On Tuesday, December 4, 2001, at 09:45  PM, William Robb wrote:

> The big difference is, he isn't buying film anymore.

Know what's going to be the first casualty in the digital vs. film sales 
war?

APS.

1) APS is a lousy format, comparatively.  The neg is small, and for the 
most part the cameras are poor performers, accentuating the shortcomings 
of a smaller neg.  Of course, cameras like the Nikon Pronea APS SLR took 
good pictures, but...uh, can you still get Proneas?

2) People who were drawn to APS will be drawn to digital.  Look at the 
similarities: smaller camera, gadgety-ness, higher price tag than 35mm.  
The APS cartridge system is designed to seem high-tech, to appeal to 
cutting edge tech fans.

3) APS requires a separate set of masks and lenses to be printed at your 
local minilab, as well as a spooler/unspooler device to get the bloody 
film out of the cassettes and then back in again.  Digital requires the 
appropriate card reader and some software for a modern minilab to make 
prints.  APS is incompatible with older minilab machines (it's hard to 
get masks and lenses to fit machines from more than five years before 
APS was introduced), but more expensive to add on to a current machine 
than digital, unless the machine was factory-outfitted for APS.

4) APS has been a notorious sales flop.  Kodak have done everything 
under the sun to try to up the numbers of APS film sales and 
processing.  The local Shopper's Drug Mart only stocks Kodak single-use 
cameras that have APS film inside.  What's the advantage to the consumer 
of an APS single-use camera?  Nothing, unless you value bad pictures.  
What's the advantage to Kodak?  Well, all those films have to be 
processed, boosting the figures for APS film sales and processing.

Digital, on the other hand, appears to be thriving.

Who wants to join my APS deadpool?  Let's pick the date that Kodak 
announces it is no longer supporting the format.  I pick 2005.

-Aaron
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