From: Louis Proyect <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> (posted to Marxmail by Joaquin Bustelo)... Even before the storm reached category 5, Max Mayfield, director of the Hurricane Center said, Ive been here 33 years, and weve always been concerned about New Orleans. I had to let the mayor know that this storm has the potential not only to cause large property damage, but large loss of life if people dont make the right decision. Ed Rappaport, deputy director of the center told CNN this morning, "this could well become the big one for them." ...
[The scenario-spinning has been horrifying indeed, e.g.:] Katrina may be 'our Asian tsunami' Sunday, August 28, 2005; Posted: 10:46 p.m. EDT (02:46 GMT) (CNN) -- Flooding expected from Hurricane Katrina could wreak catastrophe on New Orleans, overwhelming its water and sewage systems, damaging its structures and leaving survivors in a bowl of toxic soup, a top hurricane expert said Sunday. Landfall is expected early Monday. "We need to recognize we may be about to experience our equivalent of the Asian tsunami, in terms of the damage and the numbers of people that can be killed," said Ivor van Heerden, director of the Louisiana State University Public Health Research Center in Baton Rouge. Some 25 feet of standing water is expected in many parts of the city -- almost twice the height of the average home -- and computer models suggest that more than 80 percent of buildings would be badly damaged or destroyed, he said. Floodwaters from the east will carry toxic waste from the "Industrial Canal" area, nicknamed after the chemical plants there. From the west, floodwaters would flow through the Norco Destrehan Industrial Complex, which includes refineries and chemical plants, said van Heerden, who has studied computer models about the impact of a strong hurricane for four years. "These chemical plants are going to start flying apart, just as the other buildings do," he predicted. "So, we have the potential for release of benzene, hydrochloric acid, chlorine and so on." That could result in severe air and water pollution, he said. In New Orleans, which lies below sea level, gas and diesel tanks are all located above ground for the same reason that bodies are buried above ground. In the event of a flood, "those tanks will start to float, shear their couplings, and we'll have the release of these rather volatile compounds," van Heerden added. Because gasoline floats on water, "we could end up with some pretty severe and large -- area-wise -- fires." "So, we're looking at a bowl full of highly contaminated water with contaminated air flowing around and, literally, very few places for anybody to go where they'll be safe." He went further. "So, imagine you're the poor person who decides not to evacuate: Your house will disintegrate around you. The best you'll be able to do is hang on to a light pole, and while you're hanging on, the fire ants from all the mounds -- of which there is two per yard on average -- will clamber up that same pole. And, eventually, the fire ants will win." ... <http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/08/28/katrina.doomsday/> Carl
