Steve Diamond <[email protected]> wrote: >> Most likely, Obama is just lucky that there is an "autumn effect" on the >> numbers. (Rasmus does not mention what I think might help the rise in part >> timers every fall: farmworkers and college campus student workers, but >> others here likely know for sure whether those help.)<
> That's what seasonal adjustment is for. That's one of the reasons they call > it "seasonal adjustment." Catherine Rampell's point in the NYT blog was that the seasonal adjustment wasn't fitting the current need for it, since young workers were starting full-time school earlier. I'd guess that the best seasonal adjustment is to compare unadjusted stats to their value from the year before (or better, to compare between yearly averages). -- Jim Devine / If you're going to support the lesser of two evils, at the very least you should know the nature of that evil. _______________________________________________ pen-l mailing list [email protected] https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l
