part of the reason film is as cheap as it is is because there are a lot of
rolls of film being manufactured. the number of rolls in 2000 is about 15%
higher than the number of rolls made now, and the rate of falloff shows
every sign of continuing if not increasing. the only growth markets Fuji and
Kodak foresee right now is in India, SE Asia, and China. everywhere else is
planned for a steep dropoff with total world-wide sales shrinking
significantly even with high growth in these areas. as Kodak found out the
hard way in 2003, dropoff is much faster than it anticipated. Fuji was more
pessimistic than Kodak and turned out to be more accurate.

Herb....

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Chris Stoddart" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Monday, July 19, 2004 7:09 AM
Subject: Re: Film vs Digita, was: lRe: Pentax is Dying?


> So why can't there be fewer manufactuers still producing film? Why can't
> film production be scaled down profitably? Why does it have to die if
> Kodak or Fuji suddenly stop making it? Is EVERYONE in the world going to
> go digital in the next decade or perhaps just William's first-world
> high-street consumers?


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