Jim Devine <[email protected]> wrote:

>CBO Changes Methodology for 2010 Long-Term Budget Projection
>
>Immediate Release: July 27, 2010
>Contact: Alan Barber, (202) 293-5380 x115
>
>Washington, D.C.- The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) is generally
>trusted as an impartial agency without a political agenda. A new study
>from the Center for Economic and policy Research (CEPR), however,
>calls attention to a change in the most recent long-term budget
>projections that is a departure from CBO's past methodology and
>results in stark differences in projections for the impact of deficits
>on economic growth.
>
>"While there is no universal model to apply to these types of
>projections, it is unusual that the CBO would, without explanation,
>make a change that so significantly alters long term projections,"
>said Dean Baker, a Co-Director of CEPR and author of the report.
>
>"Has CBO Joined the Push for Cutting Social Security," notes that the
>CBO has changed its modeling of the impact of deficits and debt on
>private investment. The result is that the long-term budget
>projections for 2010 show far more crowding out of investment than the
>2009 projections, leading deficits to have a substantially more
>negative impact on GNP growth. These growth projections have been
>accepted in the media and many policy discussions as reliable
>projections for the impact of deficits on growth.
>
>At a time when Congress is poised to make significant decision on the
>future of the America's most important social programs, it is
>essential that policymakers understand the unusual nature of these
>latest projections.
>
>The full report can be found here
>[http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/cbo-2010-07.pdf].
>
>
>-- 
>Jim Devine
>"All science would be superfluous if the form of appearance of things
>directly coincided with their essence." -- KM
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