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The White Army against Iran: The Saudi Weapons Deal, Part 2 

Tuesday, 02 November 2010 11:41 Yiftah Shapir 

 
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More than two months after a huge arms deal in the making between the United
States and Saudi Arabia became public, the administration officially
informed Congress of the deal. The announcement does not come as a big
surprise, since the main points of the plan were published previously. The
deal includes F-15SA fighter jets, AH-64D Apache heavy attack helicopters,
AH-6i light attack helicopters, MD-530 light reconnaissance helicopters, and
UH-60 transport helicopters. However, a close look at the details of the
announcement reveals several interesting points.

Fighter Jets

The deal approves the sale of 84 F-15SA multi-purpose fighter jets. This is
a new model built specifically for Saudi Arabia, and it is an improvement
over the F-15S already in Saudi Arabia's possession. In addition, all 70 of
Saudi Arabia's F-15S planes will be upgraded to the F-15SA standard. The new
model will be equipped with both improved AN/APG-63(V), which is advanced
AESA radar, and with improved engines.

The deal also includes a wide range of advanced munitions, including modern
navigation/targeting pods, photo-reconnaissance pods, air-to-air missiles,
and guided bombs.

Assuming the deal is completed in full, the Saudi air force will have 154 of
the very advanced F-15SA attack planes, in addition to some 80 F-15C/D
interceptors purchased in the early 1980s, for a total of 234 planes.

The Saudis today are in possession of an array of British-made planes: 72
Typhoons (which are currently being absorbed), and some 100 fighter jets
from the various models of the Tornado (which were also purchased in the
1980s; some are now being refurbished to extend their life span). These add
about another 170 planes to the Saudi air force.

Helicopters

The helicopter deal was presented to Congress as three separate deals, and
the announcement revealed the details of the helicopter models (not all of
the details were publicized previously). The big surprise in the
announcement was that the largest of the deals was for the Saudi Arabian
National Guard (SANG), not the air force or the army. According to the
announcement, SANG will receive 36 Apache AH-64D helicopters, though only 20
of them will be equipped with Longbow radar. In addition, it will receive 30
AH-6i light attack helicopters, another twelve MD-530F light reconnaissance
helicopters (the attack helicopter and the reconnaissance helicopter are
different models of the same helicopter), and 72 medium-size UH-60M
transport helicopters - the newest model of the old Black Hawk.

A separate announcement was made about the sale of 24 AH-64D helicopters to
the Saudi Arabian land forces (only ten of them equipped with Longbow
radar), and a third announcement was made about the sale of ten AH-64D
helicopters to the Saudi Arabian royal guards (seven of them equipped with
Longbow radar).

Additional Comments

1.     The deal is part of an overall American policy with roots in the Bush
administration to strengthen the Gulf states as a force positioned against
the increasing strength of Iran. All the official statements that
accompanied the announcement emphasized the need to strengthen Saudi Arabia
in the face of the threats it faces, and American spokesmen have not
hesitated to specify Iran (even though they were quick to note that Iran is
not the only threat). At the same time, the announcements emphasized that
the systems that were sold are similar or identical to weapon systems in the
possession of the United States, other Gulf states, and additional coalition
forces. As such, the deal contributes to these forces potential for
cooperation, and envisions a military force that is as united and
coordinated as possible.

2.     The designation of the deal as against Iran also reflects statements
by American spokesmen that they do not expect opposition to the deal (which
was also expressed in the official announcement to Congress). That is, they
do not expect Israel to object to the deal (as it objected to weapons deals
with Saudi Arabia in the past) because they believe that Israel too sees the
need to strengthen the forces standing against Iran.

3.     The package, nearly all of which involves offensive weapon systems,
indicates the intent to boost the Saudis' deterrent capability and not their
defensive capability. The absence of air defense and missile defense system
purchases is particularly striking, in sharp contrast to the purchases of
Saudi Arabia's Gulf neighbors, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates. The deal
also does not contain a naval component, although it appears that a large
deal for the purchase of ships is in the initial stages of negotiations.

4.     The announcement to Congress does not mean that the deal is final.
The sides will now enter detailed negotiations, and it will take several
years before contracts are signed. Their execution will take many years
(according to American spokespeople, from fifteen to twenty years).
Furthermore, there is no guarantee that the deals will be executed in full,
if at all.

5.     The division of the weapons between the various branches of the Saudi
armed forces is intriguing, particularly the helicopter package for SANG. It
was not previously known that SANG operates any air assets whatsoever (even
though this could have been expected of a force that is trained according to
American military doctrines). SANG is a separate force from the army, and is
based on recruitment of members of tribes loyal to the royal house.
Sometimes it is called "the white army" because of the white robes worn by
the members of these tribes. Its functions include, inter alia, protecting
the royal house against domestic threats and protecting oil facilities and
other strategic facilities. In recent years, SANG has undergone a process of
expansion on the basis of extensive arms deals of light armored vehicles,
anti-tank missiles, and self-propelled artillery. Nevertheless, the purchase
of the air fleet dwarfs all previous deals, and will place the organization
on an equal footing with the regular army, or perhaps even a superior
footing.

Another force to receive helicopters is the royal guards, a regiment whose
formal mission is to protect the royal house. It was incorporated into the
regular army in the 1960s, but it maintains its own organizational
structure. Nevertheless, this unit has never used fighter helicopters
either, and it is not clear what the connection is between these helicopters
and its official mission.

In addition to strengthening Saudi Arabia's deterrent capability against
external threats, the weapons deal also likely bespeaks internal power
struggles. SANG is dear to King Abdullah's heart, who served as its
commander for nearly thirty years. It is not inconceivable that he sees the
strengthening of the organization as a way to strengthen his branch of the
royal family against other branches of the family in future power struggles.

The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) is an independent
academic institute that studies key issues relating to Israel's national
security and Middle East affairs. Through its mixture of researchers with
backgrounds in academia, the military, government, and public policy, INSS
is able to contribute to the public debate and governmental deliberation of
leading strategic issues and offer policy analysis and recommendations to
decision makers and public leaders, policy analysts, and theoreticians, both
in Israel and abroad. As part of its mission, it is committed to encourage
new ways of thinking and expand the traditional contours of establishment
analysis.

 



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