On Tue, May 26, 2009 at 11:45 PM, John Francis <[email protected]> wrote:
> On Tue, May 26, 2009 at 09:58:54PM -0400, Adam Maas wrote:
>>
>> The common view is that the market is headed towards
>> full frame aside from the low-end of the consumer market.
>
> and
>
>> I suspect [Pentax] think that FF won't be viable below
>> the $1500 or so pricepoint (and I agree with them there).
>
> Taken together, those statements  suggests that the low end
> of the consumer market extends up to around $1500.  I think
> that's too high by at least a factor of two (or more); the
> low end will probably be $500 - $600 over the next couple
> of years, and the midrange will probably be $650 - $900.

You misunderstand me. I think that Nikon, Canon and Sony along with
most of the press & bloggers expect FF to be viable into around the
$8-900 pricepoint or even a bit below that, Pentax on the other hand
doesn't seem to see it being viable below the absolute top-end of the
consumer market and I agree with them.

>
> Anything over $1000 will already be at the high end of the
> consumer market; $1500 or more pushes you firmly into the
> advanced amateur / semi-pro segment.  And if you are right
> about a FF camera selling for $1500 it's never going to be
> in the bulk consumer market (which I believe to be the case).
>

And that's exactly my point (and we've actually had $1500 FF cameras
already, the 5D hit that in some places between discontinuation and
the widespread realization that 5DmII supplies would be well below
demand for months)



-- 
M. Adam Maas
http://www.mawz.ca
Explorations of the City Around Us.

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