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The numbers crunch Bush into a failure
By Jay Bookman

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
04/28/05

History may record that the Bush presidency, and the Republican revolution
that he hoped to lead, reached its high water mark on March 21, 2005, the
day that President Bush signed a bill authorizing federal court
intervention in the Terri Schiavo tragedy.

By overreaching so badly in that case, Republicans gave many Americans a
fresh appreciation of the dangers of unchecked government arrogance, not
to mention a renewed respect for the checks and balances needed to
restrain that arrogance.

And for Republicans, that realization came at the worst conceivable time.
Once that insight had taken hold, voters could see that same kind of
arrogance at work in the GOP's move to protect House Majority Leader Tom
DeLay by rewriting House ethics rules. And when Republican leaders began
to attack federal judges as part of their holy crusade against the only
government branch beyond their control, what had been a vague and growing
unease began to coalesce into a deep distrust.

In fact, according to pollsters, Americans have come to reject both the
premise and the tactics of the GOP's crusade. In a new Washington Post/ABC
News poll, just 26 percent said federal judges are too liberal; 18 percent
said they're too conservative; and 52 percent think they're about right.

In that poll, an astounding 66 percent opposed the Republican effort to
make it easier to ram even the most extreme judges through the Senate
confirmation process. Like the change of ethics rules in the House, that
proposed change is seen as an effort to remove all impediments to raw
power.

That sea change in public perception has coincided with another dangerous
trend for Republicans. On critical issues from Iraq to energy to the
economy and Social Security, enough time has now passed to see the results
of Bush's ideology-driven policies, and it isn't pretty.

The Dow Jones industrial average has fallen almost 800 points from its
high in early March, and respected figures such as Fed Chairman Alan
Greenspan and his predecessor, Paul Volcker, are warning about dire
consequences if the federal deficit is not addressed in a serious manner.
Bush, however, has made it clear that he has no intention of changing
course.

As a result, a Gallup poll last week found that only 31 percent of
Americans rated the economy as good or excellent; 68 percent called it
fair or poor. Back in early March, 50 percent of Americans told Gallup
they believed the economy was getting worse; by last week, it had jumped
to 61 percent.

Reality is rearing its ugly head in Iraq as well. More than three months
after elections that were supposed to transform the country, Iraqis may
only now be overcoming the ethnic feuding that has frustrated formation of
a new government. U.S. military recruiting is falling, soldiers die, and
this week, the CIA officially abandoned its search for weapons of mass
destruction.

More telling still, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld was asked in a
press briefing Wednesday whether we were winning or losing in Iraq. It's a
straightforward question, but Rumsfeld responded by saying that "winning
or losing is not the issue for 'we,' in my view, in the traditional,
conventional context of using the word 'winning' and 'losing' in a war."

In the ABC-Washington Post poll, 56 percent of Americans said they
disapprove of Bush's policy in Iraq, and 54 percent said the war is not
worthwhile. According to a Gallup poll earlier this month, 50 percent of
Americans recognized that the Bush administration deliberately deceived
them into war, up from 31 percent less than two years ago. That number
will grow.

Pick your area, and the results are the same. Failed policy, and poll
numbers that reflect it. Energy? Only 31 percent in a recent Associated
Press poll said Bush was handling our energy problems effectively. Social
Security? Bush has traveled the country trying to unite Americans on
Social Security, and polls indicate that he's succeeding, if not quite in
the way he had in mind. Opposition to Bush's handling of Social Security
jumped from 56 percent to 64 percent between March and April. In a CBS
poll earlier this month, only 25 percent said they were confident in his
handling of Social Security.

Those poll results can't be explained by Democratic attacks or a liberal
media. It's just the cold, hard recognition of failure setting in.


�Jay Bookman is the deputy editorial page editor. His column appears
Thursdays and Mondays.

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