I notice now that Doug's source actually says: "Rasmussen's election polling has tended to be quite accurate in the past. Nor, incidentally, has their election polling has a particularly strong house effect in the past; it is something new to the 2010 cycle." http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/01/is-rasmussen-reports-biased.html
Thus, my previous judgement from "experience" doesn't seem far off the mark. The claim made is rather that across the last year or so, Rasmussen scientific policy took a turn for the worse. But this trend seems to me to be indicative of a more general tendency. Good, scientific surveys require people who really know what they are doing, scientific autonomy and adequate resources. What you get nowadays much more, is hot-shot fly-by-night managers who try to "manufacture" information at least cost and effort, which they can sell to interested buyers for quick profit. J. _______________________________________________ pen-l mailing list [email protected] https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l
