On Tue, May 26, 2009 at 09:58:54PM -0400, Adam Maas wrote:
> 
> The common view is that the market is headed towards
> full frame aside from the low-end of the consumer market.

and

> I suspect [Pentax] think that FF won't be viable below
> the $1500 or so pricepoint (and I agree with them there).

Taken together, those statements  suggests that the low end
of the consumer market extends up to around $1500.  I think
that's too high by at least a factor of two (or more); the
low end will probably be $500 - $600 over the next couple
of years, and the midrange will probably be $650 - $900.

Anything over $1000 will already be at the high end of the
consumer market; $1500 or more pushes you firmly into the
advanced amateur / semi-pro segment.  And if you are right
about a FF camera selling for $1500 it's never going to be
in the bulk consumer market (which I believe to be the case).


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