Gene Coyle:
>> > Technological progress destroys, doesn't create jobs.

Doug wrote:
>> It can destroy jobs or create them. Railroads, cars, telephones, airplanes,
>> and computers all created far more jobs than they destroyed.

I think that the focus on "jobs" is wrong (just as it was in the
debate over the NAFTA years ago). It's absolutely true that
technological change creates jobs and destroys them. Under the right
conditions (see below), job destruction may be totally in sync with
job creation, so that employment rises with the labor force (without
an increase in "discouraged workers").

But the key point is that there's nothing in a pure capitalist economy
that guarantees that the costs of the transitions of workers from the
destroyed jobs to the created ones are less than the benefits. In
fact, the fact that most of the transition costs are dumped on workers
creates an incentive to for capitalists to introduce new technology;
if they had to pay the full cost to society of introducing new
technology, they'd hold off much more often. That is, one of the
reasons for capitalism's much-praised technical "dynamism" is that the
capitalists don't pay the full cost of the implementation of new
technologies.

The transition from old industries and occupations (rendered obsolete)
to new ones (created by new technology) can be very costly, involving
the need for workers to move to new geographical areas and new skill
categories. They may find it necessary to sell their houses or leave
their communities and families. Movement across international
boundaries may be excessively expensive or even impossible (unlike for
capital).

Some workers end up structurally unemployed, i.e., not having the
right skills or location for the jobs that are available (like some of
my distant relatives in West Virginia). Others end up taking jobs that
pay much less -- or that have much lower _quality_ (from the worker's
point of view). In fact, their having relatively high wages in the
first place is one factor encouraging their employers to introduce
new, labor-power-saving, technical change.

What are the "right conditions" mentioned above? In the aggregate, the
total availability of jobs under capitalism grows according to the
formula the growth rate of labor-power demand = the rate of growth of
the demand for real GDP _minus_ the rate of growth of average labor
productivity (real GDP produced per unit of labor-power). The growth
of demand does not have to be led by consumers (though that is the
most reliable private-sector basis for aggregate demand). It might be
led by accumulation (fixed investment), government purchases
(including government investment), and even net exports. The balance
between the supply and demand (so that demand rises with the labor
force) might be maintained by increased military spending. If need be,
they could bring back conscription.

Even without that kind of prop, if the supply of labor-power is
growing faster than the demand for it, "market forces" can solve the
problem. You don't have to believe in the free-market myths found in
Ekon textbooks to see this: in this situation, as Marx pointed out,
average real wages will sag or stagnate relative to labor productivity
growth (sag or stag?), boosting profits and encouraging accumulation.
This boosts the demand for labor-power. But this returns us to my
first points: it's the _transition costs_ and the _quality_ of jobs
that count.

Sandwichman wrote:
> This [Doug's comment above] is about half right. Some tech progress
> creates the potential for
> new markets for new commodities. But demand for those new commodities
> is not intrinsic, it has to be learned and often massively subsidized
> with public works spending (e.g., on paved roads, airports). It is the
> effective demand for the new products that creates jobs, not the
> technology itself.

In my experience, the way US politics works is that massive
subsidization of private-sector capitalist operations is the norm, not
the exception. (The exception would be subsidization of working-class
operations, unless workers fight hard.) Maybe it works differently in
other countries...

> Also, the debate about technology creating/destroying jobs is
> distorted by reification of what technology is. Technology consists of
> both the skills and the tools -- things and social contexts. The
> social is primary. ...
>
> The most elemental technologies of capitalism consisted of imposing
> new social arrangements -- increasing the hours of work to accomodate
> factory production and then limiting the hours of work to accomodate
> expanded reproduction and intensification of the work process.

Wasn't the limiting of hours largely the result of working-class
struggles? it seems to me that it was only _after the fact_ that
capitalists discovered that it could be beneficial to them if they
played their cards right.

> Ultimately technology is about saving time (wealth is disposable
> time... "and nothing more!"). The things Doug mentioned, railroads,
> cars, telephones, airplanes, and computers are all supposed to save
> their customers time. Whether or not they actually do so is a question
> that needs to be asked but rarely is.

This question is asked a lot. For example, students of domestic labor
processes ask if new house-cleaning machinery really saves labor-time
or if it really simply creates the excuse for unnecessary increases in
standards of household cleanliness.

More importantly, it's true that "ultimately" or "objectively,"
technological change is "about" saving time, along with effort (which
seems just as important to me). But under capitalism, it's not
labor-time or effort as much as the labor-power hired that gets the
attention, at least in the private sector.

That is, technological change is "about" cutting labor-power costs
(and "constant capital" costs, too, if it can be pulled off). An
employer doesn't care if a new technology uses more worker time or
effort -- as long as it decreases costs to the employer.
-- 
Jim Devine / "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own
way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.
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