At least it isn't the Dark Ages

by Bryan Ward-Perkins

Financial Times FT.com (December 22 2009)


As we face an uncertain and worrying New Year, we can at least console
ourselves with the fact that we are not living 1,600 years ago, and about
to begin the year 410. In this year Rome was sacked, and the empire gave
up trying to defend Britain. While this marks the glorious beginnings of
"English history", as Anglo-Saxon barbarians began their inexorable
conquest of lowland Britain, it was also the start of a recession that
puts all recent crises in the shade.

The economic indicators for fifth-century Britain are scanty, and derive
exclusively from archaeology, but they are consistent and extremely bleak.
Under the Roman empire, the province had benefited from the use of a
sophisticated coinage in three metals - gold, silver and copper -
lubricating the economy with a guaranteed and abundant medium of exchange.
In the first decade of the fifth century new coins ceased to reach Britain
from the imperial mints on the continent, and while some attempts were
made to produce local substitutes, these efforts were soon abandoned. For
about 300 years, from around AD 420, Britain's economy functioned without
coin.

Core manufacturing declined in a similar way. There was some continuity of
production of the high-class metalwork needed by a warrior aristocracy to
mark its wealth and status; but at the level of purely functional products
there was startling change, all of it for the worse. Roman Britain had
enjoyed an abundance of simple iron goods, documented by the many hob-nail
boots and coffin-nails found in Roman cemeteries. These, like the coinage,
disappeared early in the fifth century, as too did the industries that had
produced abundant attractive and functional wheel-turned pottery. From the
early fifth century, and for about 250 years, the potter's wheel - that
most basic tool, which enables thin-walled and smoothly finished vessels
to be made in bulk - disappeared altogether from Britain. The only pots
remaining were shaped by hand, and fired, not in kilns as in Roman times,
but in open 'clamps' (a smart word for a pile of pots in a bonfire).

We do not know for certain what all this meant for population numbers in
the countryside, because from the fifth to the eighth century people had
so few goods that they are remarkably difficult to find in the
archaeological record; but we do know its effect on urban populations.
Roman Britain had a dense network of towns, ranging from larger
settlements, like London and Cirencester, which also served an
administrative function, to small commercial centres that had grown up
along the roads and waterways. By 450 all of these had disappeared, or
were well on the way to extinction. Canterbury, the only town in Britain
that has established a good claim to continuous settlement from Roman
times to the present, impresses us much more for the ephemeral nature of
its fifth to seventh-century huts than for their truly urban character.
Again it was only in the eighth century, with the (re)emergence of trading
towns such as London and Saxon Southampton, that urban life returned to
Britain.

For two or three hundred years, beginning at the start of the fifth
century, the economy of Britain reverted to levels not experienced since
well before the Roman invasion of AD 43. The most startling features of
the fifth-century crash are its suddenness and its scale. We might not be
surprised if, on leaving the empire, Britain had reverted to an economy
similar to that which it had enjoyed in the immediately pre-Roman Iron
Age. But southern Britain just before the Roman invasion was a
considerably more sophisticated place economically than Britain in the
fifth and sixth centuries: it had a native silver coinage; pottery
industries that produced wheel-turned vessels and sold them widely; and
even the beginnings of settlements recognisable as towns. Nothing of the
kind existed in the fifth and sixth centuries; and it was only really in
the eighth century that the British economy crawled back to the levels it
had already reached before Emperor Claudius's invasion. It is impossible
to say with any confidence when Britain finally returned to levels of
economic complexity comparable to those of the highest point of Roman
times, but it might be as late as around the year 1000 or 1100. If so, the
post-Roman recession lasted for 600-700 years.

We can take some cheer from this sad story - so far our own problems pale
into insignificance. But Schadenfreude is never a very satisfying emotion,
and in this case it would be decidedly misplaced. The reason the
Romano-British economy collapsed so dramatically should give us pause for
thought. Almost certainly the suddenness and the catastrophic scale of the
crash were caused by the levels of sophistication and specialisation
reached by the economy in Roman times. The Romano-British population had
grown used to buying their pottery, nails, and other basic goods from
specialist producers, based often many miles away, and these producers in
their turn relied on widespread markets to sustain their specialised
production. When insecurity came in the fifth century, this impressive
house of cards collapsed, leaving a population without the goods they
wanted and without the skills and infrastructure needed to produce them
locally. It took centuries to reconstruct networks of specialisation and
exchange comparable to those of the Roman period.

The more complex an economy is, the more fragile it is, and the more
cataclysmic its disintegration can be. Our economy is, of course, in a
different league of complexity to that of Roman Britain. Our pottery and
metal goods are likely to have been made, not many miles away, but on the
other side of the globe, while our main medium of exchange is electronic,
and sometimes based on smoke and mirrors. If our economy ever truly
collapses, the consequences will make fifth-century Britain seem like a
picnic.

_____

The writer teaches history at Trinity College, Oxford and is the author of
The Fall of Rome and the End of Civilization (2005).

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