sometimes it's quite important to
tell people you have a right to be angry at something my country did to you
fifty or one hundred years ago." (From Thomas Lippman's "Madeleine Albright
and the New American Diplomacy"). And second, creating a Palestinian state
required the US to be an honest and "evenhanded" broker between Israel and
the Palestinians, including the entire Arab world.

 

Now let us turn to the present. In fact, just last week former President
Clinton was now telling us how to end terrorism. He says it all depends upon
Israel delivering a state to the Palestinians. Moreover, the deal he offered
them in 1998 would, he claims, still do the trick. He was quoted in a recent
editorial by JINSA, the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs,
saying: ... "Solving" the Palestinian problem "could result in Syria ending
its support for the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah and Iran turning back
its controversial nuclear program. It will take away... the impetus
for.terror in the whole world -- not just the region, the whole world ... It
would have more impact by far than anything else that could be done.'"

 

Indeed, much of the Moslem world argues that the absence of a Palestinian
state is the reason behind much of the terrorism we face. The conventional
wisdom in Europe holds similar beliefs. Academia, Hollywood and the drive-by
media here in America echo these views. 

 

I call this the "grievance" theory of terrorism. It is a very useful and
convenient cudgel with which to beat the US over the head. For example, the
Soros funded "J Street Project" asserts "Israeli settlements in the occupied
territories have for over 40 years been an obstacle to peace." And further:
"Real friends of Israel oppose retaliatory rocket attacks by the IDF". And
even more: "We object to further sanctions against Iran". 

 

So too do Reverend Wright and Michael Moore, and former President Carter,
cite the failure of the US to adequately support a Palestinian state as
being at the heart of the grievances that we are told motivate much of the
terrorism we have faced over the past near half century. 

 

At the heart of this narrative is that the Israeli tail wags the US dog,
most recently laid out by Stephen Walt and John Mearsheimer, who write that
the "Israel lobby" virtually controls American foreign policy. Owing too
this pernicious Israeli influence, we see the absence of a Palestinian
state. And it is our fault. And thus we are being attacked. 

 

But we have been through this debate before. The late U.S. Ambassador to the
United Nations Jeane J. Kirkpatrick in her 1984 speech to the Republican
National Convention identified the syndrome as "blame America first". 

 

Now, terrorism is not a new problem, though it has grown in scale and scope.
And differing analyses of the problem are not new either. 

 

In 1980, President Reagan clearly saw that the Soviets were the world's
prime sponsor of terrorism. He initiated through his director of the CIA an
assessment of exactly that issue. His Secretary of State, Al Haig, said that
to stop terrorism the US "had to go the source". The reaction at home and
abroad was swift and angry. Reagan and his friends were upsetting "detente"
and "peaceful coexistence". And there was a ready counter-argument: in order
to address terrorism, we need to address its "root causes." 

 

>From a surprising source, Reagan found support. According to McGeorge Bundy,
writing in Foreign Affairs, (Spring 1981), 

 

"The Soviet Union has been and remains a central contributor [to terrorism],
often indiscriminate and with some unforeseen results; Cuba, the radical PLO
and Qaddafi the principal immediate promoters. And the results of their
parallel efforts have been to transform what would otherwise have been small
local movements into major menaces..." (McGeorge Bundy, Spring 1981, Foreign
Affairs).

 

Secretary of Defense Robert Gates underlines this conclusion in his 1996
book "From the Shadows". He concludes that Reagan, Haig and Casey, if
anything, underestimated the huge role the former Soviet Union played in
promoting terrorism -- in creating terror groups, and providing them
sanctuary, weapons, and money. 

 

Unfortunately, Clinton and the foreign policy establishment still have their
feet solidly implanted in the intellectual cement of the "peace process".
They are fixated on the "grievance theory" of terrorism, whose primary
conclusion is the need for a Palestinian state established on its own terms.
They have discarded any notion that historical envy, religious messianic
beliefs, lust for power, empire-building and old-fashioned "revenge" play
any part in the terrorism of today. And they particularly reject the role of
state sponsors in promoting terrorism.

 

It gets even more absurd. In February 2002, Charlotte Beers of the US
Department of State produced commercials to show Moslems "they do not need
to kill us to get our attention". The Pakistani director of an extremist
madrassa, known as the "Father of the Taliban", says the atrocities of
terrorism will stop once "solutions" to Palestine are found. 

 

We know that attacks against our forces in Beirut in 1983 were sponsored by
Iran. And the attack on a Berlin disco frequented by US soldiers was run by
Libya. And we know the destruction of the Pan Am jetliner over Lockerbie in
1988 was a joint operation of Iran and Libya. 

 

http://morganinterviews.zoomshare.com/files/1993WTC.jpg

 

 

 

World Trade Center bombing, February 26, 1993

 

And then there is the bombing attack on the World Trade Center in 1993. This
was not an Al Qaeda operation, which is a common misperception. It was led
by Ramzi Yousef, who was known to his fellow conspirators as "Rashid the
Iraqi" (and whose uncle would go on to orchestrate 9/11). The bombing
occurred on the second anniversary of Iraq's surrender in the Gulf War
ceasefire, in 1991. The FBI immediately suspected Iraq, but that
investigation was left hanging. 

 

Did state sponsorship of terrorism suddenly vanish with the end of the Cold
War? Throughout the decade leading up to the World Trade Center attack of
September 2001, it became apparent that the Clinton administration was
simply unwilling to deal with the implications of state sponsors of
terrorism - and therefore chose to disregard the evidence. Although Iraq and
Sudan were officially added to the list of official "state sponsors of
terrorism", the administration never moved to act on the implications of
such findings. In fact, four different books relate that, when confronted
with evidence of states being behind terrorism, the former President said
simply: "That is too hard to do". 

 

Andy McCarthy, the US prosecutor of Sheikh Omar, the cleric indicted for
inciting violence, reveals in Willful Blindness the consequences of this
mind-set. While the US government believed terrorism was primarily a law
enforcement problem, and was successful in rounding up loose bands of
terrorist jihadis, the master mind of 1993 got away to plot more attacks
against the U.S. We as a country did not recognize we were in the midst of
an ongoing war in which states, terror groups, and others formed a poisonous
coalition to fight the United States. 

 

This new definition of terrorism fit neatly into the worldview of the left
in America. Our foreign policy -- our arrogance, our treatment of former
colonies, and especially our alliance with Israel -- "causes" people to
fight us, especially in the Muslim world. Investor's Business Daily writes
that US officials currently believe that 9/11 was a day of "vengeance",
"payback for America's past history of sins". This fairy tale gained
prominence after 9/11: people seized on Osama Bin Laden's 1996 "Declaration
of War" as proof of the grievance theory of terror.

 

But while Osama did mention the Palestinian issue, his primary anger was
directed at US policy toward Iraq as well as Saudi Arabia: we had kicked
Saddam out of Kuwait; we enforced the no-fly zones in northern and southern
Iraq; and we implemented UN sanctions. 

 

Most importantly, Osama claimed that the US was killing young children
because we refused to allow sufficient health supplies to get into the
country. That fairy tale, by the way, was recently cited by the Imam of the
controversial mosque planned for lower Manhattan as justification for the
threat that without permission to go forward with the mosque, it would
appear America was "once again" at war with Islam. 

 

He said former Secretary of State Albright agreed that hundreds of thousands
of Iraqi children had died of malnutrition because of the US-led Iraqi
sanctions! In reality, Saddam and his sons were stealing health supplies and
selling them on the black market, to further line their pockets with what
general Tommy Franks called the UN "Oil for Palaces" revenue. 

 

How many Americans, even US officials, realize that Bin Laden's position was
to support Saddam against the United States -- in direct contradiction of
the dominant theory that Bin Laden wanted nothing to do with Saddam's
secular regime because Al Qaeda was "religious". (The theory is sometimes
stated in reverse.)

 

Only by turning a blind eye to the massive evidence of Saddam's systematic
support for terrorism - through both direct funding, arming and running
training camps - can we conclude that Iraq was a "war of choice" rather than
necessity. 

 

Because the Taliban gave sanctuary to Al Qaeda, Afghanistan was designated,
in contrast, the "necessary war," because we were taking down a "state
sponsor of terrorism". But support for the war in Afghanistan has by now
seriously deteriorated, as US leaders remain unclear as to why we are
fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan, what the nature of the war is, and why it
matters.

 

State sponsorship is still the main address of terrorism. The government of
Iraq has bitterly complained that Syria is supporting those attacking Iraq's
cities, with sanctuary and training. What has been our response? That this
is a diplomatic issue between Syria and Iraq. 

 

What do the recent Wiki leaks papers show? At least two things. First, that
Iran was "orchestrating one side of the Iraqi insurgency" with assistance
from Hezbollah. Robert McGinnis summarizes: "The leaked documents
demonstrate Tehran routinely equipped and trained Iraqi militia, and Iranian
agents and soldiers operated inside Iraq killing American forces."

 

And second, as former Prime Minister Blair relates in his new memoirs, the
Bush administration repeatedly said that Syria was training and arming
terrorists attacking Iraq. And what do the Wiki leak papers show? Extensive
Syrian involvement in the arming, training and recruitment of terrorists
attacking Iraq. 

 

Once we recognize that terrorism is a tool being used by governments --
intelligence services, militaries and other state entities -- we can see Al
Qaeda, Hezbollah, Hamas, Abu Sayyaf, FARC, the FMLN and the rest as tools of
our mortal enemies, rather than as reform-seeking jihadis or guerillas
looking to redress historical grievances. Terrorism is the most convenient
weapon for governments precisely because it breaks the string of attribution
that would otherwise make retaliation and deterrence possible. 

 

While these state connections to terrorism are not all proven, they
underline the folly of ruling out the possibility of state sponsorship on
arbitrary grounds. State activities in support of terrorism are by
definition murky, because people are making an effort to conceal them. That
is their value as enemy tactics. 

 

What is remarkable today is the avalanche of material connecting states to
terrorism. For example, the IBD published an excellent editorial on October
21, 2010 regarding a new addition to the state sponsors of terrorism--(this
is not yet the view accepted by Foggy Bottom). Chavez of Venezuela is
planning two 1200 Megawatt nuclear reactors 1400 miles from our shores--the
exact range of the Iranian shahab missiles. A spokesperson said the US
believes Chavez will act responsibly in buying these reactors from Russia's
Putin, who is also completing the fuel loadings in the Iranian nuclear
reactor in Bushehr. 

 

http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/imgLib/20100927_Chavez2.jpg

 

 

 

Chavez says he will bring in Iranian and Russian experts. We have to wonder
what baggage these experts might bring with them. After all, at the edges of
Iran and Russia's power structure are not only terror groups but also drug
cartels. 

 

For example, when Columbian forces killed a FARC senior commander in 2008,
his computer revealed plans to arm FARC and other terrorists-- including
Hezbollah-- with $300 million in weapons from Russia, to be shipped through
Mirabella in Venezuela, for conducting terrorist attacks against the United
States. FARC also has been caught trying to secure nuclear materials for a
dirty bomb in Ukraine and Russia. 

 

Now ponder what this story links: two terrorist groups (FARC and Hezbollah);
drug cartels and organized crime syndicates; three state sponsors of
terror--Russia, Venezuela and Iran; along with nuclear power and potentially
nuclear weapons. What does all of this have to do with securing a
Palestinian state? Nothing.

 

Now, let us turn to my favorite subject: missiles and missile defense. Now
of course you all know, avid New York Times readers that you are, that
missiles and missile defense have nothing to do with terrorism, right? Well,
as the Gecko says: "Let me give it to you straight". 

 

On October 25th, in the Lincoln Journal Star, our MDA director General
O'Reilly pointed out that 19 countries have 6000 missiles, noting "the trend
is not good". And here is where the General nailed it: "Missile defense has
become increasingly vital as missile technology spreads to dozens of
countries and....to state-sponsored terrorist groups". 

 

According to the French defense ministry, Hezbollah has three military units
dedicated to the transportation and maintenance of its rocket arsenal. In
January they received from Syria missiles with a range of 250km; the same
unit has another base next to Damascus airport, "which is vital for the
handling of weapons shipments from Iran" says The Jerusalem Post October
26th, 2010. "The manufacture of Iranian missiles is now being handled by
Syria, for ease of transport". My guess is that these missiles were not
"nicked" by Hezbollah operators while on R&R in Tehran! 

 

http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/imgLib/20101028_Rogozin.jpg

 

 

 

Dmitry Rogozin

 

And just this past week, the Russians informed us they want to be partners
in missile defense in Europe. They doubted the US would allow them to "have
a finger on the button", but none the less insisted on being part of any
threat assessment of missile threats to NATO or from Iran. 

 

They insisted Iran posed no missile threats to Europe. Hold that
thought...while we examine our policy options. Just to make General
O'Reilly's job easier, the Russian Ambassador to NATO Dmitry Rogozin,
complained "Unfortunately, we do have problems with our NATO colleagues
already having branded Iran 'a bad guy'", while the Turkish Foreign Ministry
"...told US officials that Iran and Syria should not be cited as 'threats'
for the NATO's planned missile shield". (October 18th, 2010)

 

A full and unblinking look at state terrorism indicates a broad array of
necessary national policies. Let us look at the policies we urgently need --
divestment, serious economic sanctions, nuclear forensics, DTRA and
Nunn-Lugar, missile defense, border and maritime security, the Proliferation
Security Initiative (PSI), and immigration reform, to name the most obvious.


 

First, let us start with sanctions and divestment. AFP reports (October
26th) that BP will close a gas field off Scotland that is jointly owned by
Scotland, in response to a "tough line against the Iranian energy sector was
announced by European foreign ministers..." But unfortunately, as Ilan
Berman writes in Forbes, "even as other foreign stakeholders have
constricted their financial stakes in Iran, Beijing has done the opposite,
reaching a $40 billion deal to revitalize Iran's petroleum refining
industry". On top of which China National Petroleum Corporation inked a $2
billion deal to develop the North Azadegan oil field. Sinopec, the China
Petroleum and Chemical Corporation is also deeply invested in Iran's gas
industry. And Iran just announced signing a $5 billion gas deal, possibly
with India's state run Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited to develop
the offshore Farsi block of the Farzad-B gas field. 

 

But the complicity of China in helping Iran goes beyond the energy sector.
According to Global Security Newswire, China is selling Iran carbon fiber
for use in uranium enrichment centrifuges, just as the US intelligence
community suspects Chinese firms of selling Iran controlled military
equipment. And remember, as we mentioned earlier, Saddam was months away
from a nuclear weapons capability in 1991 despite being a member of the NPT
and being subject to IAEA inspections.

 

In light of these facts, why do our state pension funds and retirement funds
on Wall Street, and the endowments of our major universities and college
have upwards of $1,400 billion in stocks owed by companies that do business
with Iran and Syria, including these Chinese companies? Seventeen US states
have some form of divestment policies adopted. Maryland has eliminated
hundreds of millions in suspect investments.

 

Some believe deterrence will work because we will be able to determine from
where a nuclear device originated. One missile defense critics claimed the
US now had the capability to determine a weapons origin even if detonated in
an EMP mode, a claim the EMP Commission experts say is unfounded. And
however good nuclear forensics may become, we are not now able to attribute
a weapon to its owner. In the July 30, 2010 edition of the New York Times,
William Broad warned "Nuclear Forensics Skill Is Declining In U.S."

 

Some believe the NPT will save us and the UN inspectors in Vienna at the
IAEA, the International Atomic Energy Administration. Yet when we
interdicted nuclear centrifuges from the Khan Nukes 'R Us group, we were
astounded, as noted earlier, at the subsequent findings of the extent of the
Libyan nuclear weapons program, despite Tripoli's membership in the NPT. 

 

We now find that the past IAEA's Director General falsified data on Iran's
nuclear program. (And received $7 million in his presidential campaign in
Egypt from Tehran). The current Director General Amano says Syria continues
to block inspection requests. According to the Global Security Newswire,
"Fearing a confrontation, IAEA is not willing to request from Damascus a
special inspection to probe allegations that Syria" has built a clandestine
nuclear reactor.

 

On October 4th, 2003, the US and its allies intercepted and boarded a German
freighter, "The BBC China", carrying 13,000 centrifuges from Malaysia being
sold by the A.Q. Khan network for the creation of nuclear weapons material.
The destination: Libya.

 

According to the Washington Times, "Gadhafi's subsequent confession
staggered the CIA and MI6. Libya's secret nuclear purchase included the
entire kit and caboodle for a nuclear enrichment plant and detailed how-to
plan for assembling a nuclear weapon". All was supplied by Pakistan's Dr.
A.Q. Khan's Dubai-based holding company, and a nuclear centrifuge plant in
Malaysia, as well as a network of 75 suppliers throughout the world. It was
also learned that Khan's cash and carry nuclear centrifuge deal with Iran's
mullahs was some two decades old." 

 

>From this intercept, we created the PSI or Proliferation Security
Initiative. Since then, there have been over a dozen successful intercepts
of nuclear related material including the prevention of two deliveries to
North Korea, and the seizure of ballistic missile and nuclear related
material to Iran, as well as nuclear material transiting the Balkans and
Georgia, and Hezbollah bound missiles and weapons. One hundred nations are
now members of the PSI.

 

So where are we? We now take divestment and sanctions more seriously but we
repeatedly let China and Russia off the hook. The IAEA cannot do its job
with uncooperative states, yet we pretend that it can. The PSI is necessary
and very valuable but not sufficient. Missile defense provides us protection
from blackmail and coercion, but only if we are clear eyed about what to
deploy and with whom we should (and should not) cooperate. An independent
Iraq and Afghanistan solidly out of the terror sponsoring business would
place a security net on Iran's borders that would be extraordinarily helpful
in containing Tehran's ambitions, but there is grave uncertainty whether we
want to finish that job. 

 

To do things right takes a seriousness that is not often on display in
either Washington or Europe. Over a decade ago, the legendary head of the
Northern Alliance, Ahmad Shah Massoud sought to rid Afghanistan of its
repressive Taliban rulers and the terrorist network they sheltered, Osama
bin Laden's al-Qaida and some two dozen other terrorist groups. He warned
us:

 

"Al Qaeda.was just one element in a 'poisonous coalition'" that included
"Pakistani and Arab intelligence agencies; impoverished young students bused
to their deaths as volunteer fighters from Pakistani religious schools;
exiled Central Asian Islamic radicals; ... and wealthy sheikhs and preachers
who jetted in from the Persian Gulf." On September 9, 2001 he was murdered
by terrorists. We indeed today face a similar poisonous coalition.

 

Now imagine. The year is 2015. It is late January. The Iranian mullahs
provide Hezbollah operatives a nuclear device. The device was designed in
China, and reworked by the Pakistan-based Khan network with help from North
Korean technicians. 

 

>From Tehran to Damascus and then to Caracas it is shipped, on one of the
special twice-monthly "Axis of Evil Express" that shuttles "passengers"
between Iran, Syria and Venezuela -- with occasional stops in Lebanon says
Peter Brooks of the Heritage Foundation.  

 

A freighter, outfitted with a Scud-derivative missile, now solid fueled, is
loaded in the port of Mirabella, Venezuela. It steams for three days. It
reaches its destination, some 350 kilometers off the coast of North
Carolina. On February 1, the 36th anniversary of the arrival in Tehran of
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ayatollah> Ayatollah
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ruhollah_Khomeini> Ruhollah Khomeini, the
rocket is launched. At an altitude 30 miles above Washington, D.C., its
nuclear warhead is detonated. An EMP, an electromagnetic pulse, fries every
computer and computer chip. Everything from New York to Atlanta stops
working. Water, sewerage, electricity, traffic, flights, ports, cars,
financial networks, and computers. 

 

Now, are we going to get serious? Let us look at two serious threats, Syria
and North Korea, and how we have historically reacted.

 

Remember in 2006 Syria murdered prominent Lebanese including the Prime
Minister of the country. They used their proxies to make war on Israel, and
acted as HQ and quartermasters of Sunni guerillas killing US troops in Iraq,
(called AQ in Iraq--now that is rich!). 

 

But remember, as Angelo Codevilla wrote in "Advice to War Presidents: "No
words spoken by Syria heralded these threats. Yet our words of opposition
spoke not at all loudly but our acquiescence in their actions did."

 

To paraphrase Angelo, "We are in danger of seducing ourselves with our own
words or of confusing our press releases with reality. When we claim
negotiations are likely to be fruitful, we become hostage to our own
statements, and remove incentives for concessions by the other player..." A
few years ago, upon learning that North Korea had nuclear weapons, UN
experts moved quickly to "encourage the three countries most threatened,
Taiwan, South Korea and Japan...to reaffirm their commitment to the NPT and
their non-nuclear status." 

 

Dr. Kissinger once remarked: "A free standing diplomacy is an ancient
American illusion. History offers few examples of it. The attempt to
separate diplomacy and power results in power lacking direction and
diplomacy being deprived of incentives." (Henry Kissinger, 1/21/07) Put
slightly less diplomatically, "Diplomacy without the threat of force is but
prayer", said former Senator Malcolm Wallop, in his farewell Senate address,
October 1994.

 

Too often we are asked whether we favor "diplomacy" and "dialogue". But
again as Codevilla explains, "Emphasizing diplomacy is inherently
meaningless. To speak thus is to pretend either that the war's issues are
trivial or that words can make them so. Such pretense enables the further
pretense that the speaker is not on either side, rather than on the side of
peace..." 

 

Conclusion and Implications

 

If the threat of "terrorism" is not primarily loose bands of "jihadis", but
state sponsors of terror, the implications for US policy are serious. Iran,
Pakistan, Syria and others seek to create their own "empires", whether it is
masters of a region, the Middle East or the Islamic world. Their
accomplices, including China, Russia, and Venezuela seek power and riches,
and are willing to use whatever means necessary to do so.

 

The Russians see the energy resources of the Caspian as their "patrimony".
China seeks to "lock-up" energy supplies for its 1.3 billion people and is
willing to seek partnership with nuclear armed states to do so, whether Iran
or Pakistan. Venezuela and its "Marxist" allies in the Americas seek
partnerships with drug cartels, terror groups and others to do America harm
and do Russia and Iran's bidding. 

 

Indeed, is this anything but a new "poisonous coalition"? 

 

 <http://www.fsmarchives.org/> FamilySecurityMatters.org Contributing Editor
<http://www.fsmarchives.org/publications/id.6785/pub_detail.asp> Peter
Huessy is on the Board of the Maryland Taxpayers Association and President
of Geostrategic Analysis of Potomac, Maryland, a national security firm.

 



[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



------------------------------------

--------------------------
Want to discuss this topic?  Head on over to our discussion list, 
[email protected].
--------------------------
Brooks Isoldi, editor
[email protected]

http://www.intellnet.org

  Post message: [email protected]
  Subscribe:    [email protected]
  Unsubscribe:  [email protected]


*** FAIR USE NOTICE. This message contains copyrighted material whose use has 
not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. OSINT, as a part of 
The Intelligence Network, is making it available without profit to OSINT 
YahooGroups members who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the 
included information in their efforts to advance the understanding of 
intelligence and law enforcement organizations, their activities, methods, 
techniques, human rights, civil liberties, social justice and other 
intelligence related issues, for non-profit research and educational purposes 
only. We believe that this constitutes a 'fair use' of the copyrighted material 
as provided for in section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Law. If you wish to use 
this copyrighted material for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use,' 
you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.
For more information go to:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtmlYahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/osint/

<*> Your email settings:
    Individual Email | Traditional

<*> To change settings online go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/osint/join
    (Yahoo! ID required)

<*> To change settings via email:
    [email protected] 
    [email protected]

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
    [email protected]

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
    http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/

Reply via email to