ravi wrote:
> What I am point out is that we cannot, as per the law of conservation of 
> energy, make something out of nothing. When we keep growing our populations, 
> consumption, etc, its at the cost of something else. That's a trivial but 
> significant fundamental fact of physics. <

The Earth is not a closed system: there is a constant flow of energy
coming from the Sun, which can be utilized more effectively than it is
nowadays. There's a lot of "something" coming in that can be used to
help create "something else."

Also, "something can be made from nothing" if the something we're
using as raw material is used much more efficiently.

>  That something else that we displace may be a wasteful expenditure, and thus 
> we may be achieving a double benefit: removing waste and achieving growth. 
> But I think that scenario is long past as the impact of human rapaciousness 
> on the environment and other species, and on other groups of humans, at this 
> point in time, I believe, attests.<

it should be obvious that I'm not in favor of rapacity. But that does
not mean that "growth" has to be rapacious. As Max said, the _quality_
of growth can be improved.

> I am using growth in what I think is a generous sense: "more schools, more 
> hospitals", etc. <

yes, you choose to use the word "growth" to mean the kind of growth
you don't like. Thus growth is bad. QED.

> Even though we know (IMHO) that hoping for growth to be that sort of growth 
> is like hoping that Obama will be a leftist. <

Obama will be a leftist if there's a mass movement pushing him in that
direction; similarly, the quality of growth can be improved if we (as
a large group) yell enough.

> Someone posted recently on complexity theory -- that term in certain ateas of 
> mathematics ... refers to the unsolvability (or infeasibility of finding a 
> solution) of certain problems due to the computational complexity. 
> Technological progress (again IMHO) starts out with trivially solvable 
> problems and leads into more and more intractable ones. <

I wouldn't call it technological "progress," since it's not always a
good thing. But I think it's a mistake to jump from abstract
mathematics to an assertion about the real world. I hear over and over
again about the butterflies in China spawning tornadoes in Texas, but
no-one ever seems to find an actual case of that kind of thing
happening. What kind of mathematical system do you think describes
technological change that implies that it is subject to these kinds of
effects?

I'm a crude old guy, so I have crude old opinions. I think the problem
with technology is _power_. Those with power are likely capitalists or
militarists, so technological change tends to favor their interests,
producing stuff that adds to the capitalists' bottom line (while
raping nature and abusing people) or helps the military kill people.
If the balance of power were different, technological change would
have different biases.

Why not get away from abstractions about "technology" and get closer
to earth, to talk about the institutional biases in
technology-generation and use?

> ... Optimism at this point is the version described by the story of the guy 
> falling from the 100th floor who is cheerful regarding his fate since he has 
> passed 73 floors and nothing has  happened, and by induction, ergo...<

By the way, I'm not an optimist. The optimism/pessimism issue is
merely a distraction.
-- 
Jim Devine /  "Nobody told me there'd be days like these / Strange
days indeed -- most peculiar, mama." -- JL.
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