Brazilian, Bank Officials Plan to Talk Next Week
Nation's Leaders Want Debt Rolled Over

By John M. Berry
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, August 20, 2002; Page E01

Brazilian officials plan to meet in New York City next week, rather
than today as some participants had expected, with representatives
of major U.S. and foreign banks reluctant to roll over loans to
Brazilian companies because of the country's financial crisis,
sources familiar with the planning said.

The Brazilians hope to use the meeting to persuade the lenders to
renew loans as they expire rather than demanding repayment. While
some of the loans are to the Brazilian government and related
agencies, most are to private corporations.

Yesterday, to further assure foreign lenders of the country's
creditworthiness, Brazil's president, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, met
separately with the four candidates vying to succeed him in an
October election. Caroso sought the candidates' assurances that they
would continue his program of running primary government budget
surpluses, which do not count interest payments on government debt.
The budget stringency is the key condition for receiving $30 billion
in fresh lending announced by the International Monetary Fund
earlier this month.

One of the candidates, Ciro Gomes, said the situation is very grave.
He blamed the current government's economic approach. "Not without
regret, I told President Cardoso that my [eventual] government will
be committed to fiscal austerity as foreseen in the 2003 budget
guidelines."

Another leading candidate, Luiz Inacio "Lula" da Silva, also made a
statement meant to reassure investors about his intentions.

"Markets welcomed comments from Ciro Gomes and Lula da Silva," said
Jose Miguel Moreno of Stone & McCarthy, a financial markets research
firm. The statements eased concerns about the defeat of the current
government's candidate, Jose Serra, who is trailing badly in the
polls.

By late yesterday, the statements had contributed to a 2 percent
increase in the Brazilian currency, the real, to 3.1 per U.S.
dollar, according to the Bloomberg News Service. The Brazilian bond
market also rallied.

Sources said yesterday that details of the talks between Brazil and
its creditors were still being worked out.

IMF spokesman Thomas Dawson said the fund would probably send a
representative to the talks to provide information and monitor
progress, as it has routinely done in other such negotiations in the
past.

Officials of the Bush administration are taking a hands-off approach
to the negotiations, preferring to leave things up to the parties
involved and the IMF.

"We're not involved in it," said Michele Davis, the Treasury
spokeswoman. "Negotiations between creditors and debtors go on all
the time. There is nothing that requires us to be part of it."

During the Clinton administration, by contrast, top Treasury
officials routinely threatened to withhold any new public-sector
loans to countries facing financial trouble unless big U.S. and
foreign banks also agreed to put some money on the table -- either
by agreeing to roll over existing loans or by lowering interest
payments.

The IMF itself also favors "bailing in" the private sector as part
of any bailout package. But so far it has been unable to come up
with a workable mechanism to require it, relying instead on
voluntary negotiations.

Although the U.S. government may not be involved in the talks, U.S.
economic interests certainly are.

A number of banks, including Citigroup Inc., J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.
and FleetBoston Financial Corp., have billions of dollars of loan
exposure in Latin America that makes them particularly vulnerable to
a financial meltdown in the region.

In addition, the ability of U.S. corporations to export products to
Brazil depends on the ability of Brazilian firms to get loans to
finance the purchases -- financing that, in many instances, will be
difficult to obtain without renegotiation of previous loans.

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