Hi Jay,

Jay Henson wrote;

> Joseph asks what effect "a direct seizure of foreign oil fields by the US
> military" would have on people.
> 
> IMHO, the political backlash would be terrible and should be avoided if at
> all possible.
> 

        Actually, Jay, that's not what I asked. But maybe I didn't write 
clearly.  
So let me try to clarify things.

        I tried to point out that we have entered a period of crisis and 
"unexpected" catastrophes and  I listed a number of things facing the world's 
people. You, however, concentrate on one possible scenario coming from high 
oil prices. I asked what you thought would be accomplished if "someone could 
convince people that the government will do this [seizure of the oild fields] 
several years from now". What I was trying to get at was: why do you 
concentrate only on one speculative possibility, when we are faced with many 
burning crises?


> After almost 20 years of research on the "endless economic growth in a
> finite place" problem, I am not optimistic. I believe that it will be almost
> impossible to avoid new world wars over the remaining energy resources.
> However, if we could separate our political system from our economic system,
> then perhaps worst might be avoided [ http://jayhanson.us/america.htm ].

        So I looked at your reference. Your article says

"The 'bad news' is that 'peak oil' marks the beginning of the end of 
capitalism and market politics because many decades of declining 'net energy' 
[1] will result in many decades of declining economic activity. And since 
capitalism can“t run backwards, a new method of distributing goods and 
services must be found."

This indicates that you think that "peak oil" or high energy prices will  
themselves doom capitalism. I think that's a mistake. The current crises 
facing capitalism are going to force various changes. Neo-liberalism, while 
being clung to by the bourgeoisie  harder and harder as its bankruptcy is 
more and more evident, is reaching a crisis. But capitalism can change its 
form. Neo-liberalism is only one form of capitalism.

As to capitalism not running backward, that's just a phrase. In war-time, for 
example, capitalism does often run backwards in some sense, and it remains 
exploitative, horrible, full-scale capitalism, worse than ever. Capitalism 
can do that with high energy prices too.

There is no way to fight the ravages of capitalism now, and prepare for its 
overthrow later, while avoiding class issues. It seems to me that your 
article attempts to find a way a la technocracy to avoid, or at least 
mitigate, the class issues. So the "Abstract" ends up hoping that 
"Corporations will become the public servants that they were [???] before 
1860." And the article goes into the changes it wants to see in corporations.

So your article, which starts by saying that capitalism doesn't run backward, 
ends by saying that, if we separate the economic and political, the basic 
structure of capitalism will indeed run backward to before 1860 (i.e. to the 
golden age when, oops,  American financial swindling was already world 
famous, slavery existed, and the country was building up to a devastating 
Civil War). This is to be accomplished by separating politics into a sphere 
of technocratic decision among "a selection of public 'goods.', while the 
corporations behave properly. In short, this would be a sort of "market 
socialism", albeit expressed in technocratic phrases. 

But politics and economics can't be separated. And when the coming crises 
lead to more regulation, it would, in my opinion, be a mistake to think that  
political regulation of the economy on one hand and rich capitalists on the 
other will live in two separate spheres. Instead the workers must be vigilant 
to try to exercise as much pressure on the government regulation and planning 
as possible, while fighting the direct exploitation of the  corporations as 
much as possible too. We need a class assessment of the coming changes in 
capitalism, and we need to use that to encourage the struggle of the working 
class, not only against the present neo-liberalism, but against the regulated 
or mixed capitalism that will follow it.  It is the class struggle, and the 
develoment of an independent workers movement, not the separation of politics 
and economics, or the reform of corporate structure, that provides a way out.
 
-- Joseph Green




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