Sorry for multiple posts.
I blame my damn laptop keyboard.
It overreacts.

On Thu, Nov 11, 2010 at 9:32 AM, Max Sawicky <[email protected]> wrote:

> This has been "walked back," as they say in Spin City.
> Though I don't doubt it will happen.
>
>
> On Thu, Nov 11, 2010 at 9:26 AM, Louis Proyect <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>>
>> http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/10/white-house-gives-in-on-bush-tax-cuts_n_781992.html
>>
>> White House Gives In On Bush Tax Cuts
>>
>> WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama's top adviser suggested to
>> The Huffington Post late Wednesday that the administration is
>> ready to accept an across-the-board, temporary continuation of
>> steep Bush-era tax cuts, including those for the wealthiest taxpayers.
>>
>> That appears to be the only way, said David Axelrod, that
>> middle-class taxpayers can keep their tax cuts, given the
>> legislative and political realities facing Obama in the aftermath
>> of last week's electoral defeat.
>>
>> "We have to deal with the world as we find it," Axelrod said
>> during an unusually candid and reflective 90-minute interview in
>> his office, steps away from the Oval Office. "The world of what it
>> takes to get this done."
>>
>> "There are concerns," he added, that Congress will continue to
>> kick the can down the road in the future by passing temporary
>> extensions for the wealthy time and time again. "But I don't want
>> to trade away security for the middle class in order to make that
>> point."
>>
>> It has been widely assumed that the president would have to accept
>> an across-the-board deal of some kind, but Axelrod's remarks were
>> the first public confirmation of that fact -- and by a figure
>> regarded as closer to Obama than any other White House staffer.
>>
>> Also dealing "with the world as we find it," Axelrod declined
>> repeatedly to comment on any of the controversial debt-reduction
>> measures suggested by the chairs of the president's own commission
>> -- even those, such as raising the Social Security retirement age,
>> that go against Obama campaign pledges and strike at the heart of
>> Democratic constituencies.
>>
>> He said that the White House would wait until the commission made
>> its final recommendations on Dec. 1 before adding, "the
>> president's commitments haven't changed."
>>
>> By giving ground on taxes and remaining silent on budget
>> suggestions that others, including Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.)
>> and AFL-CIO head Richard Trumka, quickly denounced, Axelrod showed
>> the subdued caution of an adviser to a humbled boss.
>>
>> But the top Obama aide also erected some barriers against
>> newly-emboldened Republicans and their Pentagon allies.
>>
>> Axelrod said that his boss would veto repeal of his cherished
>> health care law, though he would "work with people" who "have
>> constructive ideas about how to strengthen" it. The veto threat
>> was not unexpected, but it was the first time that a top
>> administration figure had issued such a threat on the record. And
>> in doing so, Axelrod predicted that Republicans would be making a
>> major misstep by challenging the White House's commitment on this
>> front.
>>
>> "I'm not going to prejudge what they are going to do," Axelrod
>> said of Republican opposition to the legislation. "But I will tell
>> you this -- we are firm in our commitment, we are willing to work
>> with people to improve this plan we are not going to stand for
>> those who want to undermine it and destroy it."
>>
>> "The notion of spending the next two years fighting over this, I
>> think, is a complete misreading of what the American people want,"
>> he added. "They want us to focus on the economy. They don't want
>> us to fight the battles of the last two years. But we are not
>> going to stand by and go back to allowing people with preexisting
>> conditions to be discriminated against, go back to the situation
>> where people can be thrown off their insurance simply because they
>> become seriously ill or you can't get on your parents' insurance
>> after the age of 20. There are so many things that are just central."
>>
>> Meanwhile, on the war in Afghanistan -- an expensive and
>> increasingly unpopular conflict -- Axelrod pushed back hard
>> against the notion, floated in some recent stories quoting "senior
>> administration sources," that the deadline for beginning troop
>> withdrawals had been pushed back from July 2011 to some time in 2014.
>>
>> "If it is being sourced to senior administration officials, then
>> someone has bad administration sources," Axelrod said. "There is
>> no change in the president's position. There is no change in that
>> basic commitment."
>>
>> But there is just such a change on taxes.
>>
>> Although the president "took the position he felt was the right
>> position" -- favoring a continuation of the cuts only for families
>> earning up to $250,000 -- Axelrod portrayed this "optimal" stance
>> as unrealistic in the lame-duck Congress that begins next week.
>>
>> For one, time is not on the administration's side. All of the tax
>> cuts, enacted in 2001 and 2003, will expire at the end of this
>> year unless Congress acts. The Republicans in effect "built in tax
>> increases," Axelrod said. And separating out different categories
>> of tax cuts now -- extending some without extending others -- is
>> politically unrealistic and procedurally difficult, he added.
>>
>> "We don't want that tax increase to go forward for the middle
>> class," he said, which means the administration will have to
>> accept them all for some unspecified period of time. "But plainly,
>> what we can't do is permanently extend these high income taxes."
>>
>> In other words, the White House won't risk being blamed for
>> raising taxes on the middle class even though, arguably, it is the
>> GOP's refusal to separate the categories that has put Obama in
>> this bind. The only condition, at least initially, seems to be
>> that the tax cuts for the wealthy not be extended "permanently."
>>
>> A student of history and a onetime political reporter, Axelrod
>> expressed curiosity and even some optimism about the tea party,
>> suggesting that Obama could work with them on matters such as a
>> ban on spending earmarks and on winding down the war in Afghanistan.
>>
>> If so, Obama would turn the Clinton-era triangulation strategy on
>> its head, reaching out not to the moderates in the other party but
>> to the new breed of conservatives who could bring the ideological
>> arc of Congress full circle.
>>
>> Can the White House work with them? "It is a fascinating time in
>> our history," he said, "and I don't think anybody really knows. I
>> mean I have watched carefully some of these folks on television. I
>> don't think this is nearly as predictable as people think."
>>
>> President Obama, in fact, has called every new Republican
>> senator-elect and many of the incoming GOP House members -- "well
>> over 100 calls" in all, said Axelrod.
>>
>> That's how a shellacked president spends his plane time on a trip
>> to Asia.
>>
>> ---
>>
>> NY Times November 10, 2010
>> Panel Seeks Social Security Cuts and Tax Increases
>> By JACKIE CALMES
>>
>> WASHINGTON — The chairmen of President Obama’s bipartisan
>> commission on reducing the national debt outlined a politically
>> provocative and economically ambitious package of spending cuts
>> and tax increases on Wednesday, igniting a debate that is likely
>> to grip the country for years.
>>
>> The plan calls for deep cuts in domestic and military spending, a
>> gradual 15-cents-a-gallon increase in the federal gasoline tax,
>> limiting or eliminating popular tax breaks in return for lower
>> rates, and benefit cuts and an increased retirement age for Social
>> Security.
>>
>> Those changes and others, none of which would take effect before
>> 2012 to avoid undermining the tepid economic recovery, would erase
>> nearly $4 trillion from projected deficits through 2020, the
>> proposal says, and stabilize the accumulated debt.
>>
>> “It’s time to lay it out on the table and let the American people
>> start to chew on it,” said Alan K. Simpson, the former Republican
>> Senate leader who is one of the co-chairmen, along with Erskine B.
>> Bowles, who was White House chief of staff under President Bill
>> Clinton.
>>
>> Their outline will be the basis for negotiation within the
>> commission, which has a Dec. 1 deadline for submitting a final
>> plan. It represents a challenge to both parties: to Mr. Obama and
>> the Democrats, to show in the wake of the midterm election that
>> they are serious about their pledges to address long-term
>> deficits, and to Republicans, who for the most part have ruled out
>> consideration of tax increases even as they have promised new
>> adherence to fiscal responsibility.
>>
>> Liberal groups immediately condemned the plan when news of it
>> broke, for its Social Security and Medicare changes and for the
>> scope of the spending cuts. The House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, in a
>> statement called it “simply unacceptable.”
>>
>> The furor on the left was not matched — yet — by a similar outcry
>> from the right to the draft’s proposed revenue increases, cuts to
>> the military or other options.
>>
>> The plan has many elements with the potential to draw intense
>> political fire. It lays out options for overhauling the tax code
>> that include limiting or eliminating the mortgage interest
>> deduction, the child tax credit and the earned income tax credit.
>> It envisions cutting Pentagon weapons programs and paring back
>> almost all domestic programs.
>>
>> The plan would reduce cost-of-living increases for all federal
>> programs, including Social Security. It would reduce projected
>> Social Security benefits to most retirees in later decades, though
>> low-income people would get higher benefits. The retirement age
>> for full benefits would be slowly raised to 69 from 67 by 2075,
>> with a “hardship exemption” for people who physically cannot work
>> past 62. And higher levels of income would be subject to payroll
>> taxes.
>>
>> But the plan would not count Social Security savings toward the
>> overall deficit-reduction goal that Mr. Obama set for fiscal year
>> 2015, reflecting the chairmen’s sensitivity to liberal critics who
>> have complained that Social Security should be fixed only for its
>> own sake, not to help balance the nation’s books.
>>
>> Mr. Obama created the commission last February in the hope it
>> would provide political cover for bold action against deficits in
>> 2011. His stance now, in the wake of his party’s drubbing, will go
>> a long way toward telling whether he tacks to the political center
>> — by embracing such proposals — or shifts to the left and leaves
>> them on a shelf.
>>
>> For Republicans, the chairmen’s proposals and a similar report
>> coming next week from a private bipartisan group will challenge
>> their contention that the budget can be balanced by spending cuts
>> alone. That is a claim that many conservative economists and
>> budget analysts reject, given the scale of projected debt as the
>> baby boom generation retires and begins claiming costly federal
>> benefits, after a severe recession.
>>
>> Mr. Bowles and Mr. Simpson said their plan was “a starting point”
>> as members of the commission met behind closed doors to consider it.
>>
>> That was clear from the initial reactions of the members, nine of
>> them Democrats, seven Republicans. None embraced the package and
>> several made clear they would not support it without big changes.
>>
>> “I think every member of the commission would agree that this is
>> not the plan,” said Representative Jan Schakowsky, Democrat of
>> Illinois, who is perhaps the panel’s most liberal member.
>>
>> The group had made no decisions before the midterm elections, to
>> avoid politicizing the painful options. Even so, the election
>> results — by emboldening victorious antitax conservatives and
>> having led to the defeat of many fiscally conservative
>> Congressional Democrats — are widely seen as having reduced the
>> already slim chance that a supermajority of the commission could
>> agree to a package of proposals by Dec. 1.
>>
>> Under Mr. Obama’s executive order creating the panel of 12 members
>> of Congress and six private citizens, 14 of the 18 commissioners
>> must agree in order to send any package to Congress for a vote in
>> December. The Senate majority leader, Harry Reid of Nevada, and
>> Ms. Pelosi, who will remain the speaker until January, have
>> promised in writing that the Senate would vote first and, if it
>> approves a plan, the House would vote.
>>
>> “I think it’s possible” that 14 members will agree, said Senator
>> Tom Coburn, a conservative Oklahoma Republican who worked closely
>> with the chairmen on proposed reductions from the military and in
>> so-called tax expenditures, the myriad tax breaks for individuals
>> and businesses that cost more than $1 trillion a year. “You don’t
>> know until you see what the final plan is.”
>>
>> In five hours of deliberations on Wednesday, the commission did
>> not discuss the plan’s particulars much but instead talked at
>> length about whether a lame-duck Congress would have time to write
>> specific legislation and then vote, members said in interviews. It
>> was unclear, they said, whether that was a sign other members
>> thought the commission actually could reach agreement, or whether
>> they were hiding behind concerns about legislative procedures to
>> avoid tough policy decisions.
>>
>> “At least people stayed in the room,” Andy Stern, the former
>> president of the Service Employees International Union, said in an
>> interview, recalling his concerns and others’ that Republicans
>> would walk out if taxes were on the table and Democrats if Social
>> Security and other spending programs were.
>>
>> Right now the biggest issue facing the lame-duck Congress is
>> whether to extend the Bush-era income tax cuts, which expire Dec.
>> 31, for all taxpayers, as Republicans want, or for income below
>> $250,000, as Mr. Obama and Democrats want. The Bowles-Simpson plan
>> includes one option that assumes only the lower-income rates are
>> extended and another that ends all Bush tax rates and replaces the
>> tax code with simpler, lower rates and many fewer tax breaks.
>>
>> Extending all the Bush tax cuts through 2020 would add more than
>> $4 trillion to the debt — coincidentally, about the same amount
>> that the chairmen’s painful options are designed to cut in the
>> same time frame.
>>
>> Their proposed simplification of the tax code would repeal or
>> modify a number of popular tax breaks — including the
>> deductibility of mortgage interest payments — so that income tax
>> rates could be reduced across the board. Under one option,
>> individual income tax rates would decline to as low as 8 percent
>> for the lowest income bracket (it is now 10 percent) and to 23
>> percent for the highest bracket (now 35 percent). The corporate
>> tax rate, now 35 percent, would be reduced to as low as 26 percent.
>>
>> But how low the rates are set would depend on how many tax breaks
>> are reduced or eliminated. Some of them, including the mortgage
>> interest deduction and the exemption from taxes for employees’
>> health benefits, are political sacred cows.
>>
>> The 18.4-cents-a-gallon federal gasoline tax would rise by 15
>> cents between 2013 and 2015 so that transportation spending no
>> longer requires money from the general treasury.
>>
>> The plan would cut $2 from spending for every $1 in new revenues.
>> Total spending would be about 22 percent of the nation’s gross
>> domestic product, and revenues would be held to 21 percent.
>>
>> Cuts in annual discretionary spending, domestic and military,
>> would be the largest in recent decades. Farm subsidies would be
>> reduced. To further reduce growth in the fast-growing entitlement
>> programs, the plan would expand on the hard-won Medicare cost
>> savings in Mr. Obama’s health care law. And it would limit
>> malpractice awards, long a Republican goal.
>>
>> David M. Herszenhorn contributed reporting.
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