The original email that started all this was:

"There is no doubt that digital is currently a fad, especially at the
comsumer level. When that fad goes the way of all fads, then we will
see
where digital is in the real world."

Ciao,
Graywolf
 which was a reply to Cotty's comment:

>
> Actually I have a little theory that all this digital business is
winding
> itself up for a big implosion and eventually it'll go full circle
and
> we'll all end up wanting  film again. Could be a good time to buy a
> Pentax 67......
>


In context, I don't think "fad"was being used as "the product will go
away" but rather "the version of this prodcut that proves most stable is
yet to be determined".  

As I've said before, I think film will drop off quicker than many
think, but will refuse to actually "die" for quite a long time.  I
certianly think the "tail of the decay" will be MUCH longer than vinyl
records.  The reaosn is simple:  CD's cost abou the same a s vinyl
records, and CD players were as cheap as turntables.  I doubt that many
SLR users will make a complete switch to digital cmaeras without
interchangeable lenses, so that DSLR's will have to drop quite a bit in
price.

I have no doubt film will be completely gone in 100 years.  Probably
gone in 50.  25?


Steven Desjardins
Department of Chemistry
Washington and Lee University
Lexington, VA 24450
(540) 458-8873
FAX: (540) 458-8878
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

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