On Mon, 2008-03-24 at 09:14 -0400, Shane Mage wrote:

> Of that $11 trillion most is not "subprime."  So the question is how
> much equity underlies that $11 trillion, certainly not as little as
> 100%!  And so the potential writedown has to be much less than that
> $1.375 trillion.

The question for this crisis is "subprime or not" but "equity or not".

Even prime borrowers don't like to pay debt which is more than
the value of their house and no hope having the value go back fast
enough. Some of them will keep paying, some will likely try hard not to
pay which means huge legal fees for bank and big stress on the justice
system given the number of households with negative equity. I read 8
millions households somewhere and the number is going up when house
prices go down.

Laurent
http://guerby.org/blog/


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