On Tue, Dec 2, 2008 at 9:11 AM, Jim Devine <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> I'm totally willing to embrace the complexity of the world as it is.
> But fortunately or unfortunately, we live in a capitalist society
> which reduces all of this complexity to a single measure, monetary
> market value. We shouldn't ignore that fact.
> --
> Jim Devine / "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own


There is also a more primitive practical issue here. I listed the
following things we as a society need to do: Electric trains, electric
cars, bike paths, sidewalks, massive retrofits of existing buildings
with efficiency technology, massive retrofit of industrial facilities
with efficiency technologies,  millions of solar power generators and
wind turbines. The last two would require a smart grid, long distance
transmission, and electric and thermal storage to let them power a
stable grid. We also need a transformation of agriculture and
forestry, and more thrift in the way we use water, metals, fibers,
glass, plastic and other raw materials. There are other things on that
list, and some people might suggest changes to the list, but I don't
think anyone who looks at the issues doubts we need to do something on
those lines.

And about 95% of that list is stuff that would show up as gains in
GDP. In short, given the massive resource mismangement, it is hard to
imagine tackling our current problems without producing conventional
GDP growth as a side effect. We really do need infrastructure, a lot
of infrastructure -  well over one and a half trillion a year in new
infrastructure in a zero technical improvement scenario, perhaps half
that if certain technical improvements make renewable electricity and
efficiency improvements cheaper.   Now of course there are savings
here too - replacing existing energy costs, lowered air and water
pollution with reductions in health costs, lowered production of
certain existing infrastructure (heavy trucks, and lowered wear and
tear on roads from fewer heavy trucks). But still it is hard to
imagine doing all this and not having a larger GDP as a result.  So it
seems like any discussion of a low or no-growth economy has
acknowledge that any such practice will, at minimum, have to wait
until we finish (and hell until we begin) the needed transformation of
out infrastructure.
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