Anthony D'Costa wrote:
> But that would mean (that is workers getting hit) there is no consumption
> adjustment.

I guess I know what you mean by a "consumption adjustment." In any
event, my question was framed (at least for me, since I didn't state
it explicitly) with a concern about the trend of U.S. real wages, not
about cyclical or immediate effects. The trend is for U.S. real wages
to decline relative to labor productivity, but I see that as
counteracted by cheap imported consumption goods during the last 13
years or so.

It's true that a sudden rise in the price of imports would spur
efforts to hike U.S. nominal wages. But the current political economy
of this place (the class balance of power) suggests that it won't
succeed to a large extent. The rise of the U.S. exporting and
import-competing sectors due to revaluation of the Yuan (etc.) would
create jobs, yes, but likely with wages of the sort prevailing under
the "new normal" (i.e., inferior to those of decades past).
-- 
Jim Devine
"All science would be superfluous if the form of appearance of things
directly coincided with their essence." -- KM
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