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Dear Jim Willgoose,
Opps, I goofed. I think you are
right. In an earlier version of my post I had included the
possibility that in an open system new energy, information and possibilities
were being added (or taken away) that would change the mean of the system and
thus account for evolution of the mean (and why variation about the mean is so
important and included in nature's plan).
Otherwise, yes, the average represents the "least
total error" of a distribution and moreover is in some ways an abstract
"fiction" as for example the average family size of 2.3
people. Still, as long as we are dealing with
generalization about multiple observations that in reality vary about
a mean (and I can't think of any actual observations that don't) then the
mean remains the characterization of the group of observations that
produces the least total difference from all the other observation
comprising the data set. And what is our notion of truth if not the
example with the least error?
Along with Peirce, and statistical measurement
theory, I think of every observation as containing a combination some
universal truth and individual error. The average of a distribution of
observations contains the least percentage of individual error because that is
what the math of achieving the average produces. The "truth" of a whole
distribution is the distribution itself. The least erroneous
generalization about the distribution is its average. I don't think
truth lies outside the data. I take the view that every method,
observation or imaginable thing contains some truth but only a part of the truth
along with individual error. Each of the three methods for fixing belief
is valid in so far as it goes (and of course as examples of themselves
perfectly true). So I would describe them as producing partial
truths. All observation are individual matters. But idividual
observations are wrong in so far as they lack the validity that only
multiple individual POVs can provide. The whole truth requires
simultaneous observations from multiple POVs which can only be achieved through
the existence of others. And the multiple observations must be combined
rationally (as for example the simple average) in order to cancel rather than
multiply or add error. All of this multiple POV business being required
because the universe extends in both space and time and there is no way any
individual can achieve a POV from which to grasp its totality.
As to the flat earth example -- I'd say "the
world is flat" was not so much a wrong conclusion as it was an only
partially true conclusion. For the purpose of most local everyday walking
distances (the main mode of transportation at the time the view was popular,
though never universally accepted) the idea that the earth was a bumpy (hills
and valleys) flat surface was effectively true. Granted, as we
expand our horizons and the distribution of observation to include previously
excepted outliers the mean shifts accordingly. An error you have
correctly noted in my account. I incorrectly spoke as if my world
were the whole world and we all lived in a locally closed and fixed
system. A common false assumption of the tenaciously
narrow minded such as myself.
BTW some empirical studies of cultural ideals of human
facial beauty point to the conclusion that the population average (based upon
actual measurements of facial features) is the most favored. This seems to
tie in with Peirce's suggestion (as it survives my personal filter)
that aesthetics is the basis for ethics and ethics for truth.
And yes -- in the final analysis all of what I've proposed
is not only old hat but so limited in its generality as to be little more than a
crank opinion. I realize this. Yet for me individually
pluralism has been a big part of
my small personal conception of how truth is
approached. So I appreciate your taking the time to comment, Jim.
Your helpful suggestions have, I believe, already brought me a bit closer
to courtroom ideal of "the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the
truth". I've been learning a little about the history of common law
recently . In a way the common law system with its constant honing
and development based upon reason and evidence has produced a quasi scientific
body of knowledge about human behavior that is in my view every bit the equal or
superior of that produced by other social
science approaches. A psychologist who wants to understand
interpersonal relations and our society at large could do worse than
to study contract and property law.
Best wishes and thanks,
Jim Piat
Jim Wilgoose wrote:
Interesting. But if all the scientist did was "average" three defective
modes of inquiry, wouldn't we be stuck with the "least total error," yet an
error nevertheless? We would have all agreed that the earth is flat, Euclidean
geometry is the true physical geometry, a part can never be greater than the
whole and so forth. The other methods are experimentally defective. Even if the
average was taken just from within the scientific community, are there not
numerous examples of "leaps" in knowledge occurring by virtue of the beliefs
held out along the fringes of the distribution?
Jim W
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