I don't think digital SLRs will follow the depreciation of computers.
Digital point and shoot cameras, yes.  SLRs, no.  The build quality and
features offered by film SLRs carries over into digital SLRs. The majority
of camera users are happy with their zoom lensed point and shoots and see no
reason to pay for the pro, or semi-pro, features of a digital SLR when a
digital point and shoot allows them to shoot decent pictures and walk around
without carrying bags of lenses and other equipment. (Hey!  I have a lot of
fun putting a 50mm macro on my camera and leaving all the other stuff home
while I go walk about, too.)

So, to make the point.  There are tens of millions of people buying point
and shoot cameras.  That's where the prices will continue to come down.
There are a lot less people buying SLRs, especially digital SLRs, so prices
there are not going to decrease a lot.  Economies of scale don't really
apply to speciality items, which SLRs, both film and digital, really are. 

It's easy to see a time when evry home will have at least one computer, and
it's easy to see a time when every home will have a digital camera, but I
don't see more than ten percent (and probably less than that) being digital
SLRs with interchangeable lenses.

Len
---

-----Original Message-----
From: Peter Alling [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
Sent: Tuesday, August 20, 2002 5:34 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: Today's rant: Alright, already.


At 06:23 AM 8/19/2002 +0100, you wrote:
>Brendan MacRae wrote:
>
>
> > This issue is not strictly "generational" IMHO. If it were, the
> > only digital
> > cameras one would see would be cheap point and shoots that are marketed
> > specifically to the younger crowds. We wouldn't have 6+ megapixel
> > SLR's on
> > the market because no 19 year old could afford them.
>
>A good observation, I can think of someone who has just retired and 'gone'
>digital. I wonder if these expensive digital cameras will retain their
value
>like film cameras, or as I suspect, they will follow the depreciation of
>computers.

You got it.  This trend is already apparent.
-
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