On 2013-05-17, at 10:48 PM, [email protected] wrote:

>  "Michael Perelman" <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> > There is a large literature on the relationship between firm size and 
> > wages.  I wonder if it still holds.
> 
> http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/staff/academic/oswald/wprs.pdf 
> seems to show that 
> profitability per employee correlates with wages, but not as much as one 
> would hope.
> 
> For instance, Walmart has low wages per employee despite being a large firm.

Some evidence that its low wage policy is eroding its competitive position:

Customers Flee Wal-Mart Empty Shelves for Target, Costco
By Renee Dudley
Bloomberg News
March 26, 2013

Margaret Hancock has long considered the local Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) 
superstore her one- stop shopping destination. No longer.

During recent visits, the retired accountant from Newark, Delaware, says she 
failed to find more than a dozen basic items, including certain types of face 
cream, cold medicine, bandages, mouthwash, hangers, lamps and fabrics.

The cosmetics section “looked like someone raided it,” said Hancock, 63.

Wal-Mart’s loss was a gain for Kohl’s Corp. (KSS), Safeway Inc. (SWY), Target 
Corp. (TGT) and Walgreen Co. (WAG) -- the chains Hancock hit for the items she 
couldn’t find at Wal-Mart.

“If it’s not on the shelf, I can’t buy it,” she said. “You hate to see a 
company self-destruct, but there are other places to go.”

It’s not as though the merchandise isn’t there. It’s piling up in aisles and in 
the back of stores because Wal-Mart doesn’t have enough bodies to restock the 
shelves, according to interviews with store workers. In the past five years, 
the world’s largest retailer added 455 U.S. Wal-Mart stores, a 13 percent 
increase, according to filings and the company’s website. In the same period, 
its total U.S. workforce, which includes Sam’s Club employees, dropped by about 
20,000, or 1.4 percent. Wal-Mart employs about 1.4 million U.S. workers.

Disorganized Stores

A thinly spread workforce has other consequences: Longer check-out lines, less 
help with electronics and jewelry and more disorganized stores, according to 
Hancock, other shoppers and store workers. Last month, Wal-Mart placed last 
among department and discount stores in the American Customer Satisfaction 
Index, the sixth year in a row the company had either tied or taken the last 
spot. The dwindling level of customer service comes as Wal- Mart (WMT) has 
touted its in-store experience to lure shoppers and counter rival Amazon.com 
Inc.

Wal-Mart (WMT) traded at a 1.4 percent discount to Target last week on a 
price-to-earnings basis after averaging a 5.9 percent premium to its smaller 
rival in the past two years. Wal-Mart traded as high as a 22 percent premium to 
Target in January 2012. Wal-Mart fell 0.1 percent to $74.77 at the close in New 
York.

“Our in stock levels are up significantly in the last few years, so the premise 
of this story, which is based on the comments of a handful of people, is 
inaccurate and not representative of what is happening in our stores across the 
country,” Brooke Buchanan, a Wal-Mart spokeswoman, said in an e-mailed 
statement. “Two-thirds of Americans shop in our stores each month because they 
know they can find the products they are looking for at low prices.”

‘Getting Worse’

Last month, Bloomberg News reported that Wal-Mart was “getting worse” at 
stocking shelves, according to minutes of an officers’ meeting. An executive 
vice president had been appointed to work on the restocking issue, according to 
the document.

At the supercenter across the street from Wal-Mart’s Bentonville, Arkansas, 
home office, salespeople on March 14 handed out samples of Chobani yogurt and 
Clif Bars. Thirteen of 20 registers were manned -- with no lines -- and the 
shelves were fully stocked.

Three days earlier, about 10 people waited in a customer service line at a 
Wal-Mart in Secaucus, New Jersey, across the Hudson River from New York, the 
nation’s largest city. Twelve of 30 registers were open and the lines were 
about five deep. There were empty spaces on shelves large enough for a grown 
man to lie down, and a woman wandered around vainly seeking a frying pan.

Wal-Mart’s restocking challenge coincides with slowing sales growth. Same-store 
sales in the U.S. for the 13 weeks ending April 26 will be little changed, Bill 
Simon, the company’s U.S. chief executive officer, said in a Feb. 21 earnings 
call.

Target Premium

“When times were good and people were still shopping, the lack of excellence 
was OK,” said Zeynep Ton, a retail researcher and associate professor of 
operations management at the MIT Sloan School of Management in Cambridge, 
Massachusetts. “Their view has been that they have the lowest prices so 
customers keep coming anyway. You don’t see that so much anymore.”

Shoppers are “so sick of this,” said Ton, whose research, published in Harvard 
Business Review, examines how retailers benefit from offering good wages and 
benefits to all employees. “They’re mad about the way they were treated or how 
much time they wasted looking for items that aren’t there.”

Retailers consider labor -- usually their largest controllable expense -- an 
easy cost-cutting target, Ton said. That’s what happened at Home Depot Inc. 
(HD) in the early 2000s, when Robert Nardelli, then chief executive officer, 
cut staffing levels and increased the percentage of part-time workers to trim 
expenses and boost profit. Eventually, customer service and customer 
satisfaction deteriorated and same-store sales growth dropped, Ton said.

‘Too Expensive’

“When you tell retailers they have to invest in people, the typical response 
is: ‘It’s just too expensive,’” Ton said.

Adding five full-time employees to Wal-Mart’s (WMT) U.S. supercenters and 
discount stores would add about a half- percentage point to selling, general 
and administrative expenses, according to an analysis by Poonam Goyal, a 
Bloomberg Industries senior analyst based in Skillman, New Jersey. Assuming the 
workers earned the federal minimum wage and industry standards for health 
benefits, the added costs would amount to about $448 million a year, she said. 
In the year ended Jan. 31, Wal-Mart generated $17 billion in profit on revenue 
of $469.2 billion.

Barren Landscape

At the Kenosha, Wisconsin, Wal-Mart where Mary Pat Tifft has worked for nearly 
a quarter-century, merchandise ready for the sales floor remains on pallets and 
in steel bins lining the floor of the back room -- an area so full that “no 
passable aisles” remain, she said. Meanwhile, the front of the store is 
increasingly barren, Tifft said. That landscape has worsened over the past 
several years as workers who leave aren’t replaced, she said.

“There’s a lot of voids out there, a lot of voids,” said Tifft, 58, who 
oversees grocery deliveries and is a member of OUR Walmart, a union-backed 
group seeking to improve working conditions at the discount chain. “Customers 
come in, they can’t find what they’re looking for, and they’re leaving.”

Years ago, supervisors drilled a message into employees’ heads: “In the door 
and to the floor,” Tifft said. That mantra now seems impossible to execute.

‘No Manpower’

“There’s no manpower in the store to get the merchandise moving,” she said.

At the Wal-Mart store in Erie, Pennsylvania, 26-year-old meat and dairy stocker 
Anthony Falletta faces a similar predicament.

“The merchandise is in the store, it just can’t make the jump from the shelf in 
the back to the one in the front,” said Falletta, who works the second shift. 
“There’s not the people to do it.”

In both stores, departments have merged, leaving some areas with limited or no 
staff coverage, they said, and workers rarely have time to finish all their 
tasks by the end of the day. In the morning, employees scramble to set out new 
merchandise, put returns back on shelves and handle customer inquires, they 
said.

“There is definitely some links broken in the chain, and I don’t know how long 
they’re going to go on like this,” Tifft said.

Vicious Cycle

Wal-Mart is entangled in what Ton calls the “vicious cycle” of under-staffing. 
Too few workers leads to operational problems. Those problems lead to poor 
store sales, which lead to lower labor budgets.

“It requires a wake-up call at a higher level,” she said of the decision to 
hire more workers.

Falletta, the meat and dairy stocker in Erie, said his weekly hours are 
unpredictable. He would like to work a full 40 hours and sometimes gets only 
25. Falletta and others interviewed for this story said management bonuses are 
based partly on minimizing store payroll.

According to Rochelle Jackson, who works at the jewelry counter at a store in 
Springfield, Missouri, a supervisor recently explained the number of hours 
available to schedule employees corresponds to sales performance: The worse the 
sales number, the fewer hours available.

“We’re not getting as many sales because there’s simply no one to help the 
customers throughout the stores,” said Jackson, 24, who has worked at two 
Wal-Mart stores since 2009. “I asked, ‘Why can’t we have enough hours to make 
the store work?’ They said, ‘It’s orders from Home Office,’” she said.

Cutting Hours

Jackson said her store began cutting hours a year ago, adding that “it hasn’t 
been really bad until this year.”

Staff shortages at cash registers during peak hours require Jackson and her 
co-workers on the sales floor to check shoppers out “while we are trying to 
restock the shelves, help customers and do other assigned projects,” she said. 
The so-called Code 7 to the registers leaves a vacuum across the store’s 
departments, she said.

Customers looking for groceries ask salespeople in the shoe department for help 
because they can’t find what they’re looking for, Jackson said.

In the fall, Tim White, a 36-year-old attorney, tried to buy wall paint at the 
Wal-Mart near his home in Santee, California.

“You wait 20, 25 minutes for someone to help you, then the person was not 
trained on mixing paint,” White said. “It was like, you have to help them help 
you.”

‘Maddening Inability’

White, who has six children, said while long checkout lines irritated him, “the 
number-one reason we gave up on Wal-Mart was its prolonged, horrible, maddening 
inability to keep items in stock.”

The store would go weeks without products he wanted to buy, such as men’s dress 
shirts, which he found only in very large or small sizes and unpopular colors, 
he said.

“Pretty soon, they were even out of those,” White said. “I would literally 
check every so often at different Wal-Marts. They would go two or three months 
with the shelves looking exactly the same.”

When Wal-Mart was out of stock of his preferred types of shaving lotion or 
razors, White would “drive next door to Target where they had it in stock all 
the time,” he said.

The White family’s visits to Wal-Mart -- which had been a several times a week 
occurrence -- became less and less frequent until they stopped this year. The 
eight-member clan now shops at Target and Costco Wholesale Corp (COST).

“Things might be a little bit more expensive, but not so much so that it would 
keep me away,” he said.

Costco Productivity

Ton’s research has centered on retailers that include discount club Costco, 
whose chief executive officer, Craig Jelinek, offered his support publicly 
earlier this month for legislation to raise the federal minimum wage.

Costco, which offers a starting hourly wage of $11.50 in all states and 
employee schedules that are generally predictable, has higher worker 
productivity and a lower rate of turnover than its competitors, Ton found.

Hancock, the retired CPA in Delaware, said she hasn’t abandoned Wal-Mart 
altogether because she likes the low prices on the items she can find in stock. 
White, the shopper in California, said those low prices were crucial to his 
family as he started out his career.

“When I was in law school, it really helped us out,” White said.

Wal-Mart shoppers for more than a decade, White’s family continued to shop 
there even once he started earning more money.

“I was pro-Wal-Mart even when our friends rolled their eyes,” he said. “I don’t 
defend them anymore.”

He added a caveat: “They could get us back if they fixed these problems.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/print/2013-03-26/customers-flee-wal-mart-empty-shelves-for-target-costco.html
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