On Tue, May 26, 2009 at 11:45 PM, John Francis <[email protected]> wrote: > On Tue, May 26, 2009 at 09:58:54PM -0400, Adam Maas wrote: >> >> The common view is that the market is headed towards >> full frame aside from the low-end of the consumer market. > > and > >> I suspect [Pentax] think that FF won't be viable below >> the $1500 or so pricepoint (and I agree with them there). > > Taken together, those statements suggests that the low end > of the consumer market extends up to around $1500. I think > that's too high by at least a factor of two (or more); the > low end will probably be $500 - $600 over the next couple > of years, and the midrange will probably be $650 - $900.
You misunderstand me. I think that Nikon, Canon and Sony along with most of the press & bloggers expect FF to be viable into around the $8-900 pricepoint or even a bit below that, Pentax on the other hand doesn't seem to see it being viable below the absolute top-end of the consumer market and I agree with them. > > Anything over $1000 will already be at the high end of the > consumer market; $1500 or more pushes you firmly into the > advanced amateur / semi-pro segment. And if you are right > about a FF camera selling for $1500 it's never going to be > in the bulk consumer market (which I believe to be the case). > And that's exactly my point (and we've actually had $1500 FF cameras already, the 5D hit that in some places between discontinuation and the widespread realization that 5DmII supplies would be well below demand for months) -- M. Adam Maas http://www.mawz.ca Explorations of the City Around Us. -- PDML Pentax-Discuss Mail List [email protected] http://pdml.net/mailman/listinfo/pdml_pdml.net to UNSUBSCRIBE from the PDML, please visit the link directly above and follow the directions.

