November 17, 2010

Tough Law Reduced Immigrants, Study Shows

By
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/t/sabrina_tavern
ise/index.html?inline=nyt-per> SABRINA TAVERNISE

New York Times

WASHINGTON - A study of an Arizona-style
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/i/immigration_
and_refugees/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier> immigration policy in Prince
William County, Va., has found that it reduced the number of illegal
immigrants in the county, but that its effect on violent crime was
inconclusive. 

The study was conducted by the
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/u/univers
ity_of_virginia/index.html?inline=nyt-org> University of Virginia and the
<http://www.policeforum.org/> Police Executive Research Forum, a nonprofit
group focused on improving police tactics, at the request of the county. It
looked at data from 2007, when the policy was proposed, through 2009. 

Prince William County began enforcing the tough immigration law, similar to
one that was passed later in Arizona and is now facing legal challenges, in
2008. The county's law required police officers to check the immigration
status of anyone they had probable cause to believe was in the country
illegally. 

The county executive, Corey Stewart, pushed the policy in a campaign that
polarized residents. Hispanic groups criticized the policy as inflammatory. 

The county's police department, which paid for the study, expressed concern
that the law would be expensive to carry out and that it would lead to
accusations of racial profiling, and eight weeks later, it was suspended. It
was later revised to apply only to those who had been arrested. 

While the county's foreign-born population more than doubled in the past
decade, according to the  <http://www.migrationpolicy.org/> Migration Policy
Institute, a rise largely attributable to the housing boom in northern
Virginia, the report found that there were 3,000 to 6,000 fewer illegal
immigrants in the county in 2009, compared with 2006. 

"We are convinced that it's a clear result of the policy," said Thomas M.
Guterbock, a professor of sociology and one of the authors of the study. 

It is not entirely clear whether reducing the illegal population was one of
the policy's objectives. Mr. Stewart said in an interview last week that it
was a desirable goal, but that the earlier, stricter policy had not been
workable. 

"I believe that if someone is here illegally, they should be deported," he
said. "But from a more practical perspective, we should be focusing on those
illegal immigrants who are committing crimes." 

Illegal immigrants represent just 6 percent of the perpetrators of all
serious crimes in the county, a small enough slice that measuring the
effects of the policy on crime has been tricky. 

Christopher Koper, director of research at the research forum and one of the
authors of the study, said a significant finding was the sharp drop in
aggravated assaults immediately after the announcement of the policy in
2007. But the drop might have been a fall-off in frightened immigrants
reporting crimes, he said. 

"We have no indication that the enforcement of the policy led to a reduction
in crime," Mr. Koper said. "Crime trends have been steady." 

Eric Byler, a documentary film maker whose film, "9500 Liberty," captured
the county's struggle with the law, noted that the stricter policy was in
place only in March and April of 2008 and argued that it was too short-lived
to have had much impact. The controversy it caused had perhaps the most
serious effect, he said. 

"If anything this is the measure of the controversy's impact, not a measure
of the policy's impact," he said. 

 



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