I think one point is being missed here. Different things have different
points of obsolescence, and something being obsolete does not necessarily
mean that it is unusable or impractical to use. I shoot with a K-1000 and K
& M series lenses. All are out of production and "obsolete" but are still
very useable and will continue to be as long as film is around.  IMHO
digital is getting close to that stage. Digital point and shoots have mostly
settled in the 2-4 MP range and I doubt that we will see many in the 6+ MP
range. For their intended use 2-4 MP is enough. I think prices will go a bit
lower, especially with the higher MP P&S, but the digicam you buy today will
still do what you bought it for next year. Consumer level D-slr's and
D-zlr's are shooting for a different market, advanced amateurs and "soccer
moms" wanting better quality or more versatility. My guess is that 6-12 MP
will be the norm and that sub $1000 D-slr's will appear within the next
year. An interesting note is that N***N is already manufacturing a lens
specifically for their D-slr's, which makes me think they are not ready to
give up on their APS sized chips in the near future. So we may see more
digital lenses (including Pentax?) in the near future. I think a good 6 MP
D-slr sub $1K will sell well. None of this means that any of our equipment
is unusable.

BUTCH

Each man had only one genuine vocation - to find the way to himself.

Hermann Hess (Damien)


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