Matthijs Krul writes:

I don't necessarily disagree that the classical age of imperialism might
be drawing to a close, though I think it is too early to draw
conclusions from it. In any case it would imply that the age of
_western_ imperialism is coming to a close, as I do not think capitalism
can exist without some form of imperialism. But as long as this hasn't
happened yet, I think it is legitimate to refer to the social-democratic
inclined (skilled and/or white) worker in the First World as a labor
aristocracy, and all the more so for the Western union bureaucracies.
=============================================
It may be too early to draw definitive conclusions about whether the
classical age of Western imperialism is drawing to a close, But it's pretty
clear there's only one imperialist power deserving of that designation
today, and I don't see a revival of inter-imperialist conflict of the kind
which precipitated the two world wars.

The global bourgeoisie has progressively become more integrated and less
tethered to nation-states, and it manages its internal affairs in a more
orderly way. The revolutions in military and economic affairs wrought by
weapons of mass destruction and by technological advances in communications
and transportation have contributed to stability and integration. But these
developments also correspond more generally to capitalism's progress at each
stage from anarchic conflict to uneasy cooperation in the struggle for
local, regional, and national markets. This process now seems to unfolding
at the international level.

Of course, it's a matter of some debate from left to right today whether the
US and China are on a collision course or whether they will manage their
relationship in the same way a declining Britain and a rising US managed
their own a century ago, when there was similar talk of an inevitable clash
as the two countries crossed paths. So far, the evidence points to the
accomodation. I don't know that "capitalism can't exist without some form of
imperialism", as you say, following Lenin's understanding of imperialism as
capitalism's highest stage. Why does China, which has been restoring
capitalism, necessarily have to become an imperialist state? What markers
would indicate that it had?

One thing we already know. The rise of China, India, Brazil, and other newly
emergent economies - especially during the past decade since the Asian
crisis -  has profoundly altered the relationship between the old capitalist
powers and the super-exploited colonial  world upon which the classical
theories of imperialism were built. Portugal is no longer "imperialist" and
Brazil no longer a colony, and while this may be a particularly exaggerated
illustration, the same holds true of the other European states and Japan and
their relationship to their old colonial possessions and spheres of
influence.

The power of the lone remaining imperialist state bent on world domination
also seems to be on the wane - Iraq and the debtor status of the US being
the most recent examples of America's increased vulnerability to the
military and economic challenges being presented to it from what we used to
call the third world. Perhaps it will make the necessary adjustments to cope
with "asymmetric" warfare and to correct its current account deficit, but
it's unlikely it will ever attain it's former preeminence in world affairs.
The present divisions within the US ruling class are between that faction
which recognizes this and wants to adapt to the new global reality, and the
reactionary wing represented by the Bush administration which refuses to do
so and is making the adjustment so wrenching.

The relationship between the working class in the OECD countries and the
workers in the newly emergent economies mirrors this larger picture. If the
Western working class  once constituted an aristocracy, it is now a decaying
aristocracy. Economic growth and labour markets are expanding more rapidly
in the developing capitalist countries than in the developed ones, and the
gap in living standards is narrowing.

It seems to me that leftists who continue to see the central contradiction
of our time as the exploitation of the "periphery" by the "core", together
with it's corrolary - ever greater privileges for workers in the West and
intensified pauperization of the masses in the rest of the world - are, to
an ever increasing degree, living off old theory.

I also think that while conflicts will continue to be perceived as national
ones and led by nationalists as excluded nations struggle to assume their
rightful place in the global economy by recovering their sovereignty from
imperialism, the trend towards greater international interdependence and
mobility could well see longer term lines drawn more on class than national
ones.



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