>Since you mention abductive reasoning, apparently without understanding
what
>it is, the simplest explanation for the apparent fit between the Gospels'
>account and the OT scriptures is the one I have given, by essentially the
>same reasoning that Hume gives for rejecting belief in miracles.
>
>B

I hope you've had the chance to read Peter Lipton's "Inference to the Best
Explanation."  I think it's the current standard on abductive logic and
reason.  All historical inquiry is abductive.  How we deal with the
artifacts of history can vary from empirical/inductive to just inductive,
depending on the material and the test.  One example of this would be
documents.  The empirical approach would be to test the media
(papyrus/paper/metal/skin/ink).  But verifying the content would be
inductive -- evaluating its truth value).  How it fits into the historical
narrative remains abductive.

You've made an assertion without evidence (that of retrofitted narrative),
assuming that simplicity == accuracy.  I don't know that such an assumption
would stand up. Ockham not withstanding.

>At the very least you have to believe that the Old Testament prophets could
predict the future

No, that the future was revealed to them.  This is a matter of externalism
rather than internalism.

>indeed, in Jewish thought Jesus is not the messiah
 
That's reading the present into the past.  Until roughly AD49 Christians and
Jews worshipped together.  The big split came when Jews (Christians with
them) were expelled from Rome.  Along with other persecution matters the
groups tended to separate.  After that period ended they never did come back
together.

Hume is a funny character.  On the one hand he pushed hard for empiricism,
contributing greatly to the 20th c. empiricism movement.
On the other hand he understood the problem of induction.  In the end he was
not able to reconcile the problem of empirical certainty and inductive
sufficiency.
Now, if you think your level of epistemic certainty rates at a 0.7 or 0.8,
I'd love to hear the reasoning behind it.

What you've presented is a straw man.  It is one that many accept without
question, but a straw man it remains.

Faith is not a sense.  But neither is it simply knowledge.  It is a response
to a presentation, roughly the same as what we call today a "considered
opinion" or "philosophical commitment."  In Biblical language it is a
response to historical facts. Hebrews 11, esp. v. 6.


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