From: Jim Devine <[email protected]>

(there are a lot of ellipses below, but they're left implicit.)

On Fri, Jun 4, 2010 at 1:55 PM, c b  wrote:
> I  interpreted your comments as political , not personal , criticism of 
> Obama. Mine was a political comment, not a personal comment or a comment on 
> Obama's person or personality.<

What I was talking about wasn't a criticism of Obama as much as an
effort to understand his presidency. I don't think we should expect
much out of it: as I said before the election, I expect BHO to
rationalize neoliberalism more than reversing it, just as George W.
Bush's father did after Reagan's reign. (For example, BHO replaces
people like the famous Brownie with much more competent folks.)
Because I have low expectations, I am not shocked by what BHO does. (I
was _never_ expecting any kind of social democracy (even the soft
social democracy of the New Deal) out of the Obama presidency.)

^^^^^
CB:  Yes, as I said , I interpreted u talking as about the Presidency,
not the President as a person.

Brownie didn't have much to do with neo-liberalism. I don't know that
the economics/finance personnel of Bush II or Clinton are that much
less "rational" than Obama's.

Obama changing things leftward has always depended upon movement from
below (like u and he always say). There hasn't been much mobilization
of the left since the election  In fact, with the Tea Partiers , it
has been the right that has rallied and pushed.

However, surely u never expected social democracy stronger than the
New Deal in this period !  From Obama , Hillary Clinton or anybody
else.


CB: > In the following I indicated the Supreme Court might be relevant
in stopping social democratic measures ...<

We should "think outside the box" and not assume that the Supreme
Court will follow precedents, opposing any slight movement to the left
only with weapons used in the past. Scalia thinks outside the box when
it comes to thinking up new and different ways to promote his agenda,
and he's been very successful at dragging a lot of the SCOTUS along.
(Scalia _et al_ have defined the "new normal" in the SCOTUS, so that
"liberal" and "conservative" are defined in their terms.)

^^^^^^^

CB: How can I say this ? The Warren Court was an aberration ( a good
thing) in the history of the Supreme Court. It was the only time in
history that the SC led a left move. It did so in civil rights (
obvious) and civil liberties ( especially on search and seizures;
death penalty ), anti-male supremacy (including right to an abortion).
I don't recall much it did in economic/working class rights.  There
really aren't too many more issues.  In one recent case, even the
current rightwing court rebuffed the Bush admin on rights of
Guantanamo types.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but as I think about it, the Supreme Court
doesn't address very many political questions.

Starting with the Burger Court, the SC has been eroding the Warren
Court achievements for more years than the Warren Court did good.

The SC is not the site of much initiatives to the left. As u suggested
and I agreed on this thread, it is likely to play a role of stymying
"social democratic" reforms.

I don't think Scalia's stuff is successful because of  his superior
_logic_ or _thinking_ so much as having the rightwing votes on the
Court. If u have the votes u can rationalize your opinons with any
kind of outside the box, off the wall bullshit. Scalia is not so much
smart and creative as having the votes.  If more left justices get the
votes they will come up with all kinds of brilliant,creative thinking
outside the box. I thought Sotomeyer's dissent on the recent case
eroding Miranda warnings was brilliant - " it is counterintuitive to
require someone to speak to obtain their right to remain silent." (
Sotomeyer was appointed by who ? smile)

CB: > I very much disagree that huge masses of US adults are clear
that Obama is constrained by the rightwing in Congress, especially the
Democratic rightwing. The media has allowed it to be portrayed that
Obama is can force Congressional Democrats to follow his lead.... <

Most US adults know about the "division of powers" in the government.
In any event, when I said "US adults know," it was short-hand for
"there's no reason that I should always mention each and every
external constraint that keeps Obama from being a saint or whatever CB
expects him to be."

^^^^^^
CB:  Low blow.  I'll get u back for that (smile)



^^^^

Of course, Obama also constrains Congress, while they're both
constrained and shaped by the shit-storm of campaign contributions and
lobbying that dominate DC. Most adults know about that, too, though
many approve.

^^^^^^^
CB: Most adults didn't understand enough to make a shit-storm from
below to make the President and Congress do the right thing on what
has gone down recently.

^^^^^

CB: > I don't think that's caused so much by the environment he grew
up in as by the pragmatic political realities in the US today. ?There
is no mass base for his "doing" social democracy. As he said during
the campaign, change comes from the bottom up. ?There is no bottom up
mass movement for social democratic change .... yet (smile).<

Sure, BHO is constrained by his political environment (including by
the liberals who apologize for him rather than turning against him).
But he does have a lot of power (much more than I do, for example), so
his individual personality does play a role. (One working definition
of an individual's "power" is the extent to which his or her
personality changes the course of history rather than being changed by
it.)

^^^^^^^^^
CB:  Not everything he has done needs to be apologized for.

^^^^^

CB: > I don't think u can tell how Sotomeyer or _____ will vote if
these issues come up in the future. ?Earl Warren was a Republican
Governor who one wouldn't expect would lead the reversal of _Plessy vs
Ferguson_.. If u can get Congress to pass social democratic reforms,
the Obama appointees might very well uphold them.<

One thing that's happened is that Presidents have "wised up." No
GOPster would appoint an Earl Warren today. (Likely, no Dem would do
it either, since the DP has shifted so far right over the decades.)

^^^^^^^
CB: The country has moved to the right, and the Presidents reflect that.

The point was that Warren was unexpectedly left even for when he was appointed.

By the way, I think both of Obama's appointments are unmarried women.

^^^^^^^

In any event, it's a bad idea to rely on the mistake of our rulers
(e.g., the appointment of Warren to the Supremes) to produce
"progressive" results.

^^^^
CB: My point was not relying on a mistake . It is that claims that
Obama's appointments "move the court to the right" are anti-O biased
guesses.

^^^^^^

We should also remember that (despite what they teach in Civics) what
the Supes do is partly a matter of political pressure from outside the
official system. In Brown vs. the Board of Education, they were
responding to the Civil Rights movement (which at that point was still
mostly outside of the established political system) in an atmosphere
when the US elite thought that "all problems can be solved" (it was
still the "American Century" after all).

^^^^^^^
CB: Now u are talking. Even the SC is moved from below.

^^^^^


 It's a far cry from (say) the
mid-1970s, when business was crying because profitability had fallen
(while they tried to deal with the problem by imposing stagflation)
and grass-roots conservatives were mobilizing against "acid, amnesty,
and abortion" (and busing). It's also distant from currently, when the
vastly-empowered financial interests are striving to preserve their
privileges (if not to consolidate and extend their power) and
grass-roots conservatives have built on their successes to move in the
direction of banning abortion completely.

^^^^^
CB: I don't quite follow the second sentence above. Is it distant or
close to vastly empowered fianancial interests .

I'd say Obama's SC appointees are likely to defend the right to
abortion ( I'll make that prediction)

^^^^^^^

As I said, I don't expect any kind of social-democratic legislation
from BHO or Congress -- and I don't expect BHO's appointees to uphold
it -- without massive political pressure, counteracting the power of
big money (i.e., capital).

^^^^^^^
CB: Correct. Movement from below.

^^^^^^^

BTW, from a left position, BHO's main contribution to the SCOTUS has
not been a matter of appointing "progressives" to the Court (since
he's not doing so). Instead, it's his refraining from appointing
someone like Scalia, Thomas, Roberts, etc. BHO is better than Dubya,
but that's not saying much.

^^^^^
CB: I substantially agree, except I think his appointments are
probably progressive on right to abortion, one of the main ( and few)
issues that the Court has today.




CB had written:
>>> Basically, it is a demand that Obama commit political suicide for the 
>>> socialist ideas of the tiny, tiny, I mean really tiny US left. By tiny , I 
>>> mean they have no visible means of support in any mass of Americans.<<<

I wrote:
>> I wasn't "demanding" anything. ...<<

CB now writes:
> Advocating it, then. Suggesting it.<

That's your reading. Please don't presume to be able to read my mind.


^^^^^
CB: I love u Jim, but _sometimes_ u are ..huffy...stuffy.
 Just say  what u _were_ doing.

If u read your comments on what I say u will find plenty of stuff I
could say is "presuming to read my mind".

^^^^^

CB: > ?I'm defending him [BHO] for the same reason I supported him in
the election. His political location is the best we can hope to get in
the current US political situation.<

So the "current US political situation" determines your political
position? as the US shifts to the right, do you become more
right-wing?

^^^^^^^^
CB:  The current US political situation determines what I think can be
accomplished in moving left. U have to deal with people where they are
, not where u want them to be.

^^^^^^^

Earlier, CB had written:
>>> Obama is a little American boy with his thumb in the US political oil pipe 
>>> rupture, a kind of variation of the Sorcerer's apprentice , who can't 
>>> control the forces he has taken on to control.<<<

I'd see BHO instead as a guy sitting on a cork floating in the eddies
and undertows formed by the conflicting forces within the capitalist
class and the rest of US society. He's trying to use "reason" (in the
technocratic sense of the word) to steer the cork, but he's not
succeeding. It's not his fault as much as the fact that there's no
serious opposition to capitalism -- or even to the currency-existing
version of capitalism -- that would push his cork to the left. I don't
see any evidence that he's trying to promote that opposition at all.
If anything, he's doing the opposite, trying to channel discontent to
serve his political goals (getting reelected, rewarding his friends,
punishing his enemies, etc.)

^^^^^^^^
CB: Let me think about that. I'll get back to u.

^^^^

(The currently over-hyped "teabagger" movement seems to be doing
nothing but trying to make the currently-existing version of
capitalism more more extreme, i.e., even more ruled by "free markets"
(give businesses what they want) and finance capital.)
--
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