Obama's Meager Post-Bin Laden Bounce Spells Political Trouble For Him

Posted By John Hawkins On May 4, 2011 

Bush 41 went all the way up to an 88% approval rating after the Gulf War.
His son W. soared from 51% to 90% in the space of 10 days after 9/11.

That brings us to the death of Osama Bin Laden. 

This was a HUGE event. There were spontaneous celebrations in New York and
people chanting "USA, USA, USA" outside the White House at 4 AM. Americans
were THRILLED OUT OF THEIR MINDS that Osama Bin Laden was dead and that we'd
killed him. Seeing as how Barack Obama was the man who gave the order to
kill Bin Laden, you'd think he'd get a decent bounce out of it.

The first indication, to me at least, that might not be the case was the
scene outside the White House. Even though the raucous crowd was full of
chanting students, a few diehard Obama supporters couldn't get them to do
any pro-Obama chants. 

Not a good sign.

Still, I figured 40% of the country are diehard Democrat partisans and
they'd certainly be thrilled. Then, you'd have to figure the independents
would be thrilled, and even a few conservatives might be willing to say they
approved of Obama for 5 minutes, in the wake of his one positive
accomplishment in office. To me, 60% of adults seemed like a pretty good bet
and given the past performance of Bush 41 and Bush 43, 65% might not be
quite optimistic enough.

Well today, the numbers started coming in and the bounce Obama got turned
out to be surprisingly tepid.

From
<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administratio
n/daily_presidential_tracking_poll> Rasmussen.

Overall, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's
performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove.

Daily updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a
three-day rolling average basis. As a result, two-thirds of the interviews
for today's update were conducted before news was released about the death
of Osama bin Laden. Thursday will be the first update based entirely upon
interviews conducted after that event. Results from the single night of data
collected on Monday shows a modest improvement in the president's Approval
Index rating. However, there was no improvement in the president's overall
approval rating. Caution should always be used when interpreting a single
night sample from a tracking poll.

A
<http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2011/05/obama-approval-ratings-b
ump-9-per-cent.html> Pew/Washington Post poll conducted Monday in the wake
of the death of the world's most sought-after terrorist found that 56% of
those asked say they approve of the way Obama is handling his job as
president while 38% disapprove. In April only 47% approved while 45%
disapproved.

Obama isn't the only president to benefit in the polls due to the fall of a
vilified leader. In 2003 when the U.S. captured Iraqi President Saddam
Hussein hiding at the bottom of an 8-foot hole, President George W. Bush's
approval ratings rose from 50% to 57%.

Among other questions, the poll asked 654 adults who deserved the credit for
the killing of Bin Laden. Only a third of the total group said Obama
deserved "a great deal of credit".

A new poll from
<http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/osamabinladen-death-barackobama-georgewbush
/2011/05/03/id/395003> Newsmax/InsiderAdvantage shows that President Barack
Obama's approval rating received a mild boost from the killing of Osama bin
Laden. It also shows that Americans across the political spectrum believe
President George W. Bush also deserves credit for the al-Qaida leader's
capture

.As for Obama's approval rating, the poll shows it at 47.7 percent, equal to
his disapproval rating. That's an improvement from the days before the
attack, when Obama's disapproval rating exceeded his approval rating by 2 to
6 percentage points, Towery says.

When saying "Okey-dokey" when the military comes to you and wants to kill
Osama Bin Laden barely moves the needle, that's a bad sign. After all, how
is this bumbling idiot going to top that accomplishment? This is Obama's
blind squirrel grabbing a nut moment for his presidency and if this many
people are STILL saying, "Uh, no thanks to more of this guy," it's a sign
that Americans may be even more sick of this guy than most people have
realized.

PS: Here's a theory about why Obama isn't getting more of a bounce from
this: It cuts against type. Take W. and No Child Left Behind, for example.
Sadly - and I think incorrectly, Republicans aren't perceived as a party
that cares a lot about education. So, along comes Bush with No Child Left
Behind. It instituted tough standards, which conservatives love and a
MASSIVE increase in education spending, which liberals love. So, is Bush
considered the "education" President? Nope. Conservatives didn't like the
centralization of power and excess spending, liberals just pretended the new
spending never happened, and the public was unmoved. In Obama's case,
everybody "knows" that he doesn't care about national security. So,
Republicans assume he got lucky by continuing Bush's programs, liberals
don't feel comfortable with the whole thing, and independents aren't all
that impressed because they don't really believe Obama was all that crucial
to the process. 

 

Article printed from NewsReal Blog: http://www.newsrealblog.com

URL to article:
http://www.newsrealblog.com/2011/05/04/obama%e2%80%99s-meager-post-bin-laden
-bounce-spells-political-trouble-for-him/

 



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